YBB Personal Finance
@YBB_Finance
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#PersonalFinance @YBB_Finance at #X; "at"yogibearbull at #ProBoards, #Facebook, #Threads, #MFObserver, #Bluesky. E-paper #IndoUSTribune; #LinkedIn.
Illinois
Joined April 2022
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4/4 So, global inflation is rising, global economy is slowing down, parts of Europe & Asia may soon be in recession, & eventually, US multinationals will be affected. #PersonalFinance #Barrons
https://t.co/zXjkXpLfiB
ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com
Weekly Business Digest 2, March 23, 2026 PREVIEW/REVIEW. Oil is up +47% since the war and ETF XLE has also rallied. But short interest in ETF USO is also up +50%; some of it could be hedging.
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3/4 Although not much pharma is produced in Middle East, it has become an important trading & logistics center for pharma, so lot of pharma is just sitting in Middle Eastern warehouses & lot of it may have limited shelf life...
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2/4 ...& almost none for natural gas. Beyond oil/gas for fuel, various supply-chains have been impacted – for fertilizers, methanol, plastics, aluminum, industrial gas used in the production of chips, many industrial products & general trading...
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WEEKLY BUSINESS DIGEST 2 GLOBAL IMPACTS of Iran war has been quite broad. The immediate issue is the supply of oil/gas for fuel. Developed countries have good facilities to store them, but in developing countries, there are limited facilities for storing oil...
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3/3 Gold tanked/crashed; goldminers were trashed. Wall Street strategists are starting to cut their targets for 2026. #PersonalFinance #Barrons
https://t.co/yzYMPo2GV7
ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com
Weekly Business Digest 1, March 23, 2026 TRADER. Three “bears” (oil, gold and Fed) are now angling the “Goldilocks” US economy. Oil/gas remain problems as the Strait of Hormuz remains practic
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2/3 ...to pre-war levels. Higher oil prices may be good for some, but their overall effect is a drag on the US economy. And with rising inflation, the Fed is less likely to cut rates in 2026 (maybe in 2027?). Treasuries didn’t see any flight-to-safety as their yields rose...
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WEEKLY BUSINESS DIGEST 1 TRADER. Three “bears” (oil, gold and Fed) are angling the “Goldilocks” US economy. Oil/gas remain problems as the Strait of Hormuz remains practically closed. Even if the war ended now, it would take Middle Eastern oil/gas facilities months to rebound...
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3/3 Indian strategic petroleum reserve (SPR) capacity for crude & refined oil is only about 74 days. This is quite low! Government is expanding its reserve capacity. #IndoUSTribune
indoustribune.com
By: Dr K C GuptaCONTRARIAN INDICATORSAAII Bull-Bear Spread -14.5% (low)CNN Fear & Greed Index 20 (extreme fear)NYSE %Above 50-dMA % 30.40% (negative; barely clearing oversold)SP500 %Above 50-dMA...
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2/3 US/Israel-Iran/Lebanon War disruptions for oil & LNG are bad for India. There is a small Indian SPR for crude & refined oil, but there is almost none for natural gas. Supplies of natural gas to companies, hotels, restaurants have been cut; some have closed temporarily...
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ENERGY IN INDIA First US refinery in 50 years in Brownsville, Texas with a processing capacity of 168K barrels/day of light/sweet US shale oil will be financed by Ambani's Reliance under a 20-year, $300 billion, 1.2 billion barrels oil deal...
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3/3 Strait of Hormuz remains closed for traffic except for a trickle; war is creeping into oil/gas infra. Fed held rates at 3.50-3.75%. PPI (wholesale) +3.4%, core +3.9%. S&P & Nasdaq may change indexing rules to lure hot IPOs. #AAII #CNN #Sentiment
https://t.co/EaChlwTaRG
ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com
American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) publishes a weekly survey of investor sentiment for the direction of the stock market. The Survey period is Thursday-Wednesday & it is
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2/3 INVESTOR CONCERNS: Geopolitical, Fed, dollar, debt, tariffs, inflation, jobs, Russia-Ukraine (211+ wks), Israel-Hamas (67+27 wks; fragile peace), US/Israel-Iran/Lebanon (18 days). For the Survey wk (Th-Wed), stocks down, bonds down, oil up sharply, gold down, dollar up...
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SENTIMENT & MARKET INDICATORS, 3/18/26 AAII Bull-Bear Spread -21.6% (very low) CNN Fear & Greed Index 18 (extreme fear) NYSE %Above 50-dMA 28.81% (oversold) SP500 %Above 50-dMA 29.80% (oversold) These are contrarian indicators...
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3/3 There has been no progress in Senate confirmation of Fed Chair nominee Kevin WARSH. #PersonalFinance #Barrons
https://t.co/msi1GasBUH
ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com
Weekly Business Digest 2, March 16, 2026 PREVIEW/REVIEW. Lower MORTGAGE RATES have attracted more first-time homebuyers – they represented 34% of sales in February, among the highest in
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2/3 ...(iv) rising risks of stagflation (slower growth, higher inflation). FOMC is likely to hold rates on 3/18/26; there may be only 1 rate cut in late-2026. Fed cannot do anything about the supply shocks from Middle East...
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WEEKLY BUSINESS DIGEST 2 ECONOMY. US economy has several problems: (i) 2025/Q4 GDP growth was revised down to +0.7% (real) only, (ii) core PCE index was +3.1% & that may rise due to Iran war, (iii) recent jobs report showed a loss,...
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3/3 ...(ECB may not cut in 2026). US stocks would rally when this War ends, but when is that? The tech sector may be bottoming; opportunities may also be in industrials & healthcare. Risks may not be fully reflected in VIX. #PersonalFinance #Barrons
https://t.co/wYYBl67UBv
ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com
Weekly Business Digest 1, March 16, 2026 TRADER. US stocks have been hit first by AI fears and then oil fears. As of Friday, it’s the 13th day of US/Israel-Iran/Lebanon war with no clea
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2/3 ...(although there are reports that Iran has been letting some ships through if asked nicely). This “short” War will soon start affecting US economy & inflation through higher energy prices. CME FedWatch is now projecting only one rate cut in 10/2026...
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WEEKLY BUSINESS DIGEST 1 TRADER. US stocks have been hit first by AI fears & then oil fears. As of Friday, it’s the 13th day of US/Israel-Iran/Lebanon war with no clear prospects of the Strait of Hormuz reopening...
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2/2 Examples are TIAA (Traditional - RA, RC, SRA, RCP, IRA) & Federal TSP (G Fund). #IndoUSTribune
indoustribune.com
By: Dr K C GuptaCONTRARIAN INDICATORSAAII Bull-Bear Spread -2.4% (below average)CNN Fear & Greed Index 27 (fear-high)NYSE %Above 50-dMA 42.97% (negative)SP500 %Above 50-dMA 45.40% (negative)ICI Fund...
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