🧵 to unpack the UK #GeneralElections2024 Results #UKElection2024 #GE2024 1/ Keir Starmer is neck to neck with Tony Blair 1997 victory making it a historic win for #LabourParty. However, in terms of vote shares #GE2024 ranks below average as compared to past 100 years.

NEW: "Small Boats And The Rising Tide Of Racism". @GoldbergRadio hears from how negative headlines about a minority of migrants affect the public's view of all of them. With @apuravbhatiya and @ZoeJardiniere From @BylineTimes https://t.co/2qg8xF1kwY

India launched missile strikes into Pakistan, triggering a serious escalation following the #PahalgamTerrorAttack that killed 28 civilians. Our new paper in the @JPubEcon offers a timely lens to understand the political consequences of such events. #econtwitter 🧵Here:

Full Text: “When do voters 'rally around the flag'? The salience of political messages” (with @YatishArya21), @JPubEcon, 2025

Moments like the current escalation are not just military responses—they are political signals. When national security takes centre stage, it can sideline other issues (youth unemployment) and shift voter support toward national parties and strong leadership.

Survey data shows that voters in constituencies affected by conflict are more likely to prioritise national security & credit the incumbent for a strong response. Among them, those with higher media exposure are even more likely to support the BJP—consistent with salience effects

Political speeches and media coverage are powerful tools for making national security salient. When leaders highlight it repeatedly and the media sustains attention, these issues shape the public conversation and influence voting behaviour.

Modi’s strongman image plays directly into this strategy. When violence is framed as a national security crisis—with talk of “terror camps” and “decisive leadership”—governments can turn such moments into political gains.

We show that conflict events—especially when tied to secessionist violence and amplified by political rhetoric and media—can trigger a strong “rally around the flag” effect, leading to increased electoral support for the incumbent.

India launched missile strikes into Pakistan, triggering a serious escalation following the #PahalgamTerrorAttack that killed 28 civilians. Our new paper in the @JPubEcon offers a timely lens to understand the political consequences of such events. #econtwitter 🧵Here:

To help #postgraduates prepare for the December virtual #jobmarket, the RES will host a 1-hour webinar where you will hear from hiring academics as well as new recruits. 🗓️13 November ⌛️14:30-15:30 More info👉 https://t.co/D7OuxTjCyj #EconTwitter #EJME #RESEvents #EconEvents

On November 25 and 26, CERGIC will host the second edition of the Junior Workshop, which is a great opportunity for young researchers to meet and discuss their work with senior economists from @ENSdeLyon. You can find the call for papers below.

Thrilled to continue the young scholar series at the @IdeasofIndia podcast @mercatus, where I invite academic job market candidates working on India to talk about their research. I have a handful of 30 min slots. To be considered, please use this google form (takes about 5-7

📄Call for Papers is now open! RFBerlin invites submissions for our upcoming conference on "Migration: Economics, Politics, and Development". Submit your work now and share this call with colleagues! Submit: https://t.co/BcqptbM4V0

"Calling all senior academics! Be an #AMIE #Mentor and support junior scholars in our field. Make a #lasting #impact on junior scholars' careers. Only 5 days left to apply! Please RT and spread the word! 🎓🤝 #AcademicTwitter #MentorshipMatters"

We're hiring! Come work with @LoriBeaman @livia_alfonsi @karsha & me on our Firms and Sexual Harassment Prevention project! We are looking for an expert in spatial data analysis, fluent in GIS/Python/R. Start asap. Project will be 1-3 months. @econ_ra https://t.co/nbdIISzzcH

NEW on the Economics Observatory - What happened in the 2024 UK general election? by @apuravbhatiya #EconTwitter #GE2024Economists https://t.co/chiRD7gh2L

Exciting days at the International Research Workshop on Inter-group Relations and Integration in London! More than a dozen brilliant speakers shared insights on global issues and research questions.🌐✨ #ResearchWorkshop #InterGroupRelations #Discrimination #EconTwitter

Come work with @anahitark, @Jeff_Weaver_, and me on a project measuring social norms and discrimination in rural India. We are looking for one India-based full-time Senior Research Associate (SRA) and one full-time Research Associate (RA), starting on or after 1st August 2024.

🧵 to unpack the UK #GeneralElections2024 Results #UKElection2024 #GE2024 1/ Keir Starmer is neck to neck with Tony Blair 1997 victory making it a historic win for #LabourParty. However, in terms of vote shares #GE2024 ranks below average as compared to past 100 years.

UK #GeneralElection2024 constituency level results by party compiled in excel with ONS identifiers. Access the full data here: https://t.co/9M6LrLYHaX Also, 1919 - 2019 #GeneralElection results by constituency: https://t.co/Y8ZFeSe3JM #EconTwitter #PoliSciTwitter