Za
@ZaStocks
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My trading and investing journal where I share charts, trade ideas, and market thoughts. Posts are not financial advice.
Joined December 2020
Safe to say Quantum Computing became the next major theme huh?. Since this post:. $QUBT $1 to $17.$QBTS $1 to $9.$RGTI $0.80 to $9.$IONQ $10 to $40. Unbelievable.
Quantum Computing will be the next major theme like we’ve seen with nuclear. Don’t know what the catalyst will be but it’s coming. $IONQ is your tell.
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DeepSeek. I’m not buying it. Yes, they have a great model but the cost just doesn’t add up. You can’t even buy a beach front home in California for $6,000,000 but apparently the trustworthy CCP built a better LLM than Meta for that price. China has a long history of lying.
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You know this market is cooked when the NASDAQ is down 3.5% and nobody even cares anymore.
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CNBC is running a $NVDA earnings countdown like it’s New Year’s Eve. It was a good run everybody, it’s so over.
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Everyone loved $TSLA at nearly $500 but nobody wants it at $365. Interesting.
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$TSLA. I listened to the entire earnings call so you didn’t have to. Master list of of all 29 major points discussed:. 1) Low cost vehicle production possible in late 2024, likely early 2025. 2) Referred to Robotaxi as “Cyber Cab”. 3) Has installed roughly 35,000 H100 training.
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Today marked the second largest single day gain in NASDAQ history. The top three spots?. 1. 1/3/2001, +14.17%.2. 4/9/2025, +12%.3. 10/13/2008, +11.81%. In both other instances, the NASDAQ ended up making a new low.
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NASDAQ up 2% on headlines that China says the U.S. is lying and they haven’t even spoken yet is pretty notable.
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Cathie dumped $PLTR out of her top 20 positions over the last few months and today she added 1,967,732 shares after it gaps up 30%. She's an absolute joke of a money manager. Unbelievable.
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After this $META presentation I can confidently say I think the stock is going to $1,000/share. I’d even argue it’s the best positioned name in the Mag 7 for this AI breakthrough we’re going to experience in the coming years. Must own stock. These glasses are revolutionary.
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Today’s $AMD earnings confirmed what we already know. $NVDA has absolutely no legitimate competition. Maybe years from now but for now, Nvidia is the only game in town. This will likely continue to be the case for a long time.
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$GRAB. The new fintwit favorite, looks very similar to what $PLTR $HOOD $RKLB etc. all looked like prior to their big moves. Multi year base breakout with volume clearly showing signs of accumulation. Next retail favorite winner?
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1) Threaten tariffs, cause chaos. 2) Walk back tariffs on everything important. Art of the deal.
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“Why are you bullish all the time?”. Because if you’re bearish more than 10% of the time you’re an idiot.
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Trump is fine with the stock market going down/being very volatile early in his term. He can blame Biden for what he inherited and can take credit for the subsequent recovery. Stocks going down would also coincide with home prices going down which would allow young people to.
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If you took a screenshot of your gains or texted your significant other about how good stocks are doing for the love of god take a profit.
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$PLTR. Rule of 40 score is now 64. “The Rule of 40 is a principle that states a company's combined revenue growth rate and profit margin should equal or exceed 40%”. Palantir has the highest rule of 40 in the entire market.
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$META is operating on another planet Zuck is arguably the best CEO on earth, hard to comprehend he’s only 40. Revenue: +21% YOY.GAAP Net Income: +59% YOY.GAAP EPS: +60% YOY.Operating Income: +48% YOY.Operating Margin: +42% YOY. Send it to $1,000 already. Bonkers numbers.
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$META was distracted with Metaverse at $100. $GOOGL was losing in AI/search at $150. $AMZN had no AI strategy and Jassy was an idiot at $170. $TSLA didn’t have any self driving or robotics tech at $200. Now $UBER is losing in autonomy at $60. We’ll check back on this in 2025.
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Tonight we learned two things about two companies who didn’t report earnings yet. 1) $AMD solidified $NVDA has no competition and likely won’t for many years. $5T market cap is possible and I’d even say likely. 2) $GOOG $SNAP $RDDT solidified $META is going to crush earnings.
