Patrick Fox
@RealCynicalFox
Followers
92K
Following
37K
Media
745
Statuses
13K
USAF Vet. University College London Alumnus. @UCL Foreign Policy / Military Analyst. All opinions expressed are my own.
Joined June 2012
If you eliminated every nuclear weapon on planet earth tomorrow, the world would see the return of conventional wars on a level it has not known since 1945. The fear of nuclear weapons has ushered in a previously unheard of period of relative peace between the great powers.
Nearly 80 years have passed since Nagasaki was incinerated by an atomic weapon. It is not enough to remember what happened. We must never allow such devastation again. The only way to eliminate the nuclear risk is to eliminate nuclear weapons.
441
2K
18K
Israel could secure a major propaganda victory by offering to transport as many Palestinian civilians to Turkey or Iran as either country would allow, then watch both nations backtrack their rhetoric and make excuses for why it was impossible.
685
1K
11K
Israel’s decision to continue its war until Hamas is exterminated is the correct one. No nation could live peacefully, side by side, with this:.
The Spokesman for Hamas’s Al-Qassam Brigades, Abu Obaida during a Speech on Friday called for Attacks on Israel similar to October 7th Massacre to Escalate during the Month of Ramadan.
514
2K
10K
I swear the B-52 is the one airframe in USAF inventory that the "It can't survive in a peer threat environment, time to retire it!" folks have no idea even exists.
We are excited to have held a successful Critical Design Review for the F130 engine, another step towards delivering for the United States Air Force B-52J. Next up: Altitude testing at @AEDCnews ✈️
256
345
10K
I have not joined in the chronicling of individual casualties in the Russo-Ukrainian war save for those senior officers whose fate may have an effect on the war overall. This is in large part because I do not believe in intruding on or sensationalizing the loss of a comrade in
142
773
8K
An offensively bad WW2 hot take from Owen Jones. Yes, I'm just as shocked as the rest of you (insert sarcasm font), but it serves as a teachable moment. During WW2 the US provided the USSR lend lease aid totaling $11.3B. It included 400,000 jeeps & trucks, 14,000 airplanes,
532
1K
7K
First thoughts on the ongoing Hamas attack against Israel:. 1. Massive Israeli intelligence failure. The last time Israel was blind sided this badly was the '73 war. Though we should note Israel came out on top in that conflict 50 years ago. 2. The scope of this infiltration.
323
1K
7K
The IDF has handled this very intelligently. When the full extent of the Holocaust was discovered by advancing allied troops, General Eisenhower famously ordered the Press be shown the entirety of what had transpired. He understood it had to be documented, otherwise no one.
"It's not a battlefield. It's a massacre." .Here, MG Itai Veruv is preparing journalists to enter Kfar Aza where atrocities have taken place at the hands of Hamas terrorists.
127
1K
7K
The Izium Pocket 🧵:.With the caveat that this front is developing so fast there may not be an Izium pocket long, some initial thoughts on the development and aftermath of the current situation. 1/.
68
897
6K
“Have you ever wondered what happened to the 56 men who signed the Declaration of Independence? . Five signers were captured by the British as traitors, and tortured before they died. Twelve had their homes ransacked and burned. Two lost their sons in the revolutionary army,
255
2K
6K
Once Israeli retaliatory strikes begin to gain momentum - expect to see calls for an end to the violence from various governments, IGOs, and NGOs.
193
685
6K
I expect we’ll eventually get a dissertation or book length treatment on the evolution of propaganda in modern warfare with respect to the Russo-Ukrainian War. Guys like Discount Lord Haw-Haw here are a case in point:
230
289
6K
Achtung Panzer!, Kharkiv Front 🧵 .This is what successful armored warfare looks like. There are many aspects to what appears to have made this operation work & I'd like to briefly go over a few of them. We'll start from the top & work our way down. 1/.
69
960
5K
Watching the Presidents press conference in real time, responding to the special prosecutor’s report alleging cognitive decline. This was the worst possible moment to confuse Egypt with Mexico while answering a question on Gaza.
209
641
6K
I'm seeing unconfirmed reports that Russian units are retreating from Svyatohirs'k and Lyman. If accurate, Russian forces between Lyman and Kupyansk are effectively collapsing in real time.
56
434
5K
As Israeli casualties continue to increase, the IDF mobilizes its personnel, and the calls for restraint and diplomacy begin to pick up steam - usually coupled with the shrill demands to behave "like a democracy!" - I think some context is helpful. The US lost just under 3,000.
