I just published "Book 7: Inevitable", a new essay collection in the From the Diaries of John Henry essay series. https://t.co/dfKWjQQJjP

If a researcher’s only definition of success for quantum computing is a scaled fault tolerant system breaking all public encryption, refuses to even acknowledge energy savings of systems, and suggests any investing opportunity is a scam, they might deserve an extended sabbatical.

Its rare in the market for outcome of one firm to be strongly entangled to the outcome of others of otherwise divergent commercial interest. In that case those who seek to compete may find more success in future competition by helping each other out now. All for one, One for all.

I would recommend paying about as much heed to a Physics professor commentary on business dynamics as they would pay to my own comments on theoretical physics.

The reason there are so many fewer brilliant musicians on the modern radio isn’t purely a phenomena driven by streaming and distribution. It is because emerging artists are competing with not just other artists, but also advertisers and digital media of all kinds for Mind Share.

Any test for intelligence demonstrated in a static application is insufficient to prove artificial general intelligence. Real intelligence requires adapting to changing assumptions and surroundings. Everything else is just optimization.

As social media gets provably more addictive, we may find a need to enforce tiers of access by way of physical proximity. Particularly as younger consumers are in the mix. Put differently, regulations of media consumption can distinguish between open, school, retail, parks, etc.

As clarification, after attending NeurIPS online / in person every year since 2019 I decided to withdraw my registration to the 2025 venue to turn focus to family and other segments of industry. (Hadn't been keeping up with literature to same extent this year, hope it went well.)

An under appreciated risk to blockchain is obsolescence of sunk cost in mining hardware. When you can run reliable blockchains with distributed quantum networks, the energy profile of legacy distributed blockchain could cause mining participation to evaporate. Possibly overnight.

A potential answer to key employees of big seven tech firms getting lured to emerging tech startups with way more growth potential is spinoff joint ventures with employee equity.

(My personal Belief structure of non denominational faith Is that as there is no central way to understand the tenants of a church If some interpretation of ethics or Christian denominational preferences of policy haven’t been communicated to me Then they don’t exist.)

It’s not that it is not possible to succeed without Christianity. Rather it is that success without looks considerably different. What would be sacrificed along that path? Why is it worth following Christ even though the path may be considerably harder? The answer is obvious.

There was some demonstrations a time ago where the “average face” of people across races/ethnicities/age was aggregated to a single image of average eyes, skin color, etc. It was nearly unrecognizable as human. AGI failure modes often fall into these types, insufficiently unique.

I recall reading a Musk biography sometime ago with anecdote about him buying small figurines of hear no evil see no evil speak no evil monkeys and thinking ‘Not a good roll model’. Reality in high stakes business if we all just go around litigating each other noone will succeed.

Measurement paradox: It is a fallacy to believe that a sensing device is capable of remaining fully independent of a system being measured. Same goes for the people interacting with the sensing device or the people interacting with AI model trained on data from sensing device :).

When you take a power consumer off of the grid (a “negawatt”), it is almost always more valuable than adding comparable new generation capacity since it gives us more flexibility with how we manage balance of generation, grid dynamics, and transmission.

As a professional who has sought to differentiate myself through engineering rigor and explicit, unambiguous truth grounded communications, I have decided to introduce a higher bar to my portfolio management for eliminating holdings that don’t appear to adhere to a same standard.

Peter Bernstein had an interesting proposal many decades ago of near 100% dividends payout to allow market forces to reallocate and for new initiatives management would have to issue new equity. 100% is a stretch but would be way more practical at scale now than it has ever been.

(Think of the difference between competing for which team will win the Super Bowl and betting on which half time commercial will get the most sales.)

Regarding my essay “Sustainable Competition for Sustainable Monopolies”, to maintain a healthy algorithmic ecosystem allowing market forces to incentivize innovations, we not only need to attract new entrants, we should dissuade top tier firms from competing in secondary markets.

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