Ye Myo Hein
@YeMyoHein5
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Global Fellow at the Wilson Center and Visiting Fellow at the United States Institute of Peace. Views are mine, Not USIP, not the Wilson.
Joined July 2021
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The surrender of 2389 military personnel in Laukkai, including six Brigadier General commanders, marks the largest surrender in the history of Myanmar's military.
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A photo of Two Karenni teenagers who fought against the junta raised Three-fingers, reportedly after being arrested and tortured by the Myanmar military, on their knees, before being cold-bloodedly murdered.
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This picture clearly show how children learn their education every day under severe threats from the Myanmar Army airstrikes. Sad!!!
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Two years after the coup, the Burmese people are still determined to reject the military regime. Amid threats, people participated in the silent strike against the military rule. Photos show usually congested roads with no traffic and normally bustling markets with no customers.
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UNICEF's statement should mention who carried out this air strike. Sick!!!
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Burmese people will carry out "Silent Strike" against the military junta during 10 am - 4 PM on Dec 10. Even hawkers and workers, who live on the daily income, told me that they will join the strike without going out. The Burmese people are standing firmly against the junta.
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Myanmar's military regime arrested nearly 100 people for wearing, holding, and selling flowers on June 19, Aung San Suu Kyi's birthday. Instead of armed resistance, some advocated for revitalizing the political process in Myanmar. The regime couldn't even tolerate people wearing…
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The video shows local residents cheerfully welcoming the resistance forces returning victorious in Myanmar.
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The video depicts student activists, led by Nan Lin, courageously staging a flash protest in a Yangon bazaar despite serious risks. The local news reported that the following day, the cruel junta demolished that bazaar.
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Myanmar's military perpetrated the most heinous crime. The barbaric army staged a helicopter attack on an elementary school in Depeyin, Sagaing Region, killing nine children, and wounding over twenty. I can't bear to hear a survivor's recounting of that hellfire incident.
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In the morning, the junta's chief met and cut a cake together with Cardinal Charles Maung Bo, a Burmese Catholic prelate. At night, the junta's soldiers are brutally launching airstrikes at the Laykaykaw, where most Christian civilians live.
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Must-read article written by the three leaders of the Myanmar resistance movement, Gen Guan Maw, U Yee Mon and Ko Min Ko Naing.
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Despite being neglected by U.S. Summit for Democracy, Burmese people are fighting for their democratic future on their own. People are now waging a silent strike against the junta across the country. Roads are clear, markets and shops closed, & businesses not in operation today.
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Unsurprisingly, Myanmar's military junta supported Russia's invasion into Ukraine. The junta's spokesperson said that "Russia's invasion is an appropriate measure to preserve its sovereignty".
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Today, Ko Tayzar San, a leader of the Spring Revolution, was seen together with protesters.
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This photo clearly shows how Myanmar's military has destroyed villages in Sagaing Region where the anti-junta forces are active. Air, artillery and arson attacks are daily launched by the junta's military in those villages.
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It's been a year now since I left Burma. This is the most depressing moment in my life. The only relief is that I've the chance to keep researching and writing. I've written some op-ed, papers and reports within this year. Below are the links to my writings since my departure.
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Please check out my new piece, "Myanmar Military's culture of atrocities." I think, "The military’s most recent atrocities are thus not an aberration but rather a historical pattern emanating from its institutional culture," and I tried to explore it.
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Myanmar junta suffers from a serious lack of international recognition. So far, it has just received messages of felicitations from only five countries - all its congenial parish states and weapon sellers, Russia, Cambodia, Belarus, Serbia and North Korea.
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According to local media reports, the entire battalion of Light Infantry Battalion 430 from the Myanmar military has defected to the resistance side. The defected battalion comprises approximately 100 soldiers and is led by Commander Lt. Col. Zar Ni Aung.
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Yangon is silent today! Even after three years, people have not failed to join the silent strike against the military junta.
(Photo -DVB)
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This video records Karenni resistance troops raiding military outpost in Moebye. Notably, the individual seen dashing first to the enemy base wears a prosthetic leg, having lost it in a previous battle.
