Astraia
@astraiatwt
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AI Researcher & Military Theorist. Personal/Backup account. Not OSINT.
Joined October 2023
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Last Seen Profiles
Pinned Tweet
Deleted. Not in the mood for controversial shit, let someone else bring X to it's senses 😅
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Those are some serious territorial gains. Glory to the Ukrainian defenders.
The pin represents geolocation.
🇺🇦🇷🇺 According to reports from the field, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have established control over more sectors on the eastern part of Krynki. Currently, about 80% of the settlement is under Ukrainian control while the rest is in the gray zone.
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Today I woke up and found out that our community has reached 20,000! 🎉
Thank you all for making this possible. 🥰
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⚠️ Russian Sources ⚠️
Enemy Milblogger "Romanov" claims that as of 7:50 PM the Armed Forces of Ukraine remain present in the settlement of Krynky. The red mark represents the current line of contact, which puts Ukrainian forces in control of the central part of the settlement.
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While still Shadowbanned, my main account,
@astraiaintel
, has now reached 19.9K followers.
Being a step away from the 20.000 mark, I want to express my gratitude to all of you that helped make this possible. 🎉🎉
Слава Україні ! 💙💛
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⚠️ Russian Sources ⚠️
As I shared with you a couple of days ago, it was not true that the bridgehead was wiped out in Pischanivka. The enemy reports of clashes in the vicinity of the settlement.
The counteroffensive continues.
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1/ Forcing the Issue on the Strategic Level - A thread 🧵:
Active frontline without southern Kherson: 545 km.
Krynky Bridgehead + 13 km.
Pischanivka/Dachi Bridgehead + 26 km.
A total of a 7% Increase in frontline length (584 Active).
Total potential: 1485 Kilometers.
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🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺 In Avdiivka, the Russian enjoys a significant geographic and logistical advantage, with the strategic "luxury" of being positioned perfectly to launch assaults from multiple vectors while being supported by endless armor in his attempt to break Ukrainian defense.
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🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺 Over the course of the past 24 hours, 800 Russian personnel, 7 tanks, 28 Armored Vehicles and 44 artillery systems have been neutralized by the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
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The main account will continue posting map updates on the Ukrainian war in order to not be forgotten by the algorithm. This is what the "minimum" I mentioned earlier referred to. There will be no liking, replying, posting combat footage etc.
Effective until the b
#n
is lifted..
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🇵🇸🇷🇺 The leaders of Hamas arrived in Moscow. Looks like the Russian public is extremely pleased to host terrorists.
Surprising.
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✚ Eastern Front - Avdiivka ✚
I'm sure that many of you watched a propaganda video of the Russians proudly planting their flag on Terrikon a few days ago.
Literally hours later, the flag met the same fate as their tanks and armored vehicles.
Rip 👍😂
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🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 In Kamchatka, a driver lost control and drove into a crowd of Russian military personnel who were crossing the road in the dark. They were subsequently taken to the hospital with serious injuries. Of note that the driver is also reported to be a military man.
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I refuse to normalize these numbers. I refuse to accept that 60 F-16s and 30 Abrams tanks are considered sufficient by the Pentagon.
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I was thankfully unable to confirm that
#MrFafo
has been eliminated. Cant believe I'm saying this, but i don't want that dude to die.
Well, he is a civilian, and most of all he is our Mr. Fafo..
Cant risk such an asset.
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I am writing this to express disagreement with those who feel that the loss of Terrikon is the end of the world. As someone who has previously criticized the effort in Orikhiv, I am known for not presenting an overly optimistic pro-Ukrainian perspective in my conclusions.
The Russian effort in the east is a delusion, powered by political motives and completely ignores the reality of this war.
This war can only be won either through the north for Russia or through the south of Ukraine. The east remains insignificant in the grand scheme of things.
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🇮🇱⚔️🇵🇸 Footage of the moment the IDF eliminated the deputy head of Hamas' intelligence department, who together with Yahya Sinwar planned the murderous terrorist attack on Israel.
