Will COVID-19 mortality rise in November?
COVID-19 mortality rates track closely with incidence
When adjusted for the time lag, there is little variance
If the observed trend continues, mortality rates will go up
#CoronaVirusUpdate
#COVID19
5
37
90
Replies
@Mark_Coughlan
@DrEricDing
I actually do an a time lag analysis of every combination from 0 days to 42 days and then apply that back historically since the onset. I then look to see if there are mathematical differences that are evolving over time or that may be regionally specific.
1
0
1
@euromaestro
@DrEricDing
Once it reaches a certain point, the mortality goes way up and super fast.
0
0
1
@euromaestro
@DrEricDing
Meanwhile, here in Sweden, Lord Epidemiologist on High The Honorable Sir Anders Tegnell of FHM has today expressed the opinion that though the increase in cases has surprised him, he's unsure if it will lead to an increase in healthcare demand.
Seriously. He said that.
0
1
9