Video Credit - Loikaw PDF
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My new piece "Finding Fault Lines within the Tatmadaw"
A steady increase in defections and desertions since the coup amid plunging morale has some questioning whether unity can be maintained within the Tatmadaw,
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After reading Mary's article about Burmese education, I pondered how uneducated Generals destroyed the education system. In 3 months of the 1962 coup, Brigadier Than Pe, who was then in charge of education, proclaimed that Burmese education would be rooted up. Indeed, they did.
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The combined forces of the KNU and PDFs launched simultaneous attacks against three military battalion headquarters in Kya-in Seik Gyin in Karen State yesterday. This photo shows resistance forces at a battalion gate, after destroying buildings inside.
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Given their fragmented nature and rapid development, the PDFs remain a mystery to most analysts and international policymakers. I tried to understand the latest development of the PDF in my new piece.
Understanding the People’s Defense Forces in Myanmar
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In Burma, people are putting their lives at risk every day for restoration of democracy. In the recent article, Lucas Myers and I wrote US should invite representatives of the NUG to Summit for Democracy. But, no representation from the NUG there. Why is Biden missing on Myanmar?
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I reiterated the junta has no plan to hold elections at the promised time. Less than 6 months after the coup, the junta extended its rule for extra year and half. Now, it said that organization of elections depends on the cooperation of the people & the international community.
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According to my sources, twenty-two battalions of the Myanmar military surrendered in Laukkai ROC. Initially, there were 27 battalions deployed there, but before the surrender, resistance forces overran five battalions, leaving the remaining force at 22.
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My new piece published by the USIP!
Many policymakers in the international community tend to view Myanmar’s junta through the prism of their own experience as government actors beholden to a constituency and national interest. No matter how bloodstained …
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Myanmar junta's newspaper confirmed the execution of Ko Jimmy and Ko Zeyar Thaw.
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In Burma, people continue anti-junta resistance by banging pots and pans tonight. Soldiers are also committing horrific violence, destroying cars, shooting at civilian neighborhood and arresting people. A young man jumped from his five-storey apartment in fear of being arrest.
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The coup leader Min Aung Hlaing came and met NLD party's patron U Tin Oo in Yangon today. U Tin Oo, wearing the Pinni Taikpon jacket and the NLD party brooch, met him. Min Aung Hlaing also reportedly met the notorious former military intelligence chief Khin Nyunt today.
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My interview with the Irrawaddy about the current momentum of the armed rebellion.
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Some in the international community seem to believe that they can convince Myanmar's brutal military to end its rule. The execution case clearly shows the Myanmar Sit-Tat won't listen to others, but only run by their own logic. They are turning the country into "Murder Republic."
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My response to the Yusuke Watanabe's article "On Myanmar, Japan Alone Must Hold the Line" published on the National Interest at December 11. I am trying to deconstruct a skyful of lies by the junta's apologists in this article.
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Reports indicate that numerous outbreaks of attacks by various resistance forces have occurred in multiple areas of Myanmar, from Kachin and Shan to Karen, this morning. It seems that the coordinated and simultaneous attacks have been orchestrated by the resistance forces.
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The latest news from Myanmar is that Russian Deputy Defense Minister will visit to Myanmar to attend the Armed Forces Day parade, organized by the junta, as he did last year. It is another sign of an autocratic alignment between Russia and the junta.
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The combined forces of the KNLA, DKBA and PDFs have launched simultaneous attacks against military bases in Myawaddy, Kawkareik, Thingannyinaung, and Kyonedoe in Karen State today.
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She posted that her husband was released at 8:15 pm on 19-10-2021, and taken back into detention 45 minutes later. She wrote sadly that she did not have a chance to hug her husband. Myanmar's junta has been playing a ruthless game of "the release and arrest".
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A 17-year-old activist was reportedly shot dead by soldiers for hanging anti-junta poster in Yangon today. People remain committed to nonviolent struggle, even after a year of coup. But the junta's deadly, brutal repression has led them to no other option than armed resistance.