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6/ However, forcing gaps on the Russian frontline, is certain to bring a swift end to the "positional" nature of the war, making maneuver warfare once again possible, albeit by forcing the issue. 🧵
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Deleted because I was losing followers. People are only ever ready to hear the truth that suits them. Mankind never changes.
Worrying trends. The Russian army is on the verge of collapsing apparently.
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✚ Southern Front - Krynky ✚
Source from the 46th Brigade of the AFU claims that "The beloved Dnipro will bring many more surprises to the enemy".
Expect the unexpected.
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Those "experts" that claim that the west does not have the sufficient industrial capacity to manufacture enough equipment/shells for the Ukrainian war effort.
What are you smoking. 😅
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I have tracked the claims about Putin's heart attack to their original source..
Baseless Telegram followbait tbh.. Don't fall for it
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🦉Ukrainian forces conducted a night operation in Crimea, targeting landing ships of the Russian fleet. On board of these ships were several armored vehicles, including a BTR-82.
Footage from the operation posted on Telegram.
Link:
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I want to thank you for standing with Ukraine. This is something we take for granted, but not everyone stood with Britain in WW2. Unfortunately.
Your contribution is valuable and greatly appreciated. 🤍❤️
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The link to my Telegram channel is:
Make sure to join, friends..
Elon Musk's Twitter does not seem to be very welcoming to Pro-Ukraine & Pro-Israel accounts.
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The Abrams tanks conveniently arrived when the summer offensive was over. We are not blind, we know what's happening.
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If as a democracy we lose the information war, we lose the war and we lose it quickly. The current p
#thetic
state of the western propaganda machine has to be addressed.
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With the positive news in Krynky, there are also unfortunate news further west, in the area around Poyma and Pischanivka Russian forces have indeed managed to push Ukrainian forces back but the bridgehead remains.
The situation remains problematic for them in the area.
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🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺 Over the course of the past 24 hours, 810 Russian personnel, 12 tanks, 16 Armored Vehicles and 24 artillery systems have been neutralized by the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
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2/ Percent Active increase as of Total: 36% —> 39%
🔺 Spreading Russian elements thin is a hit to their overall defensive potential.
💡 Any talk of southern Kherson being a waste of resources is bullshit for multiple reasons, this being one of them.
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🇮🇱⚔️🇵🇸 Sickening.. Hamas leader claims they will repeat the events of the Al-Aqsa Flood again. Later he was questioned about his objectives. "Does that mean the annihilation of Israel?" "Yes, of course," he replied.
Their aim is the eradication of the Israeli people. Genocide.
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🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺 I have gone through a great deal of material and reports..
As of this moment there is no sign that the Russians have captured Terikkon. The stronghold remains a gray zone.
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I could be honest and offend a lot of people. Mainly the Russians. This Avdiivka offensive is the best thing that happened for Ukraine since the Russians abandoned Kherson.
@astraiawatch
Is it not still worrisome that the Russians seem to slowly be making their way to controlling the terrikon?
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🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺 Shoigu claimed that the Russians have new complexes that have already shot down 24 Ukrainian planes in five days...
Even Vatniks did not believe it.
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Previously I posted a video of a UA commander claiming he was deployed somewhere under the cover of secrecy.
I captioned it with lines from the "Chanson d'automne".
The poem I paraphrased was used by allied forces as a signal that D-Day had begun.
He was deployed in Kherson.
Be kind to Mr Robert! A deployment under the cover of secrecy. I like it.
Will those old violins of Autumn start playing their monotonous languor then? Oh how I wonder..
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4/ While the Russians currently have sufficient reserves, a sudden increase in the frontline length to 1485km would leave them in a state of shock, spreading their forces thin enough to create gaps in the frontline for the numerically superior Ukrainian Forces to exploit. 🗺️
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@astraiaintel
The lifes of all civilians, Muslim and Jewish alike, matter and matter equally.
The difference is that one side targets them intentionally while the other is constantly "roof-knocking" attempting to get them out of harms way.
