Fixtures 📅.Next 6 #FPL GWs sorted by difficulty ✅.#GW10 ➡️ #GW15.🟪 Border = Home

Hey everyone, sorry for the radio silence. I appreciate all your messages of concern - you’re all fantastic human beings 💙. As a remedy for being a bit burnt out, I am taking time for myself to enjoy the things I really enjoy doing, without the feeling of working. Much love 💙.

Join millions who have switched to Grok.

#FPL Player Stats. Left:.2022/23 All Matches - Profile of Chances.Big Returns ➗Big Attempts > 50% = Elite Conversion.(👍 e.g. Haaland (72%), Kane (59%) etc.).(👎 e.g. Salah (26%), Wilson (33%) etc.). Right:.Momentum - Players emerging in the last 2 GWs

Defence 🥅.Profile of Chances Conceded in the last 6 matches 📅.#FPL

RT @FFScout: LIVE NOW. It's an all-star cast for today's deadline stream! Join them for last-minute transfer talk and captaincy decisions 🤔….

Send in your last minute questions and I’ll shortlist the best ones! ⤵️.

RT @LukeJerdy: ✍️ A Toast to Groß ✍️ . An FPL Short Story from GW2 and a GW3 preview. #FPLCommunity #FPL #GW2 #GW3 #spokenword #poetry h….

Look at all these legends joining me for deadline stream 👀. @FFScout_Mark @zophar666 @SebWassell

To say that I wasn’t influenced by the responses to this would be incorrect. I caved last minute. No hit. 2 FTs used. Price changes generate such psychological pressure, only the strong-willed or uninformed are able to make it to the pressers.

I’m going to let Bailey drop tonight - info is more important.

RT @FFScout: NEW VIDEO. 📺 @TedTalksFPL deliberates on his GW3 FPL transfers while reviewing the stats to determine the best players to targ….

Nothing to see here. Next week the fun begins.

RT @LukeJerdy: ✍️ There’s Only One Model I Need ✍️ . An FPL short story from GW1 and a GW2 preview. I won’t tag any big accounts 😉 . E….

Caveats: This is just averaged information - it doesn't necessarily represent what will happen in one single game of football. Over a longer period though, it'll be more representative. See an example of the volatility in the xG timelines from GW1:.

. and reduce the xG per 90 by -15% to -20% every game he didn't play in the first half. Other than the xG per 90 'fix', it also emphasises how important it is to own players that play 90 mins, whilst having your player benched & subbed on at 60 mins isn't the worst thing ever.

. obtain in the first half of a game due to the game state. Proposed Solution:. If you know a player has been subbed on or off in various situations over your data period (e.g. last 6 GWs) then adjust the xG per 90 by +15% to +20% every game he didn't play the last ~30 mins. .

. over-represent his level of xG if he played a full 90 mins. A real world example of the last sentence is Darwin Nunez against Fulham in GW1. Subbed on at peak xG time, 0.7 xG registered, but his xG per 90 is 1.43. In theory, the extra 0.73 would have been difficult to. .

Therefore, when players start but are taken off at 60 mins they are missing the best bit of the game; any xG per 90 stat would under-represent what they could have achieved. Conversely, a player subbed on at 60 mins is playing at a time with more xG and any adjustment would. .

BUT we've just seen that not all minutes in a game are equal in terms of scoring opportunity. In the first half, both sides have energy, eager to execute their respective game plans - but once those elements start to wane for one side, that's when more chances are afforded.