Bit Harington
@bitharington
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#Bitcoin (not financial advice) (no DM's)
Joined December 2010
Bitcoin Weekly with Fisher & SMI indicators. I don't know if we are in a bull or bear market (btw: When you zoom out, BTC is always in a bull market). I don't know if the 4 year cycle is still in play. No idea. But selling BTC here, right now - below $90K, feels like a bad idea.
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If the default four year Bitcoin cycle is finally truly over... That's insanely bullish. Let's see 🐂
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Bitcoin daily chart (Heikin Ashi candles) with RSI. Evil downtrend on the RSI; started at the exact top ($126K). Oversold territory. Maybe Bitcoin can break out now.
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My father (who has no interest in Bitcoin) texted me today sub $81K that Bitcoin has crashed. Almost exactly at the local current bottom. Crazy if that was really the exact bottom, for now. We'll see. Texts like these are interesting for sentiment, linked to media coverage.
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This didn't go well. https://t.co/NmPBt98Dll
I sold 10% of my Bitcoin for fiat, at $107K. It feels terrible, but I had to make this sacrifice. Now we can move on. This is it. Time for a new Bitcoin ATH. Thank me later.
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Bitcoin 3-Days chart with RSI. Lowest RSI since summer 2022.
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Bitcoin EURO weekly chart. What if this was the Bitcoin top? Reaching €100K in Dec 2024. And what if we're in a bear market for one long year now. Yes, one year, already. And one year bear market, perhaps means we reached the bottom; or we're (very) close. That would be insane.
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Bitcoin 3-Days Chart, with RSI indicator. Since this bull market started in 2023, it was always a good idea, a gift actually, to convert fiat to Bitcoin when the RSI = sub 40.
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btw: No daily close sub 30 RSI (yet?). The few hours below $100K was the daily RSI sub 30 moment. Would be amazing if that was the bottom.
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It took seven years to go from $10K Bitcoin (2017) to $100K Bitcoin (2024). The journey from $100K Bitcoin to $1M Bitcoin will take longer than seven years imo. Diminishing returns are very real.
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Update. A lot of people said I was too bearish, but in reality I was too bullish #Bitcoin
https://t.co/wuXI7qp5EK
I believe this is possible for Bitcoin in 2023-2025. ~12 months from now (halving): ~$50K. ~12/18 months after halving: ~$150K. *Based on halving cycles, S2F theory, diminishing returns, logarithmic growth, etc.
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Bitcoin daily chart: RSI oversold (sub 30) for the first time since February 2025.
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The tightest Bollinger Bands on the weekly and monthly Bitcoin chart, ever. Bitcoin has officially never been so dull - so little movement. Extremely boring, but still above $100K. At some point, this is going to move, to explode. The big question is: Up or Down...
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I sold 10% of my Bitcoin for fiat, at $107K. It feels terrible, but I had to make this sacrifice. Now we can move on. This is it. Time for a new Bitcoin ATH. Thank me later.
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Bitcoin Monthly Chart with 1-Year Moving Average. Around $101K Bitcoin will hit this MA line, again. This can happen. From this perspective BTC is not in a bear market now. Whatever happens; don't panic. In bull markets price goes up. In bear markets you buy cheap BTC. Patience.
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Yes. Bitcoin definitely hates €100K. One year price resistance now, basically.
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Bitcoin at $110K or $120K - it doesn't really matter imo. It's just a small difference. Same price range imo. And crypto/blockchain still sucks. I don't care about memecoins, shitcoins, whatever. So... Nothing changed? It's still boring. A boring cycle. It's fine. Do not gamble!
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