Felix Morson-Pate
@felixpatelgop
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Football trader, modeller, and general statto
Wakefield, England
Joined March 2017
Premier League LegenDs: A countdown of the 500 most impactful PL players ever As the 2025/26 season kicks off in a fortnight, I thought it'd be fun to launch a little project I've been working on over summer to highlight the greats throughout the league's history
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Daily Tips (8/11/25) -Cercle Brugge vs Leuven @ 2.05 -Excelsior vs Heracles @ 1.99 -Southend vs Carlisle @ 2.35 -Antwerp vs La Louviere @ 2.2 -Gaziantep vs Rizespor @ 3.65
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⚽️ FOOTBALL PUNTERS PANEL ✍️ Allow our team of football tipsters to mark your card ahead of another busy weekend of action! ⭐️ @Matt_Hill93 ⭐️ @GabSutton ⭐️ @felixpatelgop ⭐️ @SteveDayWriting ⭐️ @Adam_Drury1 👇 https://t.co/zNeOhz2hIG
oddsnow.com
Odds Now's team of football betting experts are here to mark your card with their best tips and insights ahead of the weekend action.
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LW: Dino Besirovic - @AIKfotboll vs @IFElfsborg1904 Minutes: 90 Goals: 0 Team GD: +3 xGD: -0.24 GDI: 0.01584
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ST: Jizz Hornkamp - @HeraclesAlmelo vs @PECZwolle Minutes: 64 Goals: 3 Team GD: +6 xGD: +0.01 GDI: 0.03258
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RW: Franck Honorat - @borussia vs @fcstpauli Minutes: 57 Goals: 0 Team GD: +4 xGD: -0.30 GDI: 0.02488
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CM: Jordan Holsgrove - @estorilpraiasad vs @RioAve_FC Minutes: 67 Goals: 0 Team GD: +4 xGD: -0.43 GDI: 0.02822
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CM: Serginho - @BeijingGuoan_ vs @Changchun_Yatai Minutes: 64 Goals: 1 Team GD: +4 xGD: -0.04 GDI: 0.02010
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LB: Kai Wagner - @PhilaUnion vs @ChicagoFire Minutes: 90 Goals: 0 Team GD: +3 xGD: -0.35 GDI: 0.01891
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CB: Liam Lindsay - @pnefc vs @SouthamptonFC Minutes: 90 Goals: 0 Team GD: +2 xGD: -1.02 GDI: 0.01939
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RB: Claus Niyukuri - @FKHaugesund vs @KFUMOslo Minutes: 65 Goals: 1 Team GD: +3 xGD: -2.08 GDI: 0.03581
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GK: Nelson Insfran - @gimnasiaoficial vs @RiverPlate Minutes: 90 Goals: 0 Team GD: +1 Expected GD: -2.25 Goal Difference Improvement (GDI): 0.02380
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The overall result is an attempt to measure how much a player adds in terms of goal difference over an average player in the exact same environment. Single game tweaks are relatively small, especially for more experienced players but ratings can change rapidly
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The model is in its final stages of tweaking, and I'll have a full writeup here, but the essence of it is a chess style Elo rating algorithm, where players are rewarded for overachieving relative to expectation, with as much context factored in as possible
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XI In Heaven: 31/10-3/11 A regular thread to shine a light on a team of players who have shown signifcant improvement through the lens of my ratings from the matchday just gone, across a variety of top tier leagues (and occasionally those further down the pyramid)
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24/10-27/10
XI In Heaven: 24/10-27/10 A regular thread to shine a light on a team of players who have shown signifcant improvement through the lens of my ratings from the matchday just gone, across a variety of top tier leagues (and occasionally those further down the pyramid)
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Daily Tips (7/11/25) -Montpellier vs Annecy @ 1.96 -Elche vs Sociedad @ 2.8 -Zaglebie Lubin vs Gornik Zabrze @ 2.34
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https://t.co/3YhYIfo2eM Back with another column for @OddsNow__ focusing on 🇪🇸 La Liga and some tasty weekend bets
oddsnow.com
Felix Morson-Pate is back with the latest edition of his World of Wagers column, looking at betting tips from around the globe for Saturday.
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