Know what you support.
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In the words of general Ben Hodges, "Crimea is the decisive terrain of this war."
Kherson is the gateway to Crimea.
Do not get over-fixated on Zaporizhzhia and the Eastern Front friends.
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🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺 Ukraine will begin targeting Russia's oil and gas infrastructure if it intensifies attacks on the country's energy system this winter, says the Minister of Energy of Ukraine.
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Obviously, without a breakthrough, nothing of strategic value can be achieved for the enemy. Those marginal territorial gains would not even be reported under normal circumstances.
✚ Eastern Front - Avdiivka ✚
🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺 On the southern flank of the city, Russian forces have achieved minor advances in the direction of Pervomaiske, in the western and northern part of Vodiane, and northwest of Opytne.
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🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺 1/ Quick update on Avdiivka: Tericon is a gray zone. This does indeed represent a tactical setback for Ukrainian forces, but Russian claims that they control the area are an element of disinformation.
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"Russia's borders end where civilization begins."
- Anonymous NAFO commenter 🧡
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5/ In general, the numerical superiority of the Armed Forces of Ukraine currently holds limited significance in offensive operations.
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Significant - This move will allow for additional, much needed strategic flexibility, including for strengthening the frontline/border in the north.
Necessary - There can be no delusions about the scale and totality of this conflict. Ukraine is preparing for a long war.
🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺 The Armed Forces of Ukraine plan to draft an additional 500,000 personnel. Significant and necessary.
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What are those bullshit suggestions coming from people saying that Ukraine should abandon Avdiivka.. Even if, which is far from certain, in the end the Russians manage to capture Avdiivka; Why give territory without a fight?
Crazy.
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Whatever the case, I won't lie to people that follow me nor will I treat them like fools for social media growth. I'm sorry but any idea of Russia or Ukraine running out of equipment is straight up bullshit.
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Because the few Bradleys that were provided were used way too effectively by the Ukrainians. It gave a few people in the Pentagon sleepless nights.
We can't risk having the Ukrainians win conventionally or something! That would anger Russia!
WOULD SOMEONE PLEASE ....
investigate the administration on why it just sold (at a insane cheap price) our last 500 extra bradleys to morrocco.. from reports it was done last month after ukraine begged for them...
was it to keep them out of ukraine? i would like to know.
and…
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Looks like the Russians indeed managed to intercept the ATACMs missiles with their air defense..
But there is a catch. 😅😂
🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 The Russians again intercepted ATACMs by letting them hit and neutralize their equipment.. Impressive!
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Unpopular opinion: The failure of the experimental "elite" NATO-standard 47th Brigade to capture something as lightly defended as Tsarska Ohota to complete the encirclement is a disaster that makes it quite clear that the experiment has failed.
✚ Eastern Front - Avdiivka Sector ✚
🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺 Russian forces have managed to expand their territorial control zone southwards by approx 200 meters/yards in the direction of the central residential area.
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3/ So, what's the big deal? Soviet doctrine should not be underestimated for its defensive ability, as it is probably the most best in leveraging superiority in personnel numbers. 🇺🇦🇷🇺
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Finally! Recep Tayip Erdoğan, has submitted a bill for Sweden’s NATO membership bid to parliament for ratification. Looks like Sweden is going to join the family soon. 🇸🇪 🇹🇷
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Russia is not a superpower and should not be treated as one. Why manufacture a second Afghanistan while they could be beaten conventionally? Why allowing them to evade humiliation?
Their delusions of grandeur can and SHOULD be crashed. US planners are stuck in the 80s.
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🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺 Russian military Intelligence seems to expect the main landing force to land on the shores of Hola Prystan. Not sure how they came to this conclusion since this is clearly a horrible area to carry this out.
Most likely wrong.
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I'll take the liberty to once again present to you a blurry visualization of current Russian positions.
Do you notice it? They are not defending the north at all.
This is the reason the pathetic 400,000 figure is sufficient to defend against the AFU in the south!
