2026 market view: Cautiously Optimistic Market views are like armpits, blasé blasé. Will keep it short. Couple considerations: - The market has been up nearly 20% in three consecutive years, stocks are expensive - AI market analogies to .Com bubble. However, companies are

People have forgotten about inflation. The FED cut rates not knowing US GDP was growing at ~5% (faster than most developed economies) On top of fiscal spending Inflation hasn’t shown up in consumer goods due to globalization, AI efficiency tailwinds, and competition But it

Updated $BTC Risks: - Satoshi identity reveal / liquidation (<5%) - Slow atrophy into irrelevance (<1%) - Pan-Governmental crackdown (<1%) - Large treasury company failure / liquidation (<3%) - Quantum (0.1%) - NSA / CIA doxxed as Satoshi (<1%) Thoughts?

Simplified framework for $MSTR price - Assumes 300k $BTC added quarterly with a total cost of $38b - Funding is a 50/50 equity / debt split with equity issued at 1.5x NAV, diluting shares ~17% to 411m - Prefs modeled as debt as a proxy to simplify (non-common shares) -

Yup, already commentary on flows into microcaps. Mag 7 seems outta juice and everything else is expensive so retail looking for diamonds on the rough / high risk yield

If $MSTR mNAV starts creeping towards 2x does @RealJimChanos (& Company) come back out of the woodwork to put the short back on?

My feed is consumed by $IREN bulls with technical analysis charts. Company has momentum with the $MSFT deal and strong BTC-beta. Obvious tailwinds, good Management execution, and scaled ARR growth with profitability. I've read a few analyst reports, most recently HC

$DXYZ is a closed-end fund aimed at providing VC-backed private company exposure to public investors. Its largest holdings include SpaceX, OpenAI, and Stripe. With current SpaceX IPO speculation (e.g., rise of $RKLB) its market price has risen to ~$30 per share, which represents

$SHOP - Is Shopify too expensive? At ~$165, Shopify's stretched valuation requires a 20% revenue CAGR through 2035 while the intrinsic value is closer to $112 (based on 20+ analyst consensus). Valuation is walking on eggshells. - This valuation reflects a ~15x trailing P/S or

On my 1-day old account, I've taken a analytical approach but want to share a fun consumer idea that's more 'vibes' based than fundamentally driven: $UA In the past couple months I have glibly been telling friends to buy Under Amour on grounds of its strategic reset. It's up ~7%

$SG In Q4'25 I worked on a short thesis for Sweetgreen that worked out. The "Slopcession" continues? Noting this is expired alpha, the framework on how to think about the Company is still valid. Spent 40-50 hours on this one and built a bottoms-up 3 statement model / DCF that

$ZETA is a vertical AI SaaS marketing Company that is up 20% YTD in 2026 (small cap, ~$6b market cap or ~1.2x P/S). It has penetrated nearly half of F100 companies and has consistent strong ARR and earnings growth. @amitisinvesting provided good analysis on a bull case for its

December 31: Short $JMIA. Intrinsic value implied by optimistic Mgt forecast suggests highly overvalued. Growth fueled by speculative hype while the Company has stagnated growth in a complex / unproven market