A quick thread to give some context to the high school development model.1/.Not all schools that get players drafted are good at developing talent. Some just recruit better. This thread breaks down a model I built to separate recruiting strength from development ability.

This is the top 5 for safety position.

This is the top 5 for the Interior defensive line position

This is the top 5 for the Cornerback Position.

Here is the top 5 rankings for the Linebacker position. (Note schools are evaluated against expected performance and not just overall draft picks).

This is the top 5 rankings for the Defensive End position. (Note schools are evaluated against expected performance and not just overall draft picks).

This is the top 5 rankings for the Interior Offensive Line position. (Note schools are evaluated against expected performance and not just overall draft picks).

This is the top 5 rankings for the Wide Receiver position. (Note schools are evaluated against expected performance and not just overall draft picks).

Here is the top 5 rankings for the Tackle position. (Note schools are evaluated against expected performance and not just overall draft picks).

Next is the top 5 rankings for the Tight End position. (Note schools are evaluated against expected performance and not just overall draft picks).

Here is the top 5 rankings for high school development including all positions with the update from the most recent draft class.

This is a sample profile for Notre Dame from my high school development model. It shows the overall ranking and for each position. The difference refers to the difference between the expected development rate and the actual development rate. I will be releasing overall ranks in

How likely blue chip have been to go undrafted across a six year data set

Blue chip prospects chance of being undrafted since 2014 at each Big 10 school

How likely each SEC schools blue chip prospects were to be undrafted since 2014

The chance of blue chip prospects to go undrafted at ACC schools since 2014

BIG 12 undrafted rates since 2014 for blue chips and above

8/.The purpose is to avoid giving credit for developing when you are recruiting well, and to identify if schools that don’t recruit as well develop well. if you just respond by saying how many players that school sends to the draft then that is not the point. It does not mean you.

7/. 📈 Example:.A player who chooses a school with a positive development score from this model is 38% more likely to be drafted than one who chooses a negative scoring school.

6/.The model evaluates at:.- % of blue-chip recruits who get drafted.- Average draft position.- Position-specific trends.- Head coach development rates.- Conference and state effects.- Historical performance.