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TechStockFundamentals

@TechFundies

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Tech investor for ~25 years. Ran large hedge fund for 10 of those. Here to help. Not investment advice.

NYC
Joined July 2018
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@TechFundies
TechStockFundamentals
22 hours
British construction firm was mixed on $PCOR. Highlights.-Switching is really tough bc get used to using one vendor and have layered projects into the horizon so would have to also have period where using two different solutions. -PCOR was great bc was more open w/ APIs to make.
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@TechFundies
TechStockFundamentals
2 days
$SNOW reported a strong beat / raise. Story continues to get better (core accelerating and AI platform coming together) while numbers move higher. Stock reflects all this and pretty full up here. Upside of -9% on 11x CY2027 revs / 40x FCF (ex-SBC). My numbers largely assume Q2
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@grok
Grok
16 days
Blazing-fast image creation – using just your voice. Try Grok Imagine.
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@TechFundies
TechStockFundamentals
3 days
$NVDA putting up some big numbers excluding China - which might turn on again. Growth removing China:. Q1 was 39.4b (removed 4b Chinese H20 revs). Q2 was 45.5b (estimating China was 3% of data center revs or 1.2b) so growth of 15% qq (ahead of 14% guidance) and a step-up of 6b.
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@TechFundies
TechStockFundamentals
3 days
The short interest trend in $MDB. Thx for playing.
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@TechFundies
TechStockFundamentals
4 days
$MDB reported a strong qtr and guidance. Story getting better (database platform stabilizing / re-accelerating, move up-market going well, AI functionality seeing some adoption) and numbers moving meaningfully higher. Risk / reward was excellent before and not as interesting
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@TechFundies
TechStockFundamentals
8 days
Scrubbed $WDAY numbers. Near-term? No clue. SaaS is toxic, analyst day maybe resets long-term growth expects a bit lower (although maybe already in stock), and Q3 offers forward year guide and might need to set starting bar lower to have more cushion. So no interesting
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@TechFundies
TechStockFundamentals
9 days
$WDAY reported a good quarter. Story and numbers moving sideways. Company is doing just fine selling HCM / Financial suite software to core customers in large enterprise / government / education – net new ACV is growing which is pretty dissimilar from most of the rest of
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@TechFundies
TechStockFundamentals
15 days
$GOOGL just released a banger of an AI product: Flight Deals Beta. Describe the trip you want and it shows you matching flights. Works pretty well. 2 prompts:. 1) I want to go skiing at a big mountain with a cool ski town with fun restaurants / bars. Non-stop flight last full
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@TechFundies
TechStockFundamentals
15 days
Testing Perplexity Comet browser. Most of it doesn't work well (can't just put in "HUBS Investor Relations" in task bar and have it go there, seems to be blocking log-ins, etc.). But I did find it useful to pull up a podcast, open the transcript
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@TechFundies
TechStockFundamentals
15 days
Put together a model for $MNTN. Estimates for top-line seem far too low, while estimates for EBITDA / FCF seem about right for 2026 - maybe need to guide below to build cushion. Then again, I'm also assuming incremental investment will tick up (incremental margins of 34% in
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@TechFundies
TechStockFundamentals
15 days
$MNTN COO sounded coherent and good at sell-side conference. Seems like company has a product advantage in serving SMBs for CTV advertising, and a distribution advantage for this harder-to-reach segment of the market. Notes.Product highlights.-Targeting based on consumer.
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@TechFundies
TechStockFundamentals
16 days
This talented hedge fund manager vibe-coded a custom CRM and dropped $HUBS. He also is having a fantastic year - not surprised. Pretty interesting data point for the smaller end of the market. Quote from letter:. "Amber Road now operates a new CRM system built on Replit, the
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@TechFundies
TechStockFundamentals
18 days
More reviews
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@TechFundies
TechStockFundamentals
18 days
$HUBS on the pullback?. 1) Glassdoor reviews basically say there are too many sales reps and hitting quota is pretty tough. So not positive for revenue growth but indicates potential for margin if the sales congestion gets cleaned up. 2) ~60% of the business is marketing hub
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@TechFundies
TechStockFundamentals
19 days
Contact handles sales enablement at French sw company. Positives: $CRM is entrenched and AgentForce working pretty well. Illustrative use case is customer context when responding – very valuable in a high turnover sales model where customer coverage is changing frequently.
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