If you find yourself explaining to experts why they’re wrong — because it’s so simple and obvious to you — consider the (strong) possibility that it might be you who’s wrong.
Flow chart:
@StartsWithABang
@ThinkingPowers
@StartsWithABang
Sometimes I respond with a pile of data
Then admit I've only been doing this since 1988
Concede maybe I've got something wrong?
<Checks notes>
Conclude: huh, no, no, I haven't
@ThinkingPowers
@StartsWithABang
(ahem) The bulk of scientific, technological, and medicinal breakthroughs we now take for granted in the 21st-century West, are because some brave soul at some point questioned the consensus of his or her peers. In other words, expertise was not just defied, it was very often…
@BradRTorgersen
@StartsWithABang
The lone scientist overturning a consensus is largely a myth. But even so, they’re still an expert. The graphic refers to non-experts thinking they know more than experts.
I highly recommend
@NaomiOreskes
’s book “Why trust science.”
@ThinkingPowers
@StartsWithABang
From a single tweet one cannot judge how much of an expert Firstname Lastname is. Should one read a twitterer s resume (usually not available) before "explaining"?
@Tomi_Tapio
@StartsWithABang
I always look at the bio, and more, if available. There are many times commenters have explained things to me without checking.
@ThinkingPowers
@StartsWithABang
Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts. I reject your credentialism-based attempt to dismiss people you disagree with.
@ULTRA_GARBANZO
@StartsWithABang
In any field, from science to plumbing, experts have the relevant knowledge & understanding to be able to interpret evidence. Can experts be wrong? Sure. But they’re much less likely to be wrong than non-experts. And if there’s a consensus the probability they’re wrong is minute.
@ThinkingPowers
@StartsWithABang
And the experts always agree! And if they don't, we call some of them cranks so the experts always agree. See Great Barrington Declaration and Swedish medical community.
@EconVon
@StartsWithABang
Much science denial comes from free-market economists whose ideology is to oppose government regulation.
I highly recommend
@NaomiOreskes
’s book “Merchants of Doubt.”
@ThinkingPowers
@ericlindsay
@StartsWithABang
Well, no. Having been the 'expert' and frequently wrong because really the depth of anyone's expertise is relative- and compared to the subject always shallow, there is VERY strong possibility that both of you are wrong.
@ThinkingPowers
@StartsWithABang
Here's the problem: Once you start saying things because an ideology requires that you say them, your actual "expertise" doesn't matter because you're not using it.
Want an example? Check out the 4th policy on this AMA list.
Everyone involved with this supposedly knows a great…
@ThinkingPowers
@StartsWithABang
Corollary: If they're an expert in some nonsense like homeopathy, an explanation still isn't needed. A good horse laugh will suffice.
@ThinkingPowers
@StartsWithABang
"The inexperienced, the crackpots, and people like that, make guesses that are simple, but you can immediately see that they are wrong" -Richard Feynman
@ThinkingPowers
@StartsWithABang
I would like to add that if i find errors in statical analysis even if the topic is not remotely related to my field i will point it out. But in general this is a nice flowchart :-)