Frank Zorrilla
@ZorTrades
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Frank Zorrilla PM at ZOR Capital • Private X room (SUBS) JOIN HERE
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Last Seen Profiles
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I can bombard you with information every day; most of the videos in the room spell everything out. This one in the first 15-minutes gives you almost everything you need to know about finding the biggest winners in the short term.
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The real estate boom is OVER. All those who bought late and overpaid, those who said that houses don’t go down or that it’s a good hedge vs. inflation, are about to eat some DIRT. Like they did with stocks, cryptos, NFTs, baseball cards, etc.
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4Th Quarter of 2018, the $SPY lost -20%, and it bottomed on 12/24.
On 12/24/2018, we had 380 stocks down -25% or more in the previous 30 days.
Today with the $SPY down a MEASLY -4% from ALL-TIME HIGHS, we have 486 stocks down -25% or more in the last 30-days.
RIDICULOUS.
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$ARKK continues to buy $ZM on the way down. People have to stop with the old cliche's like; only losers average down. Wood is no loser. And there are many ways to skin a cat. Averaging down on swing trades doesn't make sense to me, but it's a different story for long term holds.
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Individual stock participation in an index melt-up is not guaranteed. But don't worry, you will get full participation in a correction :)
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Shorting is not as easy as some commentators make it out to be.
this was $SPY in 2008, a refresher for those who do not remember how down trending markets behave
NINE rallies of at least 9.5%
and THREE greater than 20%
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Stock Trading is now officially the new side hustle. Everyone is doing it.
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I present to you; Dean Koontz The Eyes of Darkness. “In around 2020 a severe pneumonia-like illness will spread throughout the globe” they will call it wuhan-400
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The longer you've been in the market the quieter you become. That's the humbling process.
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The longer you've been in the market the quieter you become. That's the humbling process.
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"TRADING WITHOUT FEAR IS A TRADING SKILL, IT IS THE PRIMARY SKILL YOU HAVE TO ACQUIRE TO CREATE CONSISTENCY.
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The Robinhood traders buying $HTZ after announcing bankruptcy probably read this.
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A lot of stocks have rolled over; we have more stocks down -25% or more in the last 65-days than up. We have more stocks down -13% or more than up in the last 34-days. Very simply, a lot of stocks have rolled over.
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My TOP 20 Best Performing Swing Trades of the First Quarter.
• Top Gainer +65%,
• Lowest % Gainer +18.09%.
• Average Holding Period for 19 out of the 20 trades=
3.21 days.
• 18 out of 20 came from what I believe is the best scan
to find short-term winners.
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2 minutes of straight shooting, 39 out 43 and I think I hit like 20 straight at one point. It would be a disgrace if my two sons don’t become better shooters than me😂😂😂
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$SHOP has been trading sideways for 5.4-months, it has started to tighten up over the last weeks while the volume has been drying up, which is typically what you see right before the stock starts to move higher again.
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Trading is not about only buying 52week highs or stocks near highs, or only buying stocks near lows, or not buying the dip or only buying if we are above a certain avg etc.. It's all risk management and how you handle the trade.
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What news can they come up with to ramp the futures up tonight?
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FINDING STOCKS BEFORE THEY BREAKOUT;
1. Scan pre-mkt.
2. Put actionable names on a list.
3. Set alerts.
4. figure out position size.
5. place orders, .10CEents >yday's high
6. done.
7. the market will get you in or get keep you out.
8. BUY'EM TIGHT, SELL'EM LOOSE.
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$SPY Closed at highs.
$DIA Closed at highs.
$QQQ hockey stick save, at highs of the day.
$IWM Near high of the day.
83 stocks were up +4% or more vs. 604 stocks that were down -4% or more.
1,581 stocks closed up from the OPEN vs. 2,288 that closed down from the OPEN.
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I always see people say; I'm buying this in my IRA, usually, it is a long-term play for them. And then they would use their TAXABLE account to trade.
Why not put your long-term holdings in your taxable account and do your trading in the IRA?
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The parabolic moves that you see in the two attachments are about to be wiped out.
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$AMZN down, $NFLX down, $MSFT down, $AAPL down, $GOOGL Down, $FB down, $QQQ UP.
