Explore tweets tagged as #FORECASTING
Excel is a must-have skill—free to learn. 🤑 7 FREE Excel courses Save 100's of Dollars 🔖 Learn from beginner to advanced: Excel basics, VBA, analytics, forecasting & MySQL 📌 Follow @nileshjaitwar01 👍 Like | 🔁 RT | 🔖 Bookmark
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Headline results, the model really shines, across accuracy, calibration, long-term prediction consistency etc. And the calibration improvement from forecasting generalizes OOD to SimpleQA, GPQA, MMLU-Pro, where it can be used to mitigate hallucinations!
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Forecasting is exciting for so many reasons: - models can never saturate performance - dynamic benchmark which cannot be contaminated when testing in the future - requires reasoning over uncertainty - information seeking capabilities, embracing the unknown unknowns - requires
Excited to announce the OpenForecaster project, we train models at reasoning predict the future. We won't get to AGI by maxxing STEM exam and coding benchmarks. That's not what most humans reason about in their day to day. Instead, we reason about uncertainty to make decisions,
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Central banks are buying gold at a rate 4x higher than pre-2022 levels. J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs are forecasting gold to test $5,000/oz later this year due to "de-dollarization" and geopolitical risk. What happens next…
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Q1 Forecasting + 1st client group live done ✅ posting this one publicly 🩷 excited for 2026.
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Financial advisors putting your money into index funds and forecasting your retirement date.
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Check out our video! 🥳New AI model GTU-Net transforms ocean forecasting: cuts 21-day error by 12.2%, slashes training time 85%, and delivers stable 60-day forecasts. 👇 @OLARjournal
https://t.co/QLaoPhL3d4
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🐘 $RWALI ANALYTICS — Predictive Market Intelligence Markets move fast. Winners move ahead of time. $RWALI Analytics is building a powerful predictive market intelligence system designed to turn real data into clear market signals — from trend forecasting to alpha signals and
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✨New work: How do we train language models for open-ended forecasting?🔮 For example, consider “Which tech company will the US government buy a > 7% stake in by September 2025?”. This requires one to explore the outcome space, not just assign probabilities to choices (as in
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Prediction markets were fun.... until the leaks started winning. They sold us “wisdom of the crowd.” What we got was group chat with admin privilege. Polymarket, Kalshi and Limitless all dressed up like the future of forecasting, but somehow the only people who never miss are
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Whether you’re a seasoned trader or a casual fan of sports and gaming, @duel_duck offers a platform where predictions become a dynamic, interactive experience. Instead of passively watching markets or matches, you’re actively participating in a community forecasting game. With
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Buddy. Maybe you should pay attention to other things like your company's share price is down almost 50% in a year. And that is in a year where the markets were up 18%. You literally suck at forecasting anything. $RUM
Side note for today… Canada just lost all leverage with the USA, Prime Minister Carney over played his hand. The US doesn’t need Canadian oil anymore. L Canada.
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The biggest career risk today? Missing AI skills. Here is a simplified idea on how to build forecasting model with sensitivity analysis in Excel just by use of ChatGPT. Step 1: Framing the prompt Step 2: Download Excels and reviewing the output Step 3: Moving further with
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#AI is evolving from a supportive tool to a strategic force. Here’s what experts are forecasting for AI in 2026 and beyond. #Forbes For more details: 🔗 https://t.co/xTULXqtuik
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A new Polymarket wallet turned up in December and quietly printed $187K in its first month by farming crypto pricing lags CRYINGLITTLEBABY isn't forecasting direction or chasing narratives. This is pure execution across BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP 15-30 minute Up/Down windows, where
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Forecasting is the one of the best tests of reasoning, but training data has been the bottleneck. We develop an opensource data pipeline converting news archives into over 52K open-ended forecasting questions. Qwen-8B models w/ retrieval + RL performs really well! Deets👇
Excited to announce the OpenForecaster project, we train models at reasoning predict the future. We won't get to AGI by maxxing STEM exam and coding benchmarks. That's not what most humans reason about in their day to day. Instead, we reason about uncertainty to make decisions,
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🎉 Welcome Dr. Justin Benavidez who has been appointed as USDA's Chief Economist. Dr. Benavidez will lead the Department’s economic analysis and forecasting efforts, ensuring USDA’s policies and programs continue to be informed by sound, data-driven economic research that
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