Zee C O N T R A R I A N
@ZeeContrarian1
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I Am. A former Wall Street professional uncovering special situations.
Joined September 2013
$ZIM Buyout Math (I have never seen something like this) •Shares outstanding: 120M •Current share price: $13.6 •Buyout offer: $22/share •Total cost of buyout: 22 × 120M = $2.6B Cash & Assets •Cash per share: $24 •Total cash: 24 × 120M = $2.88B •Additional assets: –$5B
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הנהלת הנוכלים של צים $ZIM רוצה לגנוב את החברה- פרק ראשון שם הפרק הראשון: מתנת הפרידה לקנון ושימור המזומן עבור בעל השליטה המיועד החדש – הנהלת החברה על-פי מדיניות הדיבידנד של החברה, ZIM מחויבת לחלק עד 30% דיבידנד רבעוני, ובכל רבעון רביעי של השנה לחלק ולהשלים את התשלום עד 50%
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Vote now for the new $ZIM board members. The image below shows exactly how to submit your vote. This is the first step on the road back to $30 - with leadership that protects shareholder value and delivers real accountability. The road to $30 starts with your vote.
I’ve cast my vote as a $ZIM shareholder for change. I encourage all shareholders to vote and support stronger governance. cc: @christankerfund
@ZeeContrarian1
@dmiko789
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$ZIM Know what you hold. Do the math yourself. Don’t follow blindly so you don’t get shaken out. My $ZIM exposure is ~30% via stock and options(selling puts, creating put ratio spreads, call spreads, risk-reversals). Setups like this are rare and should be milked.
$ZIM The Farewell Gift to Kenon and Cash Preservation for the New Intended Controlling Shareholder, the Company's Management According to the company's dividend policy, ZIM is to distribute up to 30% dividend per quarter, and in the fourth quarter of every year, it will
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Same logic as the $IREN trade I recommended a week ago 👇
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New $NBIS counter sentiment trade The $IREN structure seems to be working perfectly, so I’m adding another one-this time on $NBIS that expires on Jan 17(37d): Sell 1 70 put Buy 1 90 call Sell 3 120 calls I pay $1.25 per spread. My logic is the same: there’s a real
My Psychological Thesis on $IREN I see an interesting psychological opportunity forming in $IREN into early 2026 (43 days). Shorts are in full attack mode, and retail was likely flushed out after Jim Cramer publicly called the stock “shit” and a clear short-twice. That kind of
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If you think about it, this isn’t a typical short setup. The shorts in $ZIM don’t want to be here anymore - they never priced in an M&A process, and they have no clue what’s unfolding behind the scenes. They shorted a shipping cycle, but the game has already shifted into
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$ZIM shorts are in serious trouble. Despite the reduction in short interest nearly 19% of the entire float is still sold short about 22 million shares and with today’s weak volume of just 3.6M shares, it would take them more than 6 full trading days to buy back everything even
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$ZIM - The $20 Initial Management-Led Bid Is Only the First Offer. A hedge fund that owns about $30M worth of ZIM asked me today how to vote because they believed their broker wasn’t allowing them to submit their ballots. But when they dug deeper with the broker, they discovered
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If you think about it, betting on gold is essentially betting against human progress. Because when someone prefers a yellow metal dug out of the ground over owning the world’s best companies and innovations, they’re saying that inert matter will outperform human creativity,
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$ZIM - The $20 Initial Management-Led Bid Is Only the First Offer. A hedge fund that owns about $30M worth of ZIM asked me today how to vote because they believed their broker wasn’t allowing them to submit their ballots. But when they dug deeper with the broker, they discovered
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$FISV = $UNH Very similar setup and a very similar chart to where $UNH was before its partial recovery. Despite being in completely different industries, both companies share key traits: strong fundamentals, dominant market presence, and powerful cash-generation. Catalysts here
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$CFLT Buyout? I had a call with a friend who’s one of the most successful tech investors I know, and he really likes the odds on Confluent ( $CFLT ). He sees a high probability of a buyout, and according to recent reports, multiple suitors are already circling. While it’s hard
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Jefferies just upgraded $ZIM ’s price target to $20 (see attached). They did this based on a probability analysis, but I’m going to explain why their probabilities are wrong and what the real price should be. My price target for $ZIM over the next 12 months implies a 40% total
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$IBM is reportedly nearing an $11B acquisition of Confluent ( $CFLT ), per WSJ. And because of the options strategy I recommended, the gains are going to be huge. This is just pure logic, same as $ZIM, same as $URGN. So if you followed me into this trade, congratulations!
$CFLT Buyout? I had a call with a friend who’s one of the most successful tech investors I know, and he really likes the odds on Confluent ( $CFLT ). He sees a high probability of a buyout, and according to recent reports, multiple suitors are already circling. While it’s hard
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At current levels, $FISV offers a textbook contrarian setup: priced for failure, operating like a survivor, positioned for a recovery. The valuation dislocation has created an asymmetric setup. A 10–20% snapback would simply retrace the breakdown, requiring no heroic
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With every known problem priced in - and multiple signs of bottom-forming behavior - the risk/reward profile has shifted sharply. If the new management team executes even a modest turnaround, the re-rating could be fast and decisive. Even without a full turnaround, stabilization
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Where is August Alsina? His Rise Was Followed By Scandal
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The institutional ownership chart tells the same story from another angle. Several respected long-term value managers - Dodge & Cox, Giverny Capital, Baupost, Ariel, Mairs & Power, Appaloosa, Punch Card, Olstein - have added or maintained significant positions during the decline.
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Insider behavior reinforces the dislocation. The insider-transaction chart shows insiders selling heavily during the run-up, then reversing course and buying at the lows. That pattern rarely appears in companies facing existential threats. Insiders buy when the market has
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