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$PLTR $HIMS $HOOD $RKLB all have a lot in common. 1) “Crowded” with retail investors.2) Hated by Wall Street.3) “Expensive” by traditional metrics.4) Major perceived competition. Four of the best stocks in the entire market were missed by the majority. Hat tip to retail.
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Stocks are now essentially a Polymarket bet on whether Trump will make a bullish statement about tariffs or strike a deal with China. No fundamentals or technicals, just gambling on geopolitical events. True casino.
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There’s a select few leaders of each “speculative” theme we’re seeing run. Batteries: $ENVX.Energy Storage: $EOSE.Robitics: $SERV $PDYN $RR.EVTOL: $ACHR.Nuclear: $OKLO $NNE.AI Healthcare: $TEM $MRNA $GRAL.Space: $RKLB $LUNR $RDW. Make it easier on yourself, focus on the leaders.
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I bought stock tonight and I’ll buy stock tomorrow. If I’m a little early so be it, this crash is historic.
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If you buy short term options I have one piece of advice for you:. Stop.
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$COIN had an absolute monster quarter. EPS $4.68 vs $2.04 est.Revenue +138% YOY.Net income +300%.Transaction revenue +194%.Subscription services +71%.Trading volume +185%.Monthly transacting users +24%. Some of the reaction got priced in today but this is a $400+ stock. My god.
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$PLTR is really going to $100 no matter how “overvalued” people scream it is. 30% GROWTH?! RAISED GUIDANCE?!. This company is just insane. Flawless execution and leadership.
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$DWAC $DJT. $175M straight cash. Iconic. Tiny float. Insiders can’t sell shares for 6 months. I think this is a $200-$300+ stock by the election.
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If this administration doesn’t put an end to the chaos they’ve enabled over the first three months of their term, the market will lose all trust in their messaging and any remaining credibility will vanish. This is out of control.
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$SQ. I believe this chart will go in a textbook when the upside move is complete. Once you condition your mind to buy normal retests like this one instead of stopping out, you’ll have leveled up as a trader.
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A deal with China being completed this fast is absolutely unprecedented and historic. The devil is in the details but if the deal is good… this is not priced in.
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One thing you can take away from the awful $TSLA earnings call is that $NVDA earnings should be great. Elon said the demand for Nvidia’s GPU’s is so big that Tesla is doubling down on Dojo because Nvidia is selling out of their chips so fast. Bullish $NVDA $SMCI $ARM $MU $TSM.
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I’ll be blunt:. The market won’t rise in a sustainable fashion while the US has 103% tariffs on China. A true trade war between the world’s two largest economies is one of the worst possible scenarios for markets.
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Kamala Harris announced that she backs Biden’s 44.6% tax on capital gains along with a 25% tax on unrealized gains. Wow. Imagine you own a stock, it goes up, you pay unrealized taxes on it, then it comes back down and you end up losing money. Then what? Refund? What a mess.
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Looks like blogs and analysts are realizing what all $AMZN shareholders have known for a while now. By 2027 Amazon will have $400B in cash. That’s more than both Apple and Microsoft combined. It’s still sitting under a $2T valuation. Dividend/buyback and $200+ is inevitable.
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We now have our explanation for the weakness in $TSLA. Elon wants to buy OpenAI. Until this situation resolves I doubt we see much traction to the upside on Tesla. On the other hand, when this situation does resolve I think we’ll see a big upside move. This simulation is nuts.
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The 2025 preview. This is a very long read so feel free scroll past if you don’t want to take a few minutes. 2024 was a great year, if I had to grade myself I’d give a B+. Only because I think I could’ve been even better, I sold some of the biggest winners of the year far too.
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$COIN. A candle like this on a $60B company isn’t normal. The market is screaming in your face to pay attention. 50% gain in one week?!. What’s it telling me? . 1) Gary Gensler is gone. 2) Coinbase will play a major role in Trump creating a United States $BTC reserve. $400.
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The move to @CharlesSchwab has been a nightmare with issues at every turn. I’d advise everyone to avoid using their platform. Thinkorswim functions much worse than it used to, the Schwab app is a joke/archaic, and both apps crash consistently. Such an absolute joke.