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Myanmar was overwhelmed with the slogan "Our Revolution must win" instead of "Happy New Year" at the time of New Year. People have again demonstrated their will against the military junta.
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The photo shows the NUG’s flag of people revolution raised in front of the General Administration Office in Kawlin, meaning their control over the town in Upper Sagaing. The swift capture of Kawlin has surprised many, including possibly even commanders of the resistance there.
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According to on the ground information, military helicopters randomly fired into seven villages including Nyaung Hla, Marakan, Mukan and Latyetkone in Depeyin, the Sagaing Region, last night. The precise numbers of civilian casualties and displaced people remain unknown yet.
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Lt. Col Thet Aung appears happy with his arrest by the PDF. The military lecturer from the Defense Service Technological Academy, stationed in a command role at Thanbo outpost, was apprehended during the PDF's takeover of that position near Pyinoolwin.
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The junta's military is extensively launching airstrikes in Sagaing Region, and it has started helicopter attacks at the Laykaykaw, Karen state, today.
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Save the Children also issued a statement about the junta's helicopter attacks on elementary school, and my question for this statement is who perpetrated that deadly attack on school. Why did these organizations fail to mention the perpetrator?
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As a citizen of Myanmar, I know very well what this illustration truly means.
This is a brilliant illustration of just how stupid and morally bankrupt are the arguments of people pushing Ukraine to negotiate with russia. You cannot negotiate with someone who came to kill you.
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I've penned a two-part series, with this first part laying out the current state of the battlefield in Myanmar shaped by Operation 1027. The second part will delve into the implications of the expanding conflict and the challenges that lie ahead.
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The Myanmar junta announces the enforcement of the military draft law enacted by the SLORC on Nov 4, 2010. Males aged 18-35 [for experts to 45] and females aged 18-27 [to 35]are now eligible for potential drafting, serving 2 years, extendable to 5 during national emergencies.
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In light of the ongoing military developments in Myanmar, it's a must-read.
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Unsurprisingly, Sasakawa quickly convened a meeting with Malaysian Foreign Minister, after the latter's meeting with the NUG Foreign Minister in DC. The junta fears that the ASEAN countries will step up engagement with the NUG.
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My new piece about the Myanmar military’s shrinking strength was published by the USIP.
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My recent report found that conflicts and/or attacks erupted in 266 townships out of 330 in Myanmar. The current conflict is far more extensive and widespread than the civil war in 1948-49, although the latter had higher intensity and posed serious threats to central authority.
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The junta's aerial bombardment on the KIO/KIA's event in Hpakant killed many people, including KIA officials and Kachin celebrities. Increased air strikes, some not reported, have been observed recently and as monsoon recedes, the junta's air attacks have greatly risen.
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Some of Myanmar's neighbors continue selling aviation fuel to the military, despite a sharp rise in the number of innocent civilians killed by ruthless airstrikes across the country. By fueling killing machines, they become complicit in the Myanmar military's war crimes.
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The resistance alliance has taken control of Kunlong in Northern Shan State, which is home of Kunlong Bridge over the Salween River. It is renowned for the 42-day battle between the Burma Communist Party (BCP) and the Myanmar Army in 1971 to control this strategic bridge.
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Lucas and I penned a new piece titled "Is Myanmar a Frontline of a New Cold War?" We delve into China's efforts to bolster the junta, responding to the US's promise of support to the resistance movement. Published by
@ForeignAffairs
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The MNDAA and resistance troops successfully captured a substantial amount of weaponry, including Multiple Rocket Launch and Howitzer, during their battle to seize Kunlong.
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The parties, which did not register with the junta’s Election Commission, won 88.45% (145 in Upper House and 276 in Lower House) of the union parliament seats in the 2020 elections, and the re-registered parties obtained only 11.55% (16 in Upper and 39 in Lower House) of seats.
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Wonder about the facts the author relies to write it.
Nay Pyi Taw still has around 300,000 troops fighting against about 65,000 resistance fighters, many of whom are new recruits. Given the advantage, the SAC could still retake the territories it has lost.
