Andrew Gelman et al.
@StatModeling
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Automatically tweets new posts from https://t.co/A8uFi473gj Please respond in the comment section of the blog. Old posts spool at https://t.co/HLEEe8oMCd
Joined November 2010
If you’re interested in the Box-Cox power transformation . . . https://t.co/Xhlmovppwq
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Seven-parameter drift-diffusion pdfs and cdfs now in Stan https://t.co/ugRTejVPY9
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Hosted a broker tour focusing on “water-positive” homes with rainwater harvesting and greywater systems. In the desert, water security is the new luxury amenity.
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A slew of improvements to NUTS https://t.co/v8ed3FQr9I
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“We conclude that apparent effects of growth mindset interventions on academic achievement are likely attributable to inadequate study design, reporting flaws, and bias.” https://t.co/QnWGc9pLsv
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StanCon 2026 registration and abstract submission are now open https://t.co/sIp3idBZQD
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25,000 lives saved per ship sunk, $100,000 per citation, a probability of 10^-90 of a decisive vote . . . Is there a through line from B.S. numbers in junk science to B.S. numbers coming from the government? https://t.co/Gx2C9cm3f2
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Survey Statistics: divine probabilities https://t.co/n1Ljv5l6wm
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“it has been argued that current chatbots may pose a risk of amplifying delusional thinking in vulnerable users, due to their tendency to sycophantic and overly validating behaviour” https://t.co/RWi8CkPMhq
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More on school reform, this time New Orleans https://t.co/JjVU3PF7MH
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My new class this spring: POLS 4280, Rationalizing the World: The Hopes and Disappointments of American Social Science from 1900 to the Present https://t.co/2M49ZWeQTH
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The life of the artist “is a constant–and constantly losing–battle to keep at bay...the permanent shortfall of physical and mental abilities in the context of the perfection that art strives to be, and...the inevitable arrival of silence and death.” https://t.co/HoSL54oBaB
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An idea for getting approximately calibrated 50% subjective probability ranges https://t.co/zBODXeaOBP
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When the numbers don’t look right, check them! (Mississippi education update) https://t.co/rYzixNHXDN
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From Bayesian inference to LLMs (Steve Bronder’s 2025 CppCon talk) https://t.co/eg7xEP7wZp
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Gerd Gigerenzer on the legacy of Daniel Kahneman https://t.co/ica432AqUg
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Survey Statistics: probability samples vs epsem samples vs SRS samples https://t.co/iBc52ogCu4
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Donald Trump and Jeffrey Epstein in a remake of The Big Clock https://t.co/OBlemID6Vi
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Effective sample size depends on the quantity https://t.co/3Hk2TyWydM
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