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Robotics feels like the next logical theme to me. We’ve had nuclear, quantum computing, & EVTOL emerge as big themes, hardware AI application (robots) might be next. $TSLA Optimus progress the catalyst?. $SERV $SYM $PRCT $OUST $IRBT $ZBRA $PATH $IRBT $ROK. Keep an eye on these.
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$AMZN. The rumors of Jeff Bezos buying the Boston Celtics are heating up according to Bill Simmons. Few notes from his podcast:. -Bezos would build an “Amazon Dome” somewhere in Boston which would be the new state of the art arena for basketball, concerts, etc. -Bezos wants to.
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People underestimate how engrained $HOOD is within millennials and Gen Z. Stocks, crypto, retirement, credit card, useful AI, subscription service, instant deposits, 24/5 trading, and more. Early Charles Schwab. But better.
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$TSLA is setting up to be a massive trade when the market stabilizes. Sentiment, controversy, polarization. Everything is aligning.
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$AMZN. After reading the specifics of the Bezos sales plan it looks like he isn’t selling any shares under $200. Basically every tick over $200 will need to see buyers to match Jeff’s selling until he’s done. Once that lid comes off the move will be explosive. $250-$300
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This $AMZN setup is nuts not even Bezos can stop it if the market holds up. Today they announced they’re officially launching their discount Temu rival store, strict price limits such as $20 sofas will be the standard. Nobody in America will need to shop on Temu. $200+.
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$LMND. This looks unbelievable. We saw what being in fintech and having high short interest did to $UPST. I think we might see something similar start to play out here with Lemonade.
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In case you were wondering yes Cathie bought 450,000 shares of $PATH yesterday before it dropped 30% today.
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If Trump sees all the headlines claiming he folded he might just come out and put 1,000% tariffs on China.
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Since stocks are going up Trump is probably announcing the biggest tariff threat ever heard to send markets red any second now.
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If the AI trade shifts from hardware to software these are my focus groups:. 1) Legacy leaders: $CRM $NOW $ORCL. 2) Growth leaders: $CRWD $PLTR. 3) Potential growth leaders: $SNOW $DDOG $NET $HUBS $TEAM $TWLO $MDB. 4) Lower tier: $ESTC $OKTA $CFLT $GTLB. I think names in groups 3.
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We’re just one month into the Trump presidency btw we still have 4 years left of this headline driven volatility. Everyone will be bald, anxious, or have grey hair by the time this term is over, probably bullish for $HIMS.
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What do I see?. •Rising yields.•145% tariffs on China.•10% global tariffs.•Inconsistent messaging.•Potential Chinese ADR delisting.•Rising U.S/China tension.•Global angst towards U.S.•90 day tariff pause (what happens after?). I don’t think we’re out of the woods yet.
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Today felt like the first day of real fear. The last week or so have been filled with traders trying to buy the bottom, today felt like the first time people said wow ok wait a minute something isn’t right. If we don’t bounce hard in the next week I think a prolonged downturn.
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Tempted to just sell everything besides $SQ $TSLA and log off until 2026. $150 and $500 are programmed.
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If I had to list just 5 names that will benefit most from the Trump administration:. $TSLA $BTC $COIN $PLTR $ARM. Simplicity is a wonderful thing.
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$SNOW is going to explode and ignite other software over the next few weeks. Super solid report, 29% revenue growth and 129% revenue retention rate. Watch the other growth names like $DDOG $NET $ZS $S $MDB $TEAM $TWLO etc. this group looks ready to fly like a bird.
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Started working on the 2025 preview, I think it’s a good one. Some ideas from my 2024 preview:. $PTON $6.$SE $40.$ZM $70.$BTC $42,000.$COIN $175.$RKLB $5.$DDOG $120.$AMZN $150. All time stamped here on my feed. Will have it posted before 1/1/2025, probably next weekend.
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“Initiate the dividend and buyback Jassy, that’ll gap us over $200. If you don’t we’re going to $175, the stock has been a piece of garbage under your leadership, I need to sell over $200 so I can buy the Celtics. Do it and all is forgiven.”
