Alex Johnson
@a_johnsonFF
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Founder and bossman @YardsPer | Host of the Feed Me Fantasy Podcast | I yell bad takes
Joined November 2015
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I discussed 6 running backs to target at the end of rookie drafts on today’s episode of the Feed Me Fantasy Podcast
🎧:
🎥:
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8
The moment when DJ Moore realized he’s basically still on the Panthers
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28K
It’s heartbreaking to see how much FAAB people are burning on Puka Nacua💔
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My guys this year:
Cam Akers
Travis Etienne
Adam Trautman
Michael Thomas
Rashod Bateman
Dak Prescott
I’m truly sorry.
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We’re not talking enough about how good Chase Edmonds is gonna be in Miami
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Sometimes I look at these Jonathan Taylor and D’Andre Swift performances and just wonder what Cam Akers (and JK Dobbins) would be doing right now if he were healthy.
That 2020 RB class was so 🔥
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I want nothing to do with Kenny Golladay this year. Anyone else?
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Top-5 RBs in Week 1 Target Share
1. Christian McCaffrey: 26%
2. Antonio Gibson: 24%
3. Nyheim Hines: 21
4. Alvin Kamara: 19%
5. D’Andre Swift: 19%
T-5. Myles Gaskin: 19%
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Can we get Allen Robinson a QB in 2021?
Please.
Before it’s too late.
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The worst part about this Etienne injury is all the idiots who’ve drafted James Robinson are going to be rewarded for bad process
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If you’re drafting Kyle Pitts before Etienne, Harris, or Chase, you’re a fool
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Jonathan Taylor, RB, Wisconsin
➕Mega-Producer
➕Prototypical RB1 Size
➕99th %tile Speed Score
➕41.8% Dominator
➕10.6% Target Share in 2019
➕Averaged 2,058 rush yds/season
➖18 Fumbles in 3 seasons
➖8 rec in Fr & So seasons
➖❓As a receiver
➖27th %ile Bench Press
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@Daboys_22
I don’t know, the Bucs seem to be doing a pretty good job defending him tonight.
Wait.
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Teams with the Most vacated targets:
1. Falcons: 258
2. Cowboys: 190
3. Jets: 183
4. Texans: 167
5. Cardinals: 156
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Rashod Bateman played 65% of the snaps and tied Mark Andrews for a team-high 22% target share in his season debut
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TJ Hockenson is the most obvious breakout candidate that no one is talking about
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Terrace Marshall has as high a ceiling as anyone in this class not named Ja’Marr Chase
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Imagine Terry McLaurin with a good QB...
No.5 in targets
No.4 in routes
No.8 in Target Rate
No.2 in Air Yards Share
No.2 in YAC
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
No.68 in Target Accuracy
No.72 in Target Quality
No.76 in Catchable Target Rate
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I made this trade this week:
Sent:
✅1.02
✅Kenny Pickett
Received:
✅Lamar Jackson
✅2024 3rd
10-team; SuperFlex
How’d I do?
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Baylor WR Denzel Mims
➕4.38 40-time
➕Upper % Athleticism
➕50% of Baylor’s pass TDs in 2019
➕19.9 Breakout Age
➕42.3% Dominator
➕15.5 YPR
➖12.9% Drop Rate 2018-19
➖2.8 YAC per reception
➖1 Rush att/1 KR in 4 seasons
➖4 receptions from the slot
➖non-early declare
(1/2)
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Jonathan Taylor, RB, Wisconsin
➕Mega-Producer
➕Prototypical RB1 Size
➕99th %tile Speed Score
➕41.8% Dominator
➕10.6% Target Share in 2019
➕Averaged 2,058 rush yds/season
➖18 Fumbles in 3 seasons
➖8 rec in Fr & So seasons
➖❓As a receiver
➖27th %ile Bench Press
(1/2)
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Denzel Mims. Jalen Reagor. Buy em. Everywhere. Now. You’re Welcome. Goodnight.
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I love hearing
@evansilva
and
@Fantasy_Mansion
tout Miles Sanders as the best value in fantasy drafts.
Here is why I am drafting Sanders (And you should, too)
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2017:
AJ Brown: 75-1,252-11 (11 games)
DK Metcalf: 39-646-7 (12 games)
#FantasyFootball
#NFLDraft
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Why draft Bijan Robinson in round 1 when you can draft Rachaad White in round 7?
