AtlasIntel
@atlas_intel
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Data intelligence. High-frequency polling. Big data analytics.
Joined February 2020
POLLSTER ACCURACY 2024 US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION National Popular Vote AtlasIntel was the most accurate pollster of the US Presidential Election 2nd time in a row, both at the national level and in key swing states. Please note: margins may change with the final vote count, but
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📊 Atlas/Bloomberg LATAM-WIDE Poll - Crisis in Venezuela 🇻🇪 We're releasing today the Latam-Wide poll, designed to provide robust estimates of public opinion for the entire adult population of Latin Americans living in the Americas, including the United States and Canada. 1️⃣
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The only two polls showing that Mamdani would win the NYC mayoral race by a margin of less than 10pp were those released by AtlasIntel. One had Mamdani 8pp ahead; the final one 5pp ahead. It’s usually not a good idea to bet against an Atlas poll. Yes, I know about NJ. We
Andrew Cuomo, Curtis Sliwa closing gap on socialist Zohran Mamdani in latest NYC mayoral election poll. Read today's cover here: https://t.co/L4KP2uVsaN
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Who voted for Mamdani? El País analyzes the key patterns of the New York election in seven charts based on AtlasIntel data.
english.elpais.com
More than two million New Yorkers went to the polls, marking the city’s highest voter turnout in two decades
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AtlasIntel congratulates @Suffolk_U for conducting the most accurate poll of the 2025 NYC Mayoral Race. 📊 Pollster performance by mean error
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See the full analysis of AtlasIntel’s crosstabs for the New York City Mayoral race in this story by El País:
english.elpais.com
More than two million New Yorkers went to the polls, marking the city’s highest voter turnout in two decades
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Only 19.8% of NYC voters say the mayor should openly oppose Israel. Since 62% of Cuomo voters were Jewish, and given Mamdani’s past comments on Israel, the mayor-elect will likely need to build trust with this influential group as he takes office.
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Mamdani’s voter coalition captures most of those who chose Kamala Harris in 2024 (61%), though he splits some of her voters’ support with Cuomo (36%), who drew stronger backing from ultra-Orthodox jewish voters and those favouring more moderate Democratic politics.
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AtlasIntel foresaw Mamdani’s strong showing of support among Asian, black and latino voters, reflecting the multiracial composition of his voter coalition. The data also anticipated Cuomo’s stronger performance in precincts where residents are mostly white.
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Who voted for Mamdani and Cuomo? AtlasIntel’s polls correctly anticipated Mamdani’s strong performance among younger voters in the NYC mayoral election, as well as Cuomo’s stronger performance among older voters.
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Who voted for Mamdani? El País analyzes the key patterns of the New York election in seven charts based on AtlasIntel data.
english.elpais.com
More than two million New Yorkers went to the polls, marking the city’s highest voter turnout in two decades
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AtlasIntel congratulates @Suffolk_U for conducting the most accurate poll of the 2025 NYC Mayoral Race. 📊 Pollster performance by mean error
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COP30 is finally getting started. Data intelligence for smarter cities is a key lever for reducing emissions and achieving strategic climate goals. AtlasIntel solutions can help in important ways. #WorldMayorsSummit #TheFutureWeWant
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6⃣ New Yorkers negatively evaluate mayor Eric Adams’ governance across all areas measured.
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5⃣ Inflation and the cost of living still dominate New Yorkers’ concerns. Views of the city’s economy, job market, and family finances remain negative heading into Election Week.
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4⃣ Cost of living, housing affordability and crime are the top three issues on voters’ minds in the NYC mayoral election.
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3⃣ Since Oct. 30, the gap between Mamdani and Cuomo in a hypothetical election scenario where Eric Adams is still in the race decreased by 2.8pp. Meanwhile, voting intention for Sliwa decreased by 8.1pp.
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2⃣ Since Oct. 30, the voting intention gap between Cuomo (I) and Mamdani (D) in a hypothetical head-to-head election scenario decreased by 2.6pp.
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📊FINAL ATLAS POLL 2025 NYC Mayoral Election Mamdani (D) leads with 43.9% of the vote (+3.3 since Oct. 30), while Cuomo (I) trails close behind at 39.4% (+5.4 since Oct. 30). With Sliwa (R) dropping 8.6pp, the gap between Mamdani and Cuomo decreased to 4.5pp.
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