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The stock market is one big daily show I don’t know how people can go about their life not paying attention to it. Truly the greatest form of entertainment on earth and all it costs is our sanity.
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$GOOGL. -Self Driving (Waymo).-AI (DeepMind/Gemini).-Quantum Computing (Willow).-Search.-Google Cloud.-YouTube.-Android. This is starting to remind me of $AMZN at $180. It’s just too cheap here and I think the breakup fears are overblown.
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Software is on fire and here’s four names in the group that look to be in the process of building powerful stage one bases:. $DOCN $CFLT $S $OKTA. It makes sense for software laggards to play some catch up this year if we truly transition to stage two of the AI trade, software.
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Stage one base breakouts give major signals of what’s to come. Four examples of software names that everyone loves today, but gave signals to pay attention months ago: $TWLO $AFRM $NET $DOCS. I see some other potential opportunities like this building that I’ll post about later.
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We got our potential pullback catalyst. This weekend, gather your favorite names, put them on a watchlist, and map out where you’d be a buyer. The preparation is much more important than the act of just showing up. This way, when the time comes, no hesitation. Just execution.
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$NVDA. Seeing “breaking news” on Friday night at 11PM that the Blackwell chip is delayed. “The Information” is notorious for awful reporting. Just 2-3 days ago at Siggraph 2024 Jensen said “we're sending out engineering samples of Blackwell, all over the world." . Nvidia last.
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The best time to *buy* is usually when you’re hopeless and don’t want to. The best time to *sell or trim* is usually when you’re euphoric and don’t want to. Not always. But usually inversing your own emotions works well when you’re trading.
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We’re seeing the Robotic theme signs I’ve been looking for…. $KITT $RR $SERV $IRBT $OUST $SPPL are your smaller cap horses. Yes there’s large caps who do robotics but as we’ve seen with themes such as Quantum, Batteries, etc. the biggest gains will come from the smaller caps.
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I just know FOMO is radiating through traders everywhere right now. Have some self control. There will be plenty of setups in the weeks and months ahead. If you missed this move, in the big picture who really cares?. Go look at the COVID bottom. Or the 2022 bottom. If you.
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I’m not really a macro trader, I prefer to just trade charts. But I can’t just ignore what I see. Powell today was the most hawkish and bearish I’ve heard in a long time. Bonds, gold, stocks, and the dollar have all been saying there’s a major problem for quite some time now.
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Agentic AI will be all the rage soon so here’s a bucket of some AI Agent names:. $PATH $ASAN $SMAR $FRSH $BRZE $CXM $AI. Higher beta:. $SOUN $LPSN $VERI $LAW $CRNC. Leader of the group is $CRM but we probably see some of these smaller names blast off their lows sometime in 2025.
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Last 5 year performance of the Magnificent 7:. $AMZN: +91%.$AAPL: +331%.$GOOGL: +211%.$META: +161%.$MSFT: +225%.$NVDA: +3,447%.$TSLA: +1,149%.$QQQ: +157%. One of these names stands out and is due to play some catch up.
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My personal plan:. I’ve trimmed and now I’m content and willing to sit. I have heavily trimmed the more speculative stuff like $HIMS $TEM $EOSE. I added these when I posted them to get higher beta and “quick gains” which I got. I still have positions in all 3 but smaller than I.
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On Monday I’ll officially be forced over to Schwab after using TD Ameritrade my entire trading career. From what I’ve seen Schwab app is horrible. Weekend ruined.
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$AMZN. Ok had a chance to look over the report. I’m fine coming to the conclusion many have already, Jassy is a major disappointment. Quarter was fine but nothing to be excited about (what else is new). I tried giving him a chance but at this point there’s nothing else to see,.
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25% tariffs on all foreign-made cars sold in the U.S?. You can get on the wagon or ignore it but it’s very clear the wind will be at the back of $TSLA for the next 4 years. Anything that can be done to help Tesla will be done by the current administration.
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Yes I’m probably going to obsessively post about $COIN the same way I did $TSLA before it exploded. I see it as the same level of opportunity. Gn.