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Justin Herbert threw for 405 yards
Mike Williams exited early
Quentin Johnston: 2 catches, 10 yards
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USC WR Michael Pittman Jr
➕Above average size-adjusted athleticism
➕32.8% (60th-%ile) Dominator
➕15.6 (63rd-%ile) YPR
➕2.8% drop rate
➕89th-%ile Catch Radius
➖20.9 (39th-%ile) Breakout Age
➖1 rush attempt in 4 seasons
➖Production came late in his career
➖Senior
(1/2)
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Kentucky WR Lynn Bowden
➕YAC
➕Versatile
➕80 KR/PR (2 TDs)
➕206 rush att
➕27% Target Share in ‘18
➕38% TD Share in ‘18
➖26.3% Dominator
➖11.4 YPR
➖Move to QB in ‘19
➖16.2% Drop Rate
➖Incomplete athletic profile
➖Jack of all trades master of none
➖Only 114 career rec
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Most unaccounted for carries
1. Texans: 254
2. Rams: 234
3. Buccaneers: 215
4. Chargers: 191
5. Falcons: 190
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Top-5 Best Passing Game Schedules for 2020
1. Bears
2. Panthers
3. Packers
4. Browns
5. Lions
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I’d rather have Jerry Jeudy than Devonta Smith. Is that a hot take?
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A reminder of what we liked about Denzel Mims coming out of Baylor:
•4.38 40-time
•Speed Score: 96th-percentile
•Burst Score: 90th
•Agility Score: 67th
•Catch Radius: 96th
•SPARQ-x: 77th
•50% of Baylor’s pass TDs in 2019
•19.9 Breakout Age
•42.3% Dominator
•15.5 YPR
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One year ago today, my dream of running my own Fantasy Football website came true with the launch of
And what a first year!
I have grown as an analyst & business owner, learning a ton along the way. To see the the site traffic grow exponentially...
(1/2)
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People saying James Robinson is a better RB than Travis Etienne is a real thing that happened
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This is what happens when you lie about a fucking concussion and then let him take another one four days later
People should lose their jobs over this. But it won’t happen
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Who are some of ��Your Guys’ this year?
I’ll start...
Christian Kirk
Miles Sanders
Damien Harris
MVS
Justice Hill
Dalvin Cook
Mark Andrews
...To name a few.
#FantasyFootball
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Rashod Bateman’s target shares since returning from injury: 22%, 14%, 20%
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Christian Kirk
2018:
43 receptions (68 targets) for 590 yards & three touchdowns in 12 games
True Catch Rate: 89.6-percent
+39.9 Target Premium (No.5)
26.8 Dominator rating (No.23)
2019: In line for 110+ targets. Gets QB upgrade in a now pass-heavy offense
9th round ADP 🤷🏻♂️🤦♂️
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WR Denzel Mims, Baylor
➕4.38 40-time
➕Upper % Athleticism
➕50% of Baylor’s pass TDs in 2019
➕19.9 Breakout Age
➕42.3% Dominator
➕15.5 YPR
➖12.9% Drop Rate 2018-19
➖2.8 YAC per reception
➖1 Rush att/1 KR in 4 seasons
➖4 receptions from the slot
➖Not an early declare
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Missouri TE Albert Okwuegbunam
➕99th-percentile Speed Score
➕31.2% Dominator
➕19.4 (Redshirt-Freshman season) Breakout Age
➕TD once every 4.2 receptions
➕Massive Upside
➕6-6, 258lbs
➖11.8 (29th-percentile) YPR
➖Blocking
➖11.8% drop rate
➖31.3-% contested catch rate
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Look ma, I’m at the cool kids table
Thank you for the invite
@ScottFish24
! I’m looking forward to this!🔥
#LFG
#SFB11
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A couple real good runs here by Penn State RB Miles Sanders. Quick feet and 💪. Can make a man miss or run through him.
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More than 20K people have visited the
@YardsPer
website in the last 30 days.
While that may be a small number compared to some sites in the industry, this is an incredible milestone for us.
We have an amazing team that has worked so hard to get this brand to where we are…
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@primekev2330
He can be productive but I’ve seen talk of “top-24 WR rest of season” and that’s crazy to me
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RB Antonio Gibson, Memphis
➕99th-%ile Speed Score
➕14 TDs on 77 touches
➕Versatile/Dynamic returner
➕7 TDs of 40+ yards
➕👍🏻👍🏻receiver out of backfield
➕6-0, 228lbs
➕11.2 YPC
➖Small Sample
➖WR👉RB work in progress
➖No Pass Pro Exper.
➖34 career rush att
➖17.4% Dom
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I’ve been offloading Tyreek Hill from all my dynasty teams
Tyreek Hill is being overvalued in dynasty based on brand equity. Don’t get me wrong, he’s a fantastic talent, but his fantasy floor and ceiling are not what they once were. He has gone from
🧵
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I love how much hate I get for the video I made saying I trust Aiyuk again.
Yet, nothing about the ones where I said to get Dawson Knox, get out from Ty’Son Williams asap, buy Marquise Brown, Saquon, and Diggs 😂
You guys are funny
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Why waste my time with offers like this? This is offensive
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Underdog ADP Movers over the last 7 days via the
@YardsPer
Draft Kit
Risers:
📈Isiah Pacheco (+36.9)
📈Zamir White (+19.4)
📈Romeo Doubs (+18.6)
📈Eno Benjamin (+14.0)
📈George Pickens(+13.3)
📈Albert Okwuegbunam (+11.6)
Fallers:
📉Deshaun Watson (-20.2)
(1/2)
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I finally drafted my first Nico Collins share. I’m excited.
