Futarchy
@_futarchy
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First futarchy on Ethereum
Ethereum
Joined November 2024
Futarchy fixes this
The fundamental issue is that half of all publicly-traded shares are controlled by passive index funds who, for the most part, outsource their shareholder vote to the advisory firms of ISS and Glass Lewis. ISS and Glass Lewis have no actual ownership themselves and often vote
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it's going to be a big wakeup call when people realize futarchy isn't just an improvement over existing standard tokenholder governance (a rather low bar) and it can actually improve over tradfi shareholder voting corporate governance, including trillion dollar+ companies
This is a post about Internet Capital Markets powered by Futarchy
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Imagine a combinatorial prediction market, supporting bets on all combos of some base set of claims, all at same liquidity. For which application area would you be most excited? (A) sporting contest, over hrs (B) election, over months (C) organization, over yrs (D) a world
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7/ These markets are small compared to $TSLA, but the idea scales. We hope this pilot inspires @Tesla and others to adopt conditional markets for real-world decisions.
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6/ YES and NO pools are @Uniswap markets on @ethereum, with @Kleros_io as oracle. Trading is fully decentralized, permissionless, and non-custodial.
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5/ We’re using TSLAon, the tokenized version of $TSLA by @OndoFinance. Conditional tokens run on @gnosisdao’s CTF framework: the same smart-contracts used by @Polymarket.
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4/ Traders are betting on what $TSLA will be worth with or without the package. The price difference is the market’s verdict. Think it helps Tesla long-term? Buy YES (or sell NO). Think it hurts? Sell YES (or buy NO).
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3/ Each market tracks $TSLA’s value conditional on the outcome: • YES → price if shareholders approve the 2025 CEO Performance Award • NO → price if they reject it The spread ≈ market-implied impact of the proposal. Current spread: ~+6.5% (+$28.93).
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2/ Elon’s pay plan is one of the biggest governance bets in history: over $1 trillion in potential value. We’re letting traders put their money where their mouth is, revealing their judgment with skin in the game.
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Approved: Futarchy × @VeloraDEX pilot (via @SnapshotLabs ) We’ll now run conditional markets on $VLR to forecast the price impact of key proposals. First markets coming soon!
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⚖️ Kleros Community Call Recap | Oct 1, 2025 ⚖️ TL;DR ✨ Feature topic: Futarchy for DAO decisions with live flows from Seer (@seer_pm) and @_futarchy, and how Kleros serves as the subjective oracle when markets are disputed. Updates on @BlockchainGov Symposium, Curation & Scout
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Markets on @_futarchy: "What will the impact on PNK price be if KIP-78-Amendment of KIP-66 Long-Term Juror Incentive Program is approved?" Participate here: https://t.co/ufiiGM1yxt
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⚖️ A new Futarchy-based DAO on @Ethereum is here! KIP-76 has been approved by the Kleros DAO. From now on, any proposal to mint $PNK must use futarchy markets to demonstrate a positive expected price impact. Thanks to @_futarchy for the collaboration. 🤝
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🗳️ 4 days left to vote on KIP-76! ⚖️ Should the Kleros DAO adopt Futarchy for proposals that involve minting PNK? Vote on @SnapshotLabs! Want to know if the market believes this proposal will have a positive price impact? Check @_futarchy.
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📢 KIP-76: Futarchy-Based Governance Rule for PNK Minting ▸ Adds a futarchy requirement before any PNK minting ▸ Requires conditional prediction markets to ensure PNK price won’t drop ▸ Protects holders from unwanted dilution And you can trade this market now! @_futarchy ↓
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Join us on a conversation on “Future Society & AI” on Berlin. @robinhanson is on stage with @ethereumJoseph for a chat. Followed by the grand vision futarchy talk by @azsantosk.
Future Society & AI Day
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