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Everyone like to quote what Paul Tudor Jones said 30 years ago, quote this
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What I mean is that the appreciation is done. Many markets pulled forward 10-years of appreciation in the last year. Other markets that went parabolic will cool off significantly. Homes are not going to appreciate 35% a year.
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YOU CANNOT MAKE THIS UP.
Mckinsey partner doing a little insider trading.
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We are in a very unique market right now. Stocks have not moved the way they are moving now since the craziness of 1999.
All types of mistakes are being rewarded.
And at this juncture, the less you know the better off you are.
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Whenever and IF ever this market pulls back, it will be easy to point at breadth and say; you knew that was coming.
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Sometimes I will lose more than my predefined loss, it happens, it is part of the game, however, staying wrong is not part of the game.
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Sometimes you want to hold for more gains and they fade, sometimes you sell to lock it in and they keep going. This is trading.
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I've never seen the market serve so many humble pies.
Not in 2000, not in 2008, this one took the cake: stocks, spacs, shitcoins, nft's, baseball cards, sports betting, etc.
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Joey Retail at home has NO CLUE what is going on.
The carnage underneath the surface is one of the worst I have ever seen with the major indices a stone throw away from ALL-TIME HIGHS.
The dude is putting on CNBC; "SPY AT HIGHS" and thinks all is well.
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We are stuck in the middle of nowhere. It's tough to short here because the downside seems a little short-term extended. And surprisingly, the market can't catch any steam after such a beating.
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Way too many people talking about stuff that is holding up well.
When the selling is real, they will get to everything.
When slow stocks turn into momentum stocks and everyone is talking about them, I don't want any part of them.
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The market closed at highs;
103 stocks closed up +4% or more
vs.
335 stocks that closed down -4% or more.
1,693 stocks closed up from the OPEN
Vs.
2,398 that closed down from the open.
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$XOM do you like that Yield? The stock broke the 2008 lows
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The name of the game; if I miss two in a row, they get a chance to shoot. 15 minutes later they got their chance.
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This looks like Brooklyn, probably Williamsburg, they confiscated all his masks and some ventilators. His pay day is gone.
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People are starting to realize that making money and keeping it are two different things. For some people, what took them 6-months to make has disappeared in the last 2-weeks.
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It feels like we are playing musical chairs, and the music is going to stop soon. So many stocks have gone in insane runs in the short-term. Stuff needs to reset and provide good entries.
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3,666 stocks printed fresh 1-month lows. One of the highest readings in the last 2-years.
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$TSLA sell when the bulls are trolling, buy it when the bears are trolling.
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if last week you were sure that we are in a 2008 scenario all over again, then we are probably here $SPY
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When it comes to exits you are always going to feel some type of remorse, you sold to soon, you should all of it earlier, etc. What you need is clarity; are you a trader or an investor. What are you looking to accomplish?
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This new generation of traders believes that every time a stock goes up is because shorts are getting squeezed.
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For everybody but especially for those who want to ride a stock for a while, you should always be on the hunt for stocks that have been basing.
YOu heard the saying; the longer the base, the higher into space. But, the longer the base, the longer it will trend.
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It was just the other day when $TSLA went parabolic, $SPCE was trading on 2030 possible earnings, $LK was the next $SBUX, $SHOP was going to be the next $AMZN, $GE was turning the corner, $NFLX was about to breakout after 1.5 years of sideways action, $AAPL straight-up action.
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Trading is all about EXECUTION; Execute your trade without thinking about the outcome of the trade. The outcome is unknown.
Accept the fact that it will either work or it won't work. We don't have an edge on a trade-by-trade basis, the edge is seen after a series of trades.
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• $ARKK down 8 days in a row.
• Down -33% from 52-week high.
• -13.90 YTD vs +10.73% for $SPY, & +4.48% $QQQ
• $ARKK 1-YEAR return +94%
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My boy gets the steal, goes coast to coast and draws the foul. He knows he’ll get grounded if pulls up for a 3 on a fast break.
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I kid you not, some people are shell-shocked over this little dip after a generational melt-up.
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My cousin asked me to recommend a book for short-term trading.
My rec;
Subscribe to TC2000.
Break every year into quarters (3-months).
Study the best-performing stocks in each quartile.
Write down all the commonalities.
