Stats Rocket
@StatsRocketX
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๐ Football stats & analysis ๐ โฝ Turning data into predictions, insights & simulations. ๐ ๐ Follow for daily insights, predictions & football stories ๐
Joined February 2022
๐ญ๐ทLuka Vuลกkoviฤ in the 2025/26 Bundesliga: At just 19 years old, this Croatian wonderkid is already dominating as a center-back! Crushing it with a 99th percentile in aerial duels won, 90th in non-penalty xG, 96th in clearances, and elite marks across the boardโ90th in npxG +
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๐ Hearts top of the tableโฆ but Elo simulations back Celtic๐ ๐Here are the simulations before tomorrowโs Matchday 10 in Scottish Premiership ๐งฎโฝ ๐
Updated: 28 Oct 2025 - 10,000 Elo simulations ๐ The first chart shows Top 6 vs Bottom 6 probabilities after 33 rounds โ key
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๐ ELO Simulation Update โ HNL (after Round 11) โฝ Vukovar beat Dinamo 1โ0 on Monday โ a big surprise that changed the odds. ๐ฅ ๐ Dinamo are still the favorites in our 10,000 ELO simulations (โ64.5% to finish 1st). Hajduk are close behind. ๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐ The position probability
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๐ฎ๐น Serie A โ Title race wide open after Napoli beat Inter โ๏ธ ๐ After a massive 3โ1 win, SSC Napoli sit top of the table with 18 points โ but FC Internazionale Milano still hold the strongest projection: 43.2% title probability based on 10,000 Elo simulations. ๐ AS Roma and AC
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๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League โ Arsenal set the tone โฝ๏ธ After 9 matchdays, Arsenal F.C. lead the table and hold a 64.6% title probability based on 10,000 Elo simulations โ already a commanding position. Behind them, Manchester City F.C. (13.7%) and Liverpool F.C. (12.4%) are the main
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๐ต Vukovar ๐ @gnkdinamo ๐ต โ Monday night finale ๐ญ๐ท HNL โ Matchday 11 ๐ Stadion HNK Cibalia ๐๏ธ 27.10.2025 | ๐ 19:00 CET The round wraps up under the lights in Vinkovci โจ Dinamo bring serious firepower, while Vukovar will try to hold their ground at home. ๐นDinamo have
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๐ซ๐ท Ligue 1 โ PSG stretch their lead โฝ๏ธ ๐ After 9 matchdays, Paris Saint-Germain F.C. are on top with 20 points and a dominant 81.8% title probability based on 10,000 Elo simulations. ๐น Behind them, LOSC Lille, Olympique de Marseille, Olympique Lyonnais and RC Lens are
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๐ช๐ธ La Liga โ Madrid take control โฝ๏ธ ๐ After beating FC Barcelona in El Clรกsico, Real Madrid CF now have a 67.8% chance to win the title based on 10,000 Elo simulations. Theyโre 5 points clear after 10 matchdays โ a gap thatโs already starting to shape the race. FC Barcelona
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๐ฉ๐ช Bundesliga โ Bayern already pulling away โฝ๏ธ ๐ After just 8 matchdays, FC Bayern Munich have an 85%+ chance of winning the title based on 10,000 Elo simulations. RB Leipzig, VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund are chasing โ but the gap is already huge. ๐ At the other end,
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๐ต @NKRijeka ๐ @nkosijek โช ๐ญ๐ท HNL โ Matchday 11 ๐ Rujevica ๐๏ธ 27.10.2025 | ๐ 16:30 CET A big one to keep the round rolling ๐ Rijeka havenโt been in top form lately, but history at Rujevica is strongly on their side. ๐น Rijeka have avoided defeat in 24 of their last 27
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Here are the position probabilities for each team in the regular season
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๐๏ธ Real Madrid 2โ1 Barcelona ๐ xG: 3.65 โ 1.13 | PSxG: 4.33 โ 1.08 ๐๏ธ 26 Oct 2025 โ La Liga A high-intensity El Clรกsico where Madridโs chance creation clearly outshined Barรงaโs. โฝ Goals โช 21โ Kylian Mbappรฉ โ 0.54 xG (Right Foot) โช 43โ Jude Bellingham โ 0.82 xG (Right Foot)
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๐ฌ๐ท Greek Super League โ Qualification picture after 8 roundsโฝ๏ธ ๐ After 8 matchweeks and 10,000 Elo simulations, the table is already starting to take shape. We can clearly see early trends: whoโs pushing for the title and Europe, and whoโs more likely to battle in the bottom
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๐ธ๐ฎ Celje are flying โ but the race behind is heating up ๐ฅ Celje are sitting comfortably on top with 32 points, 8 clear of Bravo โ and the model reflects that dominance:๐ 93% chance to finish 1st Behind them, itโs wide open: โ๏ธ Bravo & Maribor are battling for 2nd. ๐ The race
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