Market Making prediction markets sounds tough. But prediction markets are backed by the same principles as any other market and are heavily undervalued. If you want to learn more about Polymarket or about market making less liquid assets, check this convo i had with @Polymarket.

Greatest tier list ever created. This is pure science.

Before the 2024 US election, Polymarket took a risk and decided to give away >$50k per day to its MMs ($1.7 per $100 in volume) . Today, they give $0.025 per $100 . Polymarket has burned ~$10M. And in doing so, made prediction markets healthy with rebates close to perp exchanges

RT @aradtski: Just talked to the head of a world-tier design studio. He said . > we often get clients who tell us they’re building somethin….

DeFi options did $2.14M premium yesterday. Polymarket and Kalshi's crypto markets did $14M and is climbing fast . Prediction markets are the new options

Bitcoin is up 90% in the last year. People have profited. But they don't look that way. They're tired of the monotony. The fledgling Prediction Market ecosystem is different. Trenchers there are young, poor, unknown, and hungry. They're putting in the work to change that.

RT @voliti_co:

RT @aradtski: the whole timeline is relentlessly bullposting prediction markets like they're early. i was using polymarket 4-5 years back a….

90% of traders lose money. But in Polymarket, only ~70% do . And if you remove odds-based sports markets, ~50% lose money. Prediction market is the only place in the world not overrun by quants, cartels, and the house edge, where the little guy can still create alpha and win

75% of Kalshi's Volume last month was in sports. Crazy how the "unregulated" Prediction Market has seen PMF in Macroeconomics, Finance, Politics, and War (~75% of 2025 volume), while the CFTC-regulated one has become a glorified sportsbook

80% of Polymarket users are net new to DeFi and haven't used any other protocol. This is why, despite a record 2025 volume, CT stays silent about Polymarket plays. But the whales know. Top 500 wallets (~65% of volume) are DeFi native with $150k across 4.6 protocols.

Polymarket did over ~$750 million in Volume last month. 500 top wallets did ~65% of that. 1000 wallets did ~75%. PMs do not escape the power law common in the rest of finance and crypto

Polymarket's median market resolves in 4 days, but the power law makes that stat misleading. 50 markets have done 62% of PM's volume, and they resolved in 176 days. 500 markets have done 82% of PM's volume, and they resolved in 145 days. The long-running markets do most volume

Most frontend jobs in Web3 are intellectually underwhelming. They redo a TradFi primitive and have very little room for creativity. Against that sea, we are building something truly new that empowers otherwise impossible trading behavior, and are looking to hire a frontend.

RT @aradtski:

RT @voliti_co:

RT @aradtski: The level of conviction that @defiance_cr and i have on what we're working on is pretty insane. I've always been early to imp….