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“DON’T GIVE A WILD BEAST A TASTE OF BLOOD” - my latest piece published by the Irrawaddy.
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According to local sources, the Kachin Independence Army (KIA) and its allies have launched large-scale offensives against military positions this morning, simultaneously attacking approximately 30 military outposts in Kachin State.
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The personal Assistant & driver of the deputy regional commander of North-West Regional Command reportedly defected to the PDFs. They revealed that the morale of the soldiers has been dramatically declining and there have been growing instances of insubordination in the Tatmadaw.
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Timor-Leste President J. Ramos-Horta said the people of Myanmar feel abandoned, betrayed by the so-called international community. But, some want to "blame or preach" people for their criticism of UN agencies which have tremendously lost their credibility in Myanmar.
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According to insider sources, the 3BHA is currently under considerable pressure from China to cease their offensives and engage in talks with the junta. Despite this, the fighting persists, and the 3BHA continues to capture some military positions in northern Shan state.
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According to inside sources, the regime has convened an emergency meeting in Naypyitaw this morning to plan counterattacks aimed at retaking the town recently seized by the resistance. At the same of that meeting, the resistance has gained control of Pinlebu in northern Sagaing.
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MNDAA reportedly seizes Laukkai after the Laukkai Regional Operation Command (ROC) falls. Soldiers in the ROC surrendered voluntarily, amid unconfirmed reports that the order to surrender came from Naypyitaw. Anyhow, it true, it marks the first Regional Operation Command to fall.
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The Irrawaddy has published the second part of my article.
“Operation 1027 has brought three interrelated changes in the dynamics of conflict in Myanmar: a shift in tactics, a pattern of coordination, and changes in the military equilibrium.”
?
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The junta chief Min Aung Hlaing has always aired his grand delusional plan to use electric cars and trains in Myanmar. Now, the junta announced that Myanmar will return to the dark age with frequent power outages as it could not supply enough power.
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On November 11 (1111), the Karenni resistance forces launched attacks on military positions in Loikaw, the capital town of Karenni State, beginning at 5:30 am. According to local sources, the resistance has already captured three military outposts now.
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“The current military leaders are not only bringing catastrophe to the country but also destroying their own institution,” says Ye Myo Hein
“Even in their potential downfall, they appear ready to bring down the entire institution with them.”
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My data shows about 46 battalions deployed in Kayah - 1 from LID(55), 10 from LID(66), 2 each from MOC(14) & (17), 8 from MOC(18), and 13 from ROC(Loikaw) & Eastern R Command. With each having only about 80 troops, the total would be about 4,000.
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The NUG’s Ministry of Defense announced that the Myanmar military’s helicopter was shot down by the PDFs during the fighting in Homlin, the Sagaing region.
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While fierce fighting unfolds in Northern Shan States, the combined forces of the KNLA and PDFs are launching attacks on several military posts in Kawkareik this morning.
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“the U.S. lack of interest in Myanmar has inadvertently created opportunities for China to gain undue influence over the country and enabled China to open the “back door” to the Indian Ocean and maneuver its way out of its “Malacca dilemma.”
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The TNLA has just issued a press statement, stating that the military violated the newly-signed ceasefire agreement by launching offensives against TNLA-controlled military positions in Kyaukme.
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It's a must-read article. David Mathieson discussed how Min Aung Hlaing turned Myanmar into a murder republic.
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Despite a ceasefire in northern Shan State, the Arakan Army (AA) continues fighting in Chin and Rakhine states. The latest news is that the AA captured Brig. General Zin Myo Swe, commander of MOC (19) in Paletwa, marking another high-ranking commander captured by the 3BHA.
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The NUG minister of defense officially said that it set up the three military divisional commands (MDC), which are led by the top military leaders of the allied EAOs. As far as I know, No.1 MDC was led by KIA, No.2 MDC by KNLA, and No.3 by KNPP-KA.
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The Burmese people continue to defy the military rule by any means possible. A Yangon resident showed the slogan “no right to rule at all,” written on his longyi, to the passing military car.
