The govt is talking to welfare rebels about another major concession ahead of the vote this evening to try to avoid a defeat @ITVNewsPolitics.

This is even more of a mess for the government than first thought. A costly u turn that might yet not get them off the hook.

She says the government rowed back on what had been negotiated and in the current form she will not be supporting the bill.

NEW: Debbie Abrahams one of 3 MPs to negotiate the welfare concessions with No 10 says they do not go far enough @ITVNewsPolitics.

Kemi Badenoch offers PM conditional Tory support on welfare reform with HUGE strings attached: reduce welfare budget, get people into work and no tax rises.

Key now will the Tories vote with the govt and offer Starmer an uncomfortable way out. Has just been discussed in shadow cabinet and they will reveal all later today.

That despite no 10 deploying ‘serious pressure’ on those who have signed up that this will lead to a confidence vote and a general election.

Numbers signing the amendment opposing the govt’s welfare reforms growing - up to 119 now @ITVNewsPolitics.

I said earlier 13/15 Labour Select Committee chairs had signed it’s actually 10/15. Meg Hillier and Debbie Abrahams among them. I should have full list of backers after 10.

The amendment opposing the Govt’s Welfare Bill has been tabled. I understand 80 MPs have signed and that doesn’t include any of the Socialist Campaign Group who are also opposed. So unless they come up with concessions the Govt would be heading for defeat next wk @itvnews.

and Disability’s review into the assessment for Personal Independence Payment and Sir Charlie Mayfield’s independent review into the role of employers and government in boosting the employment of disabled people and people with long-term health conditions’.

into poverty as a result of these provisions, including 50,000 children; because the Government has not published an assessment of the impact of these reforms on health or care needs; because the Government is still awaiting the findings of the Minister for Social Security 4/5.

of the employment impact of these reforms until the autumn of 2025; because the majority of the additional employment support funding will not be in place until the end of the decade; because the Government’s own impact assessment estimates that 250,000 people will be pushed 3/5.

The Universal Credit and Personal Independent Payment’ Bill because its provisions have not been subject to a formal consultation with disabled people, or co-produced with them, or their carers; because the Office for Budget Responsibility is not due to publish its analysis 2/3.

wording of the amendment ‘That this House, whilst noting the need for the reform of the social security system, and agreeing with the Government’s principles for providing support to people into work and protecting people who cannot work, declines to give a Second Reading to 1/3.

I understand a reasoned amendment to the welfare reform bill is being tabled this evening with the backing of 13 labour select Ctte chairs.

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