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🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺 Image from a trench under the settlement of Verbove. Infested with Russians.
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If someone knows him, I would appreciate getting his X handle. I believe people like him, who passionately advocate for something, in this instance climate activism, yet choose not to blindly follow the crowd, deserve a voice here.
It would be an honor to give him a shout-out.
Greta Thunberg continues to preach against Israel. A brave man takes the stage: "I came here for a climate demonstration, not for your political views", and then the violent crowds overpower him.
Find me the name and twitter handle of this hero.
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It is American (and German) indecisiveness that costed the lives of hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians. And you are telling me I should be grateful for 30 tanks? Is this a joke? Where is the arsenal of democracy?
This is the price of slow-walking western aid. This is a nation that placed its trust on you.
The same nation that underwent a Pro-Western revolution to extend its hand to the West. The same nation that relinquished all of its nuclear weapons in an effort to appease you. 🤬
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Gotta love how the Pro-Palestinian Cult invokes history while almost all of them think that before 1947 there was a Palestinian state in place of today's Israel. 💀
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Will they capture it? It's unlikely but possible, their geographic advantage is simply overwhelming. Any talk of encirclement however is simply delusion. The AFU has been preparing for this for the past decade.
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The war in Ukraine, as well as the Hamas attack on Israel stand testament to the dangers of American political polarization.
The democrats supporting something, shouldn't necessarily mean that the Republicans must support the exact opposite and vice versa..
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I will be straightforward here, and my words might be offensive to some. For this I apologize.
Manpower, or infantry, is regarded as the cheapest most expendable resource in warfare. This is not exclusive to Russia.
@astraiawatch
One has to wonder how long can Russia prosecute a war with the daily losses they are experiencing. When it comes to human losses, sadly Russia will continue the slater as long as the sun rises in the east with no hesitation. The losses in material equipment will finally give…
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Everybody gangsta until Ukraine gets naval superiority. 👌
Russia, how are you losing the naval war against a country without a navy.. Just how?!
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🤣 Global firepower lists Russia as merely 3 points behind the U.S. retaining it's place in the second spot..
What crack are you smoking? Just admit that you were wrong about Russia being the world's second army.
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To celebrate 20K I was planning to make a post where I follow all the people in the replies but I was told this could prolong the shad$wban. 🥹
We will find a way to make it happen 😊
Today I woke up and found out that our community has reached 20,000! 🎉
Thank you all for making this possible. 🥰
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LMAO the Russians tried to create a deepfake AI video of Zaluzhny declaring a coup and it's so funny. 😂
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All I'm saying is that you should make sure that your political affiliation is not a factor in supporting literal terrorism and a genocidal war against the state of Israel.
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I believe this resolves the issue. None of the ATACMs missiles depicted in the images were actually intercepted. Instead, the entire situation appears to be a rather amusing attempt by the enemy to capture an image of a sword's hilt in order to divert attention from their injury.
2/ One very important thing to consider here is that, on the M39 ATACMs variant, the engine is jettisoned prior to impact. The situation most likely represents a Russian PsyOp/Propaganda effort. 🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺
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🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺 Accurate counter-battery fire of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the left bank of the Dnipro river. Footage of an enemy piece getting "silenced".
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🇦🇲 Armenian PM Nikol Pashinyan stated that there's no advantage in the ongoing presence of Russian military bases in Armenia. He also said that Yerevan is actively seeking new partners due to his belief that Moscow has not fulfilled its allied obligations.
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We need answers.
Who advised Ukraine to halt operations while the Russian army was weak and mobilizing?
Who was it in the Ukrainian general staff that thought 90 leopards would make a difference in the battlefield?
How did the Russians achieve a breakout from Crimea in Februar
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Why is everyone calling it the Russia-China railway. Is the term 🏳️⚧️-Siberian out of fashion nowadays? 🧐
🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺 On November 30th, Ukrainian saboteurs targeted a freight train moving along the Trans-Siberian railway at the Itykit-Okusikan crossing in Buryatia. The train, spanning a total of 50 cars, included 41 tank cars carrying diesel and 3 tank cars transporting aviation fuel.