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The Bezos $AMZN sales plan is done. He’s finally concluded his 25 million share sale. The stock is free from the shackles of Jeffrey. We can now march onward to $300 and a 3 trillion dollar valuation without the burden of his selling. (probably means a market crash is coming).
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The market environment right now is one that will continue to lure everyone into thinking we’re back just before the rug gets pulled.
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What’s hanging over $TSLA?. -Poor earnings.-Politics.-Tariffs.-Declining EU car sales.-OpenAI bid.-Perception of Elon not being focused on Tesla. Does anyone actually think “this time is different” and the stock won’t recover like always? Lol. I doubt this is “the end” of Tesla.
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$SQ. Zoom out. Highest monthly close since April 2022. We’re now officially in the holiday season and Square is one of the most commonly used POS systems. Afterpay is the #2 most used BNPL service after Klarna. Early signs of a stage 2 uptrend after a long stage 1 base…
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Be careful of gap ups or major rallies into declining moving averages. The biggest rallies come in downtrends, look at a chart of the 2022 bear market we had 7-10% index bounces the entire way down. Maybe we are bottoming but I’m still of the mindset we’re in a downtrend.
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Ok so now everyone knows Jeff is 87% done with the $AMZN sales plan, floodgates will open and this will run hard. No fund or money manager is going to be scared to bid at this point with just 13% of the sales plan remaining. This is gonna get crazy for a mega cap.
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$SERV. If you’re looking for which small cap name will lead the Robotics theme, to me Serve is the answer. Backed by $NVDA $UBER with Jensen taking the stage at CES this week and Robotics being a focus…we could see some fireworks here.
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Just don’t blow up. It’s fun to make money but when the tide turns and the environment changes, it’s even more important to focus on defense. If you can simply survive and avoid blowing up your account you’ll be ready when we enter an uptrend. The market will always be here.
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Robotics is waking up again. Really acted well this week, charts are 5 star. If comparing Robotics to Quantum:. $SERV = $IONQ.$RR = $RGTI. *my opinion only. Those are my two focus names. Still think theme is going to be a monster at some point much like Quantum Computing.
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The Anduril effect is getting real. Which company is most connected to Anduril outside of $PLTR?. $ACHR. 5 star chart, narrative, and theme. I keep posting about this for a reason.
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I’m not the type to do this type of post but a big problem with this app is people are unable to move past losses. In just the last 2.5 weeks, I’ve posted only 5 charts:. $HIMS +100%.$TEM +35%.$EOSE +25%.$CRWV +10%.$ASTS -5%.*% gains from time of post to high/low*. And I still.
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$HIMS. I think people are going to try and address their weight, hair loss, and *other* issues before Summer. Last time Hims touched the 50SMA on the weekly it went from $13 to $70.
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Plenty of charts that look like this right now. $AFRM $UPST $SQ $TWLO $ZM $PYPL $CPNG $RBLX $DOCU $BILL $S $LOVE $LMND $Z $UPWK to name a few. I think if we consolidate/pullback on $ARKK $IWM many of these will present good opportunities to get long for their stage 2 advance.
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$MNMD. Just waiting on RFK to get confirmed to lead the HHS, once that happens the entire psychedelic sector should ignite. I think Mind Med leads this group. What a setup we have brewing here. Double digits soon in my opinion.
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Today we got three major headlines:. •Trump said to have assured CEOs that a policy pivot on tariffs is underway. •Fed reserve is “absolutely” prepared to help the market if needed. •U.S told China to request a Xi-Trump call. Smells like a tariff walk back and China deal.
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$UBER. Ackman, that Super Bowl commercial, and a chart that looks like this?. Looks like triple digits to me.
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Objectively I can’t say I’ve seen many companies execute and innovate on a level like $HOOD over the last year or two. It feels like every month we’re seeing new features, products, or improvements. Implementing AI into the platform in a way that’s not only useful but practical.
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Just experienced the latest $TSLA FSD in my cousins car and I’m genuinely blown away. Big improvement from the last time I tried it. No interventions and it drove like a real human controlling the wheel. Full autonomy is a lot closer than most expect.
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