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Xander

@SmokeySnipe

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No Risk, No Story

Boston, MA
Joined December 2025
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@SmokeySnipe
Xander
5 hours
$HOOD chopping here it either wants to go back to 100 or start a move to 150+ either move is on the table here
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@SmokeySnipe
Xander
20 hours
$RDW isn’t a moonshot — it’s a reset cycle. Defense budgets rising. Drone demand accelerating. Space infrastructure becoming strategic. The easy hype is gone.
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@SmokeySnipe
Xander
20 hours
$RDW weekly chart Long correction. Volatility crushed. Descending trendline compression. This is what bases look like before fundamentals catch up. Risk defined. Upside asymmetric.
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@SmokeySnipe
Xander
20 hours
Current price ~$7–8 • Canaccord PT: $11 • Cantor PT: $9 Both assume defense-tech multiples, not space hype. Upside comes from execution — not narratives.
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@SmokeySnipe
Xander
20 hours
Expectations were cut — and that’s the point. • 2026 = transition year • Profitability improves into 2027 • EBITDA inflection expected Cantor now frames this as a “constructive base to beat & raise” story
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@SmokeySnipe
Xander
20 hours
Here’s the optionality people forget: • In-space manufacturing • Microgravity pharma R&D • Space-based data centers for AI Not priced today — but sell side explicitly calls this future royalty-style upside.
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@SmokeySnipe
Xander
20 hours
$RDW 's Roll-Out Solar Array (ROSA) is a sleeper asset. • 100% on-orbit success rate • ISS, NASA DART, commercial stations • No true peer equivalent Analysts flag ROSA as structurally advantaged IP, not a commodity
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@SmokeySnipe
Xander
20 hours
Drones now account for 50%+ of revenue with 45–50% gross margins. Key asset: Stalker UAS • 18+ hour endurance • Silent fuel-cell propulsion • Competing with much larger drones U.S. Army LRR program = ~1,400 units / $1B+ TAM
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@SmokeySnipe
Xander
20 hours
Big change highlighted by both banks: $RDW has pivoted away from commoditized space components → toward “non-commoditized” defense & national security systems Translation: higher margins, stickier revenue, fewer competitors.
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@SmokeySnipe
Xander
20 hours
$RDW isn’t a “space tourism” stock. It’s space + defense infrastructure: • Satellite power systems (ROSA) • Defense drones (Stalker, Penguin) • In-space manufacturing • National security customers Real hardware. Real contracts.
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@SmokeySnipe
Xander
20 hours
Everyone wrote off $RDW after the hype cycle. Sell side just reset expectations — and quietly rebuilt the bull case. Defense + space infrastructure + drones + in-space manufacturing. Let’s break down what actually matters 👇
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@SmokeySnipe
Xander
22 hours
$RDW is squeezing.... The massive increase in volume make this due for a massive pop any day
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@SmokeySnipe
Xander
22 hours
$RKLB 80% move off the recent lows coming into the SpaceX IPO. Wonder if this move will hold post SpaceX IPO
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@SmokeySnipe
Xander
23 hours
$TSLA flirting with breaking out to new highs. Stuck here for now....
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@SmokeySnipe
Xander
23 hours
$AMSC eyeing this gap for the earnings in February
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@SmokeySnipe
Xander
23 hours
$HIMS set up turning bearish. Would not be surprised to see this thing back in the 20s
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@SmokeySnipe
Xander
1 day
Equinox + Black coffee + flops = sick pump
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@SmokeySnipe
Xander
1 day
I have this whole week of work off Waking up and hitting the gym at 11am is peak These days are great motivation to work to have these days everyday
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@SmokeySnipe
Xander
2 days
Velocity of M2 Money Stock The velocity of money is the frequency at which one unit of currency is used to purchase domestically- produced goods and services within a given time period. In other words, it is the number of times one dollar is spent to buy goods and services per
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@SmokeySnipe
Xander
2 days
Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average The slope seems to get getting steeper....
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