hythloday almond
@hythloday1
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Managing Editor & Football Film Reviewer of https://t.co/dXSRZcD6Fr Host of It Never Rains on this Podcast
Joined February 2010
My complete series of Summer previews of Big Ten teams as they are published: * Statistical breakdowns from charting every game of the last four seasons * Podcast interviews with a publisher for each school * Film analysis and projections for the two-deep https://t.co/FA4JDrpj8e
addictedtoquack.com
The complete collection of ATQ Summer previews of Big Ten football teams
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Tristan's film review of Oregon vs USC at Addicted to Quack:
addictedtoquack.com
Breaking down the film of “O”-dysseus’ team burning down the Trojans’ playoff hopes
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For no particular reason, here are my previews of Emmanuel Pregnon and Bear Alexander as well:
addictedtoquack.com
Film review of Pregnon’s three starting seasons at Wyoming and USC
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Here's the film study preview of Benson from February these graphs were produced for:
addictedtoquack.com
Film review of Benson’s 2023 season at Alabama and 2024 season at Florida State
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Look what I found in my data visualization drive, the statistical regression on Malik Benson's per-target production vs baseline. These data were in comparison to Alabama 2023 & FSU 2024 targets, documenting he was badly misutilized and would be explosive in the right offense:
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* strong offenses at home, weaker offenses away. Text of tweet 2 had the typo, numbers in the chart are correct
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For UW's offense, when I drill down there's a modest home performance bump / road performance penalty, but the opponent skew has the opposite effect as with the defense - exacerbating the apparent differential wildly.
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... When I apply data controls, I find UW's defense does play better at home / worse on the road, but they're up against on-balance weaker offenses at home and stronger offenses away, so it adds up to coming out all the same ...
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UW has a strong home-road split in fundamental stats on offense, but practically identical stats on defense. Why? Opponent effects. F+ rankings of home opponents skewed to strong off/weak def; road vice versa. The performance difference is real, but weaker than it appears ...
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The total combined points scored by Oregon against USC since 1994 is 666
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Well, Nico Iamaleava certainly reminds me of Dorian Thompson-Robinson in one way.
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New episode of It Never Rains on this Podcast - Thomas and Badwater with their instant reactions to Oregon's win over USC in Autzen Stadium, and looking forward to Husky Hate Week:
open.spotify.com
It Never Rains on this Podcast: A University of Oregon Podcast · Episode
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Attention fans pointing out that Oregon opened with Montana State - the Bobcats just won the Brawl of the Wild, are ranked #47 in Sagarin ahead of 89 FBS teams and 25 P4 teams, would beat half the opponents on your team's schedule, and probably your team.
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Oregon's record vs USC since - 1994: 14-7, avg MOV 2.48 1999: 12-6, avg MOV 1.94 2004: 9-6, avg MOV 1.27 2009: 8-2, avg MOV 11.40 2014: 6-1, avg MOV 9.86 2019: 4-0, avg MOV 15.75
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What a relief to see a real Pac-12 game after months of Big Ten stupor - athletic, explosive, vicious, and tons of flags.
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Perhaps USC #8 was pointing and vocally requesting a transfer?
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USC's 3rd & long conversion rate prior to this game was 42.11%
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How curious the moments that Big Ten officials choose to spring into action.
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Muffed punt -> 3-out -> muffed punt ... So that NC State can claim another upset in Carter-Finley ... To set up Florida State playing a coachless Gator squad in rivalry week for bowl eligibility ... It's the most ACC thing I can possibly imagine
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