NEW: Polling on behalf of @CamlasCymru sees Reform UK and Plaid Cymru neck and neck in Caerphilly as Labour fall far behind into third place ahead of the Caerphilly Senedd by-election next Thursday. REF: 42% (+40) PC: 38% (+10) LAB: 12% (-34) CON: 4% (-14) GRN: 3% (+3) LD: 1%

Voting is now over in the Labour Deputy Leadership election, we think Lucy Powell has won the membership section. Final data with @LabourList shows Powell on 58% of the vote to 42% for Phillipson, with a 5.6% statistical margin of error (other sources of error exist!).

NEW: Lucy Powell maintains her lead in in the race to be the next deputy leader amongst the membership, but Bridget Phillipson closes the gap, our final poll ahead of the deputy leadership election with @LabourList reveals. Powell leads by +17 points, down from +31 in September,

As polling closes in the deputy leadership election, LabourList's final poll gives Lucy Powell a commanding but narrower lead over Bridget Phillipson

Get the data. Survation conducted an online poll of 2,151 adults aged 18+ in the UK on their opinions towards prohibiting vaping at bus stops. Fieldwork was conducted between 28th August– 1st September 2025. Tables are available here:

The legislation is also thinking about fining individuals £100 for ignoring formal warnings to stop. There are concerns this isn't fair, but the majority of the public do not seem to have an issue - 57% said fining persistent offenders £100 isn't harsh.

NEW: Two thirds (65%) of the UK public think banning vaping at bus stops is sensible, as parliament consider plans to designate bus stops as public spaces where vaping is prohibited. Read analysis of the results here: https://t.co/QKOUMiI6gV

The vote share shows Reform UK and Plaid Cymru taking the majority of previously shown support for Welsh Labour and the Welsh Conservatives as well as confirmation of a generational divide in the Welsh electorate.

The Camlas x @Survation polling for the #Caerphilly by-election shows a Reform UK win. Plaid Cymru are close behind by just 4 points. Check out the results 👇

Get the data. Survation conducted an online poll of 501 Caerphilly residents aged 16+. Fieldwork was conducted between 7th - 14th October 2025 on behalf of @CamlasCymru. Tables are available here: https://t.co/Ls36MjGHby (5/5)

Damian Lyons-Lowe, Survation's Chief Exec, says: "Welsh politics is on the cusp of an unprecedented transformation. The Labour and Conservative parties previously took a combined 63% of Caerphilly’s Senedd vote in 2021 -our polling indicates this may have plummeted to just 16%

Reform UK's lead is driven by strong support among older voters (49% among 55+). Labour's remaining vote is also concentrated among older core supporters (15% among 55+). In contrast, Plaid Cymru dominates among younger voters (50% among 18–34s). (3/5)

Both Labour and Conservative are losing their previous voters. The Labour’s base in Caerphilly is collapsing: only one in three of its 2021 Senedd voters remain, while 31% have switched to Plaid and 26% to Reform. Most 2021 Conservative voters in Caerphilly are drawn to Reform

Get the data! Survation conducted an online poll of 2,027 adults aged 18+ in the UK on their opinions about environmental damage by companies. Fieldwork was conducted between 24th – 25th September 2025. Tables are available here

Additionally, any efforts made by oil companies to reduce damage so far seem to be insufficient as 62% of the general public wants further action to protect the climate.

We also found - Almost 4 in 5 people believe the CEO/board of polluting companies are to blame for climate change and damage to the environment - 62% support those most responsible being held to account legally for climate breakdown

NEW: Majority of the UK public believes water and oil companies should face criminal charges for environmental harm. 74% think the C-suite and senior board directors should be held accountable for environmental damage, over 5 times more than those who say they should not be

Away from Liverpool and Labour, our latest poll in Scotland showed the SNP have taken a 17 point lead in Holyrood voting intention. Additionally: - They lead in Westminster voting intention with +16 over Reform and Labour - The NHS is far and away considered the most important

Diving into immigration, our polling over the summer found: - Almost half of the public are broadly opposed to immigration, compared to 30% generally in favour of it - When broken down by voting intention, 74% of Reform would-be voters were opposed to immigration, whilst 50% of

Our recent work tracking political attitudes was picked up by @LabourHome_, which showed how Labour would likely fare better by refocussing on the NHS and cost of living, as opposed to immigration. Key bits of data included: - Reform being the most trusted party on immigration