Mike Domenic
@armyguynyc
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Pro options trader; Ex Merrill Lynch, Founder Pickaxe Capital; Retired US Army Special Ops officer; French speaker; Sky,SCUBA diver; Achieve the unachievable 😉
World traveler - Bali
Joined April 2011
Checkout the ascending wedge B/O in the Gator’s win probability % last night. A series of higher lows (blue arrows) after challenging resistance at 50% (red arrows) then B/O. Whether a sport or a stock market, its group behavior. BOOM! $SPY $QQQ #Gators
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6 times since 1980 when $SPX monthly ST (14), IT (28), and LT (56) RSI all diverged lower they were confirmed by lower $SPX price. 6 of 6 times led to a bear market (1990 20%) (2000 51%) (2007 57%) (2018 20%) (2020 precovid 35%) (2022 27%). Feb 2025 is the 7th time.
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Our buddy @armyguynyc from the Alpha Team VTF® said this about $MSTR this morning. An interesting take:
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$DJT Nov ATM options are 30%. If it continues to rally into or near 5 Nov, I’ll definitely sell upside calls. Justification: 1. Trump loses stock falls. 2. Trump wins stock drops already priced in. 3. Win or lose, the option premium will suck out b/c the risk event is over.
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The “Hockey Stick” pattern. I self named this pattern. Refers to the pattern’s general shape. 1. A steep decline (sellers strong). 2. Then a southeasterly move (sellers getting weak, buyers getting strong). 3. Break higher (buyers strong). $SPY $SPX $QQQ, $CRUS
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$MSTR. 1 hour “hockey stick” pattern with curling MACD and bullish diverging Stochs. Standby for a B/O > 198 to confirm. I'm long $MSTY and short $MSTR Nov 200/195 puts - yes, I'm short ITM puts
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I’m not a fan of $MARA , but the chart is compelling. A bull flag > rising 5 DSMA within a triangle and RSI already B/O. Chart. $BTC $MSTR
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The updated $SPX 5 and 10 DSMA Swing Trading Strategy. -A very simple and effective swing trading strategy. -Buy when 5 DSMA crosses > 10 DSMA and sell vice versa. Hold as long as 5 DSMA is rising. That’s it. -It can be fine tuned to buy/sell when 5 DSMA begins to curl or moves
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For swing traders, If you're not long $AAPL on this flag B/O you're wrong. Soooo many bullish indications.
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Add $XBI to your trade list. Its “hockey stick” pattern is likely to B/O soon. The RSI already has. Its 100 DSMA and .618 retracement both held. Chart.
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$SKYT popped up on my scan. $450Mn Mkt Cap. Pattern and technicals look great. Day 1 y’day, MACD trend confirmation signal with low ADX; RSI, CCI already B/O. ER 7 Nov. Chart.
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$KRE. A little “something-something” may be brewing and with IHS in RSI and CCI. Whoa!! Chart $JPM, $BKW, $DPST
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Yield Max $MSTY has led $MSTR proving a clue what would happen near term. $MSTY has already B/O to ATHs. Chart.
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