1/20 A deep dive into international support for 🇺🇦Ukraine reveals a critical challenge: the gap between promises made and aid delivered. This isn't just a logistical issue; it has real-time consequences on the battlefield. A 👇thread based on the Ukraine Support Tracker data

This is the new 🇺🇦Armed Forces of Ukraine. Modern, determined, and open to all patriots. The 92nd Brigade welcomes its latest volunteers —young men and, for the first time, women — training to be elite drone pilots under "Contract 18-24." For young Ukrainians abroad: this is a

20/20 To ensure 🇺🇦Ukraine's victory, three things are essential: 👉Close the commitment-delivery gap. 👉Scale up defence production for sustained support. 👉Ensure fair and transparent burden-sharing. The time for action is always now. Thank you, @kielinstitute, for your

19/20 The conclusion is clear. The support for Ukraine is significant, but the gap between political promises and tangible deliveries creates dangerous vulnerabilities. Slow bureaucratic processes need reform to match the urgency of the war. #StopRussia #UkraineWillWin

18/20 Is the current level of aid historically unprecedented? No. In WWII, the US dedicated 3.16% of its GDP to aid the UK. Today, aid to Ukraine is around 0.19% of US GDP—16 times less in relative terms. The capacity to do more exists. #History #LendLease

17/20 In contrast, 🇪🇺EU financial support primarily consists of long-term loans. While crucial, this will add to Ukraine's future debt burden and impact post-war recovery. #EU #Finance #UkraineRecovery

16/20 Financial aid is the lifeblood that keeps the Ukrainian state functioning. But the type of aid matters. 🇺🇸U.S. financial aid has largely been in the form of grants, which is the most favorable option for Ukraine. #EconomicSupport #UkraineEconomy

15/20 These actions are the strongest possible signal of strategic partnership. For these countries, Ukraine's fight is inseparable from their own national security. #NATO #EuropeanSecurity

14/20 Here, the commitment is staggering. 🇩🇰Denmark has delivered more tanks and IFVs than it had in its pre-war arsenal. 🇬🇧The UK transferred 106% of its 155mm howitzer stock. This is true solidarity. #Denmark #UK #MilitarySupport

13/20 The most telling metric of commitment? The share of a country's own pre-war arsenal given to Ukraine. This measures a nation's willingness to accept a temporary reduction in its own defenсe capabilities for a partner's security. #Security #Commitment

12/20 In comparison, the contributions of larger economies, while huge in value, represent a smaller fraction of their economic power. For instance, the 🇺🇸U.S. contribution is 0.56% of its GDP, and 🇩🇪Germany's is 0.57%.

11/20 When measured as a % of their own GDP, a different picture emerges. The leaders are nations that perceive the threat most acutely: 🇩🇰Denmark (2.89% of GDP), 🇪🇪Estonia (2.80%), and 🇱🇹Lithuania (2.16%). #Baltics #Scandinavia #StandWithUkraine

10/20 Who provides the most support? In absolute terms, the U.S. is the largest single-country donor with over €114 billion in total aid. However, this isn't the whole story. #InternationalSupport #Allies

9/20 By Q1 2024, new contracts (€3.9B) far surpassed stock transfers (€2.1B). While this stimulates Western defence industries, it means longer lead times. Ukraine needs a predictable, steady flow of aid. #DefenceIndustry #ArmUkraine

8/20 A key military trend is the shift from donating existing stocks to funding new production contracts. In Q1 2022, aid from stocks was €2.0B vs €0 from new purchases. #Defense #MilitaryTech

7/20 The structure of aid has also evolved. Initially focused on humanitarian relief (€1.29B peak in March 2022) , it has shifted to predominantly military and financial aid. This reflects a long-term strategy. #MilitaryAid #FinancialAid

6/20 For Ukraine, this delay is critical. A promised artillery shell that arrives 6 months late cannot stop an offensive happening today. The battlefield doesn't wait for bureaucracy. This gap directly impacts our ability to defend our land and people. #ArmUkraineNow

5/20 In contrast, 🇺🇸the United States has a much smaller gap between its commitments and deliveries. This is largely due to more centralised decision-making and mechanisms like the Presidential Drawdown Authority (PDA), which allows for faster transfers. #USA #USAAid

4/20 This friction is most visible with large institutional donors. The 🇪🇺EU and its member states have committed a massive €204.90 billion, but only €141.29 billion has actually been allocated. This delay is a critical vulnerability. #EU #EuropeanUnion

3/20 The core problem is the "commitment-allocation gap". This is the measurable delay between political pledges and resources actually reaching Ukraine. This gap is a key indicator of "political friction" within the donor coalition. #SupportUkraine #Accountability

2/20 The scale of promised aid is immense. However, analysis shows international support is often reactive, not proactive. Peaks in aid allocation correlate with major battles, like Bakhmut in Jan 2023 (€13.31B) or the 2024 US aid package (€10.81B in April). #UkraineWar