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Adam Kelsey

@adamkelsey

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New York, USA
Joined June 2011
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@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
5 months
But anyway, he’s awesome and he clearly still loves to play hockey and score goals, and it was a total blast getting to see about 100 of those while I was working for the team. Never gets old.
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@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
5 months
What’s cool about @ovi8 is that that was his 6th goal in the last 5 games, 7th in the last 7, 8th in the last 9. He’s not Bernie Mac in “Mr. 3000” (a reference that surely everyone understands), it’s important goals down the stretch for one of the best teams in the league.
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@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
5 months
Awesome stuff from the great @JohnWaltonPxP as well:.
@CapitalsRadio
Capitals Radio Network
5 months
"OVECHKIN HAS REACHED THE SUMMIT.". Here's @JohnWaltonPxP's call of the historic No. 894, as heard on
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@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
5 months
Unreal. And a @JoeBpXp call to meet the moment.
@Capitals
Washington Capitals
5 months
EIGHT. NINETY. FOUR. WE ARE WITNESSING GR8NESS.
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@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
10 months
Fairly shocking to see Harris underperform Clinton in chunks of NJ. There was a lot of attention on the Latino voters in Hudson and Passaic counties last night, but even in Hoboken, far less Latino than the rest of Hudson, Harris fell to 68, after Clinton was at 73 and Biden 76.
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@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
10 months
I don't think we'll see major news org projections until after polls are closed nationwide, but I do believe we will see them overnight.
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@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
10 months
Note: I'm not employed by a news org any longer, I'm just a private citizen looking at maps and numbers, my analysis is mine alone. I think it is somewhat clear Trump is going to win this election. I also believe it is somewhat likely he eclipses 300 electoral votes.
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@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
10 months
Harris down to 80 in Philly now. Only 1/3 in, but that target 82-83 is a real thing. She needs to bounce back a bit to stay in it. Similar to what's happening in ATL. Matching Biden instead of having a bit more cushion now that day-of vote is coming in.
@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
10 months
I don't think there's much to say about Pennsylvania atm until they move past the early-vote numbers. I'd put Harris's target in Philadelphia at 82-83%. Fetterman had 83 in a relatively comfortable win. She's at 87 right now, but it'll come down a bit with the day-of vote.
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@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
10 months
Harris will win Virginia, but Trump has improved in Loudon, Prince William, etc. in a relatively significant way that could portend similar improvements in suburban counties in Pennsylvania and Michigan, which, in turn, would be more impactful, obviously.
@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
10 months
Interested in the Virginia numbers now that they're closed. The purpleish suburbs/exurbs of DC were critical to Youngkin in 2021.
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@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
10 months
In Texas, ~75% is in in Austin, Houston and San Antonio, plus 50% in Dallas. Colin Allred is lagging behind Beto O'Rourke's performance six years ago in all four. Texas tends to report early/mail-in vote first, so good news for Ted Cruz, not a great sign for Allred.
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@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
10 months
I don't think there's much to say about Pennsylvania atm until they move past the early-vote numbers. I'd put Harris's target in Philadelphia at 82-83%. Fetterman had 83 in a relatively comfortable win. She's at 87 right now, but it'll come down a bit with the day-of vote.
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@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
10 months
In Union County, NC, outside of Charlotte, 75% of the expected vote is in and Harris is lagging Biden's performance by 2.8 pts. This is one of those growing suburban counties where Dems wanted to close the gap. This is the opposite. Still a sizable chunk of vote out though.
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@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
10 months
With less vote in, Harris has improved slightly over Biden's performance in Cobb and Gwinnett. She'll need those votes, plus similar improvement in DeKalb to make up for where she's lagged behind (for now) in Fulton.
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@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
10 months
Up to 77% in in Fulton and Harris has not expanded this lead. I don't know specifically which areas of the county are outstanding, but I'll repeat that she needs to improve upon her current 43-pt lead by at least 3 points to be competitive.
@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
10 months
Only about 1/2 of Fulton County, GA in and Harris is lagging slightly behind Biden's performance. This is Atlanta, lots of votes, so she'll need to improve on this when the back half of votes come in.
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@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
10 months
Gonna have to wait on more Charlotte-area vote.
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@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
10 months
Harris is running 5 pts ahead of Biden in Orange Co, NC (Chapel Hill) with over 80% in. Woud be an encouraging sign for her, but it's also even with where Cheri Beasley was in the 2022 Senate race and she lost by a larger margin than Biden, so. .
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@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
10 months
Kornacki just noted that Harris is slightly improving down in Fayette (Peachtree City), but not enough votes there to make up for any stagnation in Fulton and the large blue suburbs (Cobb, DeKalb, Gwinnett -- where no vote is in yet).
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@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
10 months
Only about 1/2 of Fulton County, GA in and Harris is lagging slightly behind Biden's performance. This is Atlanta, lots of votes, so she'll need to improve on this when the back half of votes come in.
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@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
10 months
In Clayton Co, south of ATL, 2/3 of the expected vote is in and Harris is running even with 2020 Biden, up about 71. She'd ideally like to be closer to Warnock's 78-point margin over Walker, especially if this is mostly early vote. There are well over 100k total voters in Clayton.
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@adamkelsey
Adam Kelsey
10 months
MSNBC's got De La Soul out in the streets of Philly right now. RIP Trugoy.
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