
WSL Analytics
@WSLAnalytics
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📊 Data-driven insights into Women's Super League matches ⚽️ Match Analysis | 📈 Stats 🔍 Player Performance Spotlights
London
Joined January 2025
Full analysis and club-by-club breakdown also live at
wslanalytics.com
Chelsea, City, Arsenal, and United all claimed victories to keep the title race tight, Villa were held by a defiant Leicester, and London City Lionesses extended West Ham’s winless run to six.
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Prediction Summary: 5 out of 6 predictions correct (83.3% accuracy rate) Only miss: Aston Villa vs Leicester ended 0-0 instead of predicted Villa win
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Gameweek 6 of the WSL produced 11 goals across six fixtures (1.83 per match) — the lowest-scoring round so far this season. Notable stats: ▫️Highest attendance: Arsenal vs Brighton (27,336) ▫️Aston Villa 2.99 xG, 5 big chances created, 0 scored ▫️Own goals: Two in one matchweek!
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The real deal💎🏆 Manchester City have the best underlying numbers AND their results match it. They're not getting lucky or unlucky — they're just that good. #BarclaysWSL #ManCityWomen #WSLAnalytics
Are Manchester United living on borrowed time? They are massively overperforming their expected goal difference metrics—sitting 8.1 goals better than their underlying performance suggests. This means one of two things is happening: ▫️Either their attackers are finishing chances
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Getting unlucky?😤 West Ham are the biggest underperformers — they're 9 goals worse off than their performances suggests. Liverpool are also 5 goals short of where they should be. If their strikers start finishing properly and keepers stop howling, we expect a turnaround.
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Getting what they deserve?⚖️ Arsenal's results pretty much match how they're actually playing. No complaints there.
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Chelsea (+3.2) and Aston Villa (+3.7) are also slightly punching above their weight 🥊. Though less extremely. #BarclaysWSL #CFCW #AVFCWomen #WSLAnalytics #WSLStats
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Are Manchester United living on borrowed time? They are massively overperforming their expected goal difference metrics—sitting 8.1 goals better than their underlying performance suggests. This means one of two things is happening: ▫️Either their attackers are finishing chances
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Mariona Caldentey and Kosovare Asllani lead the WSL in creativity, each producing 14 chances after five matchweeks. Both players are driving their teams’ attacking play, averaging nearly three chances per 90 minutes. Lauren Hemp, though only sixth in total chances, leads the
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WSL Gameweek 6 Predictions📈 ▫️Big 4 to roll: Chelsea, Arsenal, Man United, Man City all strong favourites ▫️Strongest favourites: Chelsea (~75% win probability) ▫️TV picks: Chelsea–Spurs (Sky Sports Main Event); Arsenal (BBC Two/iPlayer) 📺 ▫️Closest call: London City vs West
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Arsenal and Chelsea received the most favourable draws among WSL teams with identical average opponent ratings of 85.3. Man United faces a notably harder path with an average opponent rating 2.3 points higher. The difficulty rating is based on Opta Power Rankings, where lower
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Full analysis and club-by-club breakdown now live at
wslanalytics.com
City toppled Arsenal 3–2 in a pulsating clash, Chelsea’s perfect start halted by United, Aston Villa claimed their first win, and London City Lionesses stunned Liverpool with a dramatic late penalty.
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Gameweek 5 of the WSL produced 13 goals across six fixtures (2.2 per match) — the lowest-scoring round so far this season, but one filled with late drama and pivotal results. At Leigh, Manchester United halted Chelsea’s perfect start with a battling 1–1 draw in front of 5,105
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Arsenal: 8/15. Our pre-season model had them at 3W + 1D + 1L (10 pts). Arsenal beat London City & West Ham, drew Aston Villa and @ Man United, lost @ Man City leaving them 2 point behind projection. A concerning start to their title charge. #BarclaysWSL #ArsenalWomen
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Manchester City: 12/15. Our pre-season model had them at 3 wins + 1 draw + 1 loss (10 points). City won all three favourites (Brighton, @ Spurs, London City), beat Arsenal, and only lost narrowly at Chelsea leaving them +2 points ahead of projection on 12/15. A strong start that
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Manchester United: 11/15 Our pre-season model had them at 3 wins + 1 draw + 1 loss (Leicester, @ London City, @ Liverpool wins; Arsenal draw; Chelsea loss). They delivered the three wins, drew Arsenal as forecast — but also held Chelsea, leaving them +1 point ahead of projection
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Chelsea: 13/15 as predicted. Our pre-season model had their first five at 4 wins + 1 draw. (Man City, @ Villa, Leicester, @ WestHam wins; @ Man United draw). Bang on the money. Early title pace set. #BarclaysWSL #CFCW
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WSL Gameweek 5 Predictions: No clear favourites this week — every model edge is sub-50%. Fine margins, coin-flips everywhere. Slim model edges (still tight): ▫️Chelsea 45% at Man United — history + depth, but United’s defence keeps it live. ▫️Arsenal 39% at Man City — slight
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The fixture between Manchester United and Chelsea is historically skewed, representing a major statistical anomaly in top-tier women's football rivalry. Chelsea holds a commanding historical record against Manchester United, with 14 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss in 16 meetings.
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Across the 12 first home fixtures this season, WSL clubs filled 30% of available capacity (95,213 fans in stadiums totalling 317,237 seats). Top utilisers: ▫️Arsenal (63%) @ Emirates ▫️West Ham (57%) @ Chigwell ▫️London City (56%) @ Hayes Lane At the other end, big venues
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