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If I had to say what I dislike the most about this development is that I'm unable to reply or offer a like to people that comment under the posts. I feel that it's disrespectful to not interact with people that took time to comment. 😰
I hope this issue will be resolved soon
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🥹 Friends, here's a picture of the beautiful skies of Ukraine at night, an Autumn's Aurora..
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Poland, sort your shit out. While western aid being blocked is not such a huge issue, this "blockade" represents a significant bottleneck to the raw materials and chips needed to power the Ukrainian war industry.
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In US military doctrine, to achieve a breakthrough with the kind of defenses we see in southern Ukraine, you need air superiority, and much more. We did not provide that to the Ukrainians," former CIA chief Gen. David Petraeus said in an interview with the BBC
I refuse to normalize these numbers. I refuse to accept that 60 F-16s and 30 Abrams tanks are considered sufficient by the Pentagon.
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🇪🇺🇺🇦 Ukraine's EU membership application to be assessed on November 8th.
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2/ Ukrainian elements continue offensive actions towards Pisky, south of Avdiivka. If successful in this direction, Russian dreams of encircling Avdiivka will quickly collapse.
Worth keeping an eye on.
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In spite of the significant geographic and material advantage Russian forces are enjoying in the sector, Avdiivka does not look too hot for them.
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Precisely. Please, for the love of God, do not hold elections during wartime. Ukraine is not America to be messing around like this.
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If necessary for years, if necessary alone. The Ukrainian nation is awake and furious.
🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺 The Armed Forces of Ukraine plan to draft an additional 500,000 personnel. Significant and necessary.
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I have, since even before the start of the counteroffensive, kept saying and will keep on saying that Kherson is much more important than Zaporizhzhia. I reject the notion that what has been happening in Kherson is "nothing major".
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People in 2021: "At least we still have world peace"
Meanwhile donbass wildlife:
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Kuleba: "If Russia is not punished, the number of wars will increase"
In my opinion the only acceptable as well as the only necessary punishment is defeat. Russia can not be allowed to retain control of the annexed territories.
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Because in modern warfare quality is nothing without sufficient quantity. They will not change anything at all. Ukraine can not depend on the western "allies" and their comedian support any longer.
👀 "Ukraine still has not used Abrams tanks and is unlikely to do so before spring", - Business Insider
The publication writes that this is due to the fact that it is difficult to use them profitably due to deteriorating weather and due to the Russian defensive lines.
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No person with a brain that understands war will say that the Ukrainians blew up the dam. There is simply no debate there.
The Russians blew up the dam, and it was a great strategic decision that limited Ukrainian strategic freedom during the summer offensive.
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This is why you need a tactical cat with you in the trenches.. 😼🐈
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🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 This sector of the front resembles a coordinated dance; the question is, who will be the first to trip?
Let us dance then, Russians. After all, your propaganda claims that time is on your side. I'm sure there are no surprises ahead..
✚ Eastern Front - Avdiivka Sector ✚
🇺🇦⚔️🇷🇺 As Russian forces to the north of Avdiivka have managed to breach Ukrainian defense along the railway line, Ukrainian forces have made additional gains towards the settlement of Pisky, south of the city.
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Times have changed.. I think this quote needs to be updated.
Rule 1 on the first page of the book of war is: Don't F with America.
Rule 2 is: Don't start a multi-front war against Israel.
Rule 3 is: If you value anything holy, don't break Rule 1 and Rule 2 at the same time. 😬
🇱🇧⚔️🇮🇱 With today's strikes, It appears that the Israeli Defense Forces have had enough of Hezbollah. The IDF has begun the distribution of leaflets, urging local residents to relocate to the north.
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🇮🇱🇺🇸 A squadron of F-16 fighter jets from the US Air Force has arrived in the relevant region of the Palestinian-Israeli war theater to strengthen American military presence.
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