Market Crash Indicator (Update 8/1/25): Hitting the 50% RSI level of the 30y:2y ratio has been the key level to reach for all major crashes dating back to 1990 ('21-'22 was the only exception). Today's major curve-steepening action is beginning to lift it again - this monthly

RT @ShitMyChartSays: Market Crash Indicator (Update 8/1/25): Hitting the 50% RSI level of the 30y:2y ratio has been the key level to reach….

8/3/25 XLF Weekly, TTII Edition (The Top is IN): As noted on the monthly chart last week, XLF looks to have completed a major cycle top with the perfect tag of the 161.8 extension off the bull move from the 2020 covid low to the 2022 high. Not shown on this chart, the monthly

RT @ShitMyChartSays: Sentiment Crash Indicator: Declining bullish sentiment of both investment managers (NAAIM) and individual investors (A….

RT @ShitMyChartSays: Market Crash Indicator: LEI vs SPX (1980-2025).We're currently living through the most disconnected period of divergen….

RT @ShitMyChartSays: SPX 100yr Crash Channel (Zoomed 1998-2025): This chart shows a granular look at the state of the perfectly parallel 10….

RT @ShitMyChartSays: SPX 100yr Crash Study (1925-2025): This chart is truly a marvel to behold, as it captures the 1929 high of the roaring….

Market Crash Indicator: LEI vs SPX (1980-2025).We're currently living through the most disconnected period of divergence in generations between these two, with the Leading Economic Index dropping for over 3.5 years while SPX has shrugged it off and risen to new ATH after new ATH.

Companion chart to this chart:

SPX 100yr Crash Channel (Zoomed 1998-2025): This chart shows a granular look at the state of the perfectly parallel 100-yr channel lines from my earlier post full-period post. The upper resistance line connects the 1929 high, the 2000 high, and this year's series of ATHs, while

SPX 100yr Crash Study (1925-2025): This chart is truly a marvel to behold, as it captures the 1929 high of the roaring '20s with the subsequent 1932 depression low all the way to this past week's ATH, and it appears that it we have just seen the multi-generational high and are

Sentiment Crash Indicator: Declining bullish sentiment of both investment managers (NAAIM) and individual investors (AAII) as SPX continues rising to new ATHs has historically coincided with major market tops which then give way to history`s largest equity declines. At this

Market Crash Indicator (Daily View): See the pinned monthly for context, but in short, the 30y:2y treasury spread has been 4 for 4 since 1990 as an SPX secular market top indicator each time the spread / term premium uninverted from a secular low. It's not so much a timing

(+118% for those lunatics who played along and raised my subsequent entries yesterday😂).

. but I'm not the only one. .

$UVXY: BTO lotto tickets on deepest OOTM 9/19/25 and 1/16/26 calls. Absolutely not advice, and do not recommend. Black Scholes shows the probability of profit at expiry is .01%. that means a 99.9% chance you're going to lose. Me? Some say I'm a dreamer. .

ETHUSD Daily: The 161.8 extension that was hit in the last couple weeks from the April 7 low keeps getting rejected with each subsequent test. It`s either a massive bull-flag or or a significant top - I don`t see any other choice here. See the weekly chart for the massive wedge