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The junta's mouthpiece paper ridiculously eulogized Min Aung Hlaing as the one who uplifted prestige of Myanmar throughout the world for meeting with Putin and attending Eastern Economic Forum. It also wrote he was 'tumultuously' welcomed back by the people. Crazy!!!
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China's intervention prompts MNDAA to agree a temporary ceasefire with the military in Kokang until Dec 30, reportedly aiming to facilitate the exit of the military’s civil servants from Laukkai. Despite recent talks with the military in China, TNLA and AA continue their fights.
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A local PDF group claimed that two YAK-180 fighter jets were successfully destroyed with remote-controlled bombs in Hmawbi airbase in Yangon. Contrary to the denial by the Junta spokesperson, several internal sources confirmed it.
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Amid recent news of a meeting with the junta, the Three Brotherhood Alliance reassures the public not to be concerned. They stated that they will never ignore the political objectives aspired by Myanmar’s people and vow not to backtrack on their dedication.
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The Arakan Army (AA) officially declares the capture of the military's heavily fortified Hnonebu Tactical Command base in Paletwa after 27 days of fighting. This marks the second Tactical Command base seized by the AA in Paletwa following the Troaing base.
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Security tightened in Naypyitaw after the arrest of Myint Hlaing, former minister & ex-general. Despite corruption pretext, rumors swirl of a connection to a potential counter-coup plot, fueling speculation of further arrests.
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A local media outlet has reported on a leaked document that indicates the LID 114 battalion of Myanmar's military, has only 132 personnel, a significant shortfall from its designated strength of 857 & this battalion is capable of deploying a mere 70 individuals to the frontline.
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“..One certainty is that Operation 1027 has shifted the military equilibrium in favor of the resistance,” said Ye Myo Hein, fellow at the USIP and the Wilson Center.
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The NUG, KNU, KNPP, and CNF issued a joint position statement following extensive discussions.
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The NUG and the Interim Executive Council of the Karenni State successfully rescued 228 staff members and their family members from the UN and INGOs who were trapped in the fighting in Loikaw. The resistance forces utilized 33 vehicles to facilitate their escape to Taunggyi.
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Amid increasing Chinese pressure to halt fighting, the MNDAA has raised its flag at the Yang Lone Kyaing border gate in Laukkai. No reported clashes occurred in the area, but according to local sources, a significant number of soldiers voluntarily surrendered to the MNDAA.
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Local media reveals the second meeting between Three Brotherhood Alliance (3BHA) and the junta has broken down. Despite discussions from Dec 22-24 under rising pressure from China, reliable sources said that no results were achieved due to serious tensions in the meeting.
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The junta's conscription laws have sparked panic among the public, leading to a huge influx of migration. This news shows long queues at the Thai Embassy for visa applications as people rush to leave the country. This reaffirms that the junta is the agent of chaos in Myanmar.
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Local news report that Brigadier General Lin Aung Moe, the commander of the military operations command (17), was killed by the resistance forces in Namkham. It is the second instance of a high-ranking officer being killed in the battlefield following the commander of LID 99.
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According to sources close to the Myanmar military, Air forces chief General Maung Maung Kyaw was replaced by Chief of Staffs(Air Forces) Lt. General Tun Aung.
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My news piece on "the junta's recent conscription law" has been published by USIP. I argue that the junta's move towards compulsory conscription highlights its desperation and further cements its image as a source of instability.
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The NUG's People's Defense Force (PDF) has successfully taken control of Khampet town on the Kalay-Tamu Asia Highway in the western part of Myanmar which could signify a first step towards consolidating the resistance's authority in the Kabaw valley.
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TNLA GS Brig Gen Tar Bone Kyaw revealed that during the Kumming meeting, junta's Chief Peace Negotiator Lt. Gen Min Naing threatened, 'Even if you ethnic groups capture towns militarily, they'll never be peaceful. We will continuously bombard with advanced weapons and air power.’
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A new article by Daw Zin Mar Aung, the Foreign Minister of the NUG.
Military dictatorship is not inevitable in Myanmar - and this movement offers an historic opportunity to make it a trend of the past.
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