I’ve come a long ways on him
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I know as a Patriots fan I’m supposed to hate them, but Bills fans are the best
Bills fans unhappy with bad calls in Bucs game generate $40,000 in donations for a charity for the visually impaired.
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2K
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Denzel Mims is the
#Jets
WR1
100% Snap Share Week 9
100% Route Participation in all three games he’s played
More Targets (8) and Air Yards (139) than both Perriman & Crowder
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Underdog ADP Movers over the last 7 days via the
@YardsPer
Draft Kit
Risers:
📈Brian Robinson (+28.2)
📈Isiah Pacheco (+26.4)
📈George Pickens (+22.9)
📈Dameon Pierce (+18.0)
📈Zay Jonea (+14.5)
📈Romeo Doubs (+13.4)
Fallers:
📉Ronald Jones (-32.4)
(1/2)
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Dynasty Stash: Chris Evans, RB, Bengals
🧵
Chris Evans was underutilized at Michigan before coming out as a sixth round pick to the Bengals in 2021. He’s incredibly explosive and agile with enough size to handle any amount of work put on his plate. As a rookie, he
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Let’s say Saquon Barkley was a 10...how do you rate the top RB prospects in the 2020 class on a scale of 1-10?
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Curtis Samuel has out-targeted Terry McLaurin in every game
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I went digging for a deep sleeper TE. This is who I found.
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Top 10 in YPC vs Stacked Fronts in 2019:
Duke Johnson 7.5
Devin Singletary 5.8
Raheem Mostert 5.4
Saquon Barkley 5.0
Phillip Lindsay 5.0
Adrian Peterson 5.0
Matt Breida 4.9
Josh Jacobs 4.9
Dalvin Cook 4.9
Alexander Mattison 4.8
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There are dynasty sites that are still ranking Julio Jones like a top-20 WR
These same sites still have D’Andre Swift outside the top-10
This is why you need to be careful where you go for these resources
I can confidently say our dynasty ranks
@YardsPer
are the best out there
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Ep.4 - Joe Mixon: Club Elite
Joe Mixon is on the verge of a massive ascension up the fantasy ranks. In this episode, I explain why the
#Bengals
RB will be a top-5 pick in 2021 drafts.
🎬Video:
🎧Podcast:
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Which 2020 rookie “bust” is most likely to breakout in 2021?
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South Carolina WR Bryan Edwards
➕48% Dominator
➕17.8 (!!) Breakout Age
➕4% Drop Rate
➕7.6 YAC/rec
➕19 career PRs
➕50% receiving TD Share
➕6-3 212lbs
➖11.5 YPR
➖Non-early declare
➖50.7% of rec in 2019 were screens
➖8.5 avg target distance
➖Incomplete athletic profile
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I need 75 points from Mike Williams tonight to advance to the championship. LFG!
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Colorado WR Laviska Shenault
➕19.9 (Soph) BOA(66th-%ile)
➕42 career rush att (280yds & 7 TDs)
➕35.1%(68th-%ile) Dominator
➕78th-%ile Speed Score
➕💪
➕Versatile
➖12.7 YPR (23rd %ile)
➖6.2% 📉 in target % from 2018👉2019
➖Injuries🚩
➖Underdeveloped Routes/Release
(1/2)
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40
Arizona State WR Brandon Aiyuk
➕92nd-%ile Burst Score
➕40.6% Dominator
➕18.3 YPR
➕3.1
#YardsPer
team att
➕10.9 YAC
➕Weapon as a returner
➖1-year wonder (senior)
➖21.5 Breakout Age
➖Low TD Share
➖25-percent contested catch rate
(1/2)
2
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42
TCU WR Jalen Reagor
➕36.7% Dominator
➕18.7 Breakout Age
➕70th-%ile Speed Score
➕78th-%ile SPARQ-x
➕30 KR/PR
➕35 career rush att
➖Significant Production drop from 2018 to 2019
➖13% drop rate
➖Played almost exclusively on right side
➖1.6 yards per team pass att
(1/2)
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LETS FUCKING GO!
I had a blast in my first season (
#SFB9
), almost reaching the finals, and am PUMPED for
#SFBX
!
Thank you
@ScottFish24
for the invite and everything you do.
#LFG
#YardsPer
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I’ve never see someone run so many routes and yet receive so few targets as Jalen Guyton.
His 7.8% Target Rate (Targets/Routes) is by far the lowest of any WR in 2020.
26 targets on 333 routes.
The dude’s out there running wind sprints for nothing
5
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The average breakout age among the top-24 scorers in terms of PPR points per game in 2019 was 19.5.
The NFL average was 20.3.
Here is how the 2020 WR class fairs vs that threshold:
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Jalen Reagor is coming back and is in line for a huge second half breakout
Eagles' upcoming schedule:
Cowboys
Giants
Browns
Seahawks
Packers
Saints
Cardinals
Cowboys
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