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$GME next?????? Is Tesla’s Parabolic Move A Concern For The Overall Market – Frank Zorrilla
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The question many are asking and will ask in the future; was it worth shutting down the entire country to save x amount of lives.... I heard this from doctor, a small business owner, and a trader.
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I don't understand how Wall Street Bets or bettors love putting ROCKETS on everything, and they have yet to find ROCKET Mortgage, and to BOOT, 31% of the float is short. :))))🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀
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FAATMAN as a unit is now underneath the 200-day.
$FB $AAPL $AMZN $TSLA $MSFT $AMZN $NVDA
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Listen people, when SHIT-OIL-CO'S start to rally, it is probably too late in the short term.
$ROYL and $MXC are always the last ones to go.
$ROYL was up 72% today.
$MXC up over 200% in the last week.
I'm replying to a tweet from 2013; that is how far back this goes.
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24 years ago Jordan sent a fax announcing he was returning to basketball, today it would’ve been a tweet or an Instagram post.
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We are dancing people; $TSLA $BYND and other stuff that is getting squeezed, but when the music stops, three weeks' worth of gains will be gone in 2 days. Press the issue while you can.
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The faster you to stop trying to make sense of the market's every uptick, downtick, piece of news, etc, the better off you will be.
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A good setup is one that you see 1,000 times, and you take it 1,000 times. A good setup has nothing to do with the outcome of the trade.
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Who has more highlights than this man..... the guy has been out of the league for 20 years and dominates social media.
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I GET the feeling that we are at the stage of the sell-off where they will get to EVERYTHING.
You name it, they'll probably get to it.
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"Amateurs bet the farm (YOLO), and Pros milk the cows." LTFAD; Live To Fight Another Day.
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If you are a short-term swing trader, you cannot ignore stocks trading near lows.
In the short term, stocks go up from 52-week lows, 52-week highs, the middle, etc.;
Often, stocks near lows make big moves; just look at the YTD winners.
5-examples below.
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$UBER posts net loss of $1 billion.... it's alright because it is in line with company projections.........omg
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It's hard to look at the $SPY and have any confidence to buy it since it's in a free fall, but look at like this, would you buy this?
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Folks, keep your cool, what's done is done. There's no ROI in whipping yourself, buckle down and move ahead. Don't get tied up with all the negative talk now that we are -8% in 8 days ($QQQ)
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I'm not sure you can use technical analysis on $ARKK; it's an active fund that buys and sells securities every day. What they owned 50-days ago is different from what they own today.
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Paul Tudor Jones, reflecting.
Some books, sayings, etc., were written many years ago, and some authors no longer believe in some of the things they believed in 30 years ago.
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Yes!
• Parabolic moves in the past have led to market weakness.
• Stocks going parabolic is a form of sentiment.
• When sentiment gets frothy, people get sloppy & lose their common sense.
• Extraordinary Popular Delusions & The Madness of Crowds.
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Nice relief rally. All the beaten-up stuff is up big, giving people hope that their stocks someday might come back.
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An old Art Cashin saying; the market is like a drunk, it doesn't remember what it did last night.
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If you been following me for longer than a cup of coffee you know that during sell-offs I get more active here, I just try to tweet people off the ledge before they jump. This post was written on 12/25/2018. The Pain Train – Frank Zorrilla
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If you ever want to know who the GOAT is, watch Jordan highlights and Lebron highlights.
Jordan is better like by a factor of 10.
There is a reason why a majority of NBA players that Jordan is the best ever.
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The indices are lying to you.
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With Instagram down yesterday I noticed that there's been someone living in my house, when I asked her what her name was she said; your wife. Weird, it freaked me out.
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Cathie wood-- basically; stocks don't go down; they just create a better buying opportunity.
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Giannis is still developing, but he is going to be better than Lebron. He has more fire than Lebron, he has a killer attitude.
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The million-dollar question is whether or not the momo blood bath will spill over to the stodgy $DIA $IWM $SPY
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Bitcoin/crypto is now having a major impact on economic numbers. 😂
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You can’t do things on the fly, you have your ideas and a plan before the market opens...the less you do during market hours the better...
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So are we retesting? The bears only come out when we are down 8 days in a row or when we are down big, never when the r/r is more favorable for the short side
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