326
602
5K
#IsraelAtWar Silver Lining.Hamas jumped the shark by widely spreading the documentation of their initial atrocities in this attack. They are self-righteously evil to such a degree that they were compelled to celebrate what they'd accomplished. Unfortunately for them this.
144
901
5K
Kherson Pocket🧵:.If this is what it looks like & RU forces are preparing to attempt a retreat over the Dnieper, then the UAF is being given a priceless opportunity. Unless they are logistically incapable, or lack sufficient force, they should crush the RuAF against the river. 1/.
123
498
4K
Specifically note the two children in this crowd, the obvious armed one and the second in the background on the left. This is a deliberate tactic to include non-combatants in case they are struck by the Israelis. After which Palestinians can claim indiscriminate bombing. Edit:.
Jenin, West Bank: Palestinians celebrate following the invasion of southern Israel by Hamas-led armed groups.
139
798
5K
If a nation launched 300+ missiles and drones against the US, we wouldn’t care how many were shot down and how many impacted in our country. We’d see it as a declaration of war and we’d respond militarily.
696
575
5K
There is significant debate on who started WWII and when. Most agree it was Germany in 1939. Some make a good case that it was Japan in 1937. There are even those who cite Italy in 1935. This is just historical illiteracy masquerading as opinion:
232
263
4K
Reporter: “Are the air strikes in Yemen working?”. Biden: “Well, when you say ‘working’ are they stopping the Houthis? No. Are they going to continue? Yes,”. I’ve never seen a Presidents’ foreign policy failings so perfectly captured in a single answer before.
174
700
4K
Seeing persistent reports coming out of Ukrainian sources that mass surrenders around Kherson are being negotiated. I have no official confirmation of this.
61
283
4K
Fair warning; this one is brutal. The EOD folks can tear the technical side of this apart in detail, but what immediately struck me was the total lack of effort by the unwounded survivor to treat the casualties.
377
215
4K
#OTD 79 years ago the Warsaw Uprising begins in 1944. Polish Home Army units rise up and storm Nazi positions in and around Warsaw, intending to hold the city until they can be relieved by the advancing Soviet Army. Unfortunately the Soviets halt and allow the Polish units,
117
637
4K
I usually make an effort to be somewhat restrained in my criticisms, that will not be the case here. This was an egregious affront to competent historical research. Aside from the selective use of facts, the outright gaslighting, the portrayal of Churchill as a warmonger for.
Darryl Cooper may be the best and most honest popular historian in the United States. His latest project is the most forbidden of all: trying to understand World War Two. (1:20) History of the Israel-Palestine Conflict.(12:39) The Jonestown Cult.(32:10) World War Two.(45:04) How
255
608
4K
A few thoughts on the Carlson-Putin interview:. 1. This used to be normal for journalists. Mike Wallace interviewed Noriega and Khomeini, and Barbara Walters interviewed Gadaffi and Castro. They've interviewed terrorists, dictators, and serial killers. In the grand scheme of.
311
523
4K
Saudi Arabia has announced it will suspend normalization with Israel. This strategic Iranian victory was the point of the attack . It likely reduces the chances of full Hezbollah involvement. No point risking their second proxy now that the goal has been achieved.
145
721
4K
The number of people blithely assuming the US military would assassinate American politicians if ordered to do so is something I find genuinely offensive. It’s a personal insult to the honor every service member & veteran, and betrays a deep disdain for the military on behalf of.
990
413
4K
Possibly Unpopular Opinion:.I fully appreciate that the "wartime leader attire" of dressing down has become a hallmark for Zelensky. When you show up to the White House, put on a suit & tie.
3K
178
4K
Historically, Russian autocrats do not fare well in the aftermath of major Russian military disasters. <End>.
46
260
3K
An American citizen has been executed by a designated foreign terrorist organization during ceasefire negotiations. In my view, the time for speaking has now passed.
182
468
4K
There needs to be a hard conversation within NATO on whether Turkey should be allowed to remain a member. This is just the latest example of why that debate needs to be had.
● JUST IN | During a rally in support of Palestine, Turkish President Erdoğan mentioned, 'We can come at any night unexpectedly,' and hundreds of thousands of Turkish citizens chanted, 'Turkish military to Gaza' in response
409
479
3K
At every opportunity the Palestinian people at large have shown the world that there is widespread popular support among their population for the actions of Oct. 7. Until that changes, what we saw last month will happen again. It's simply a matter of time.
Palestinian civilians chase and jeer at the ambulances driving the Israeli women and children hostages out of Gaza.
144
683
4K
It's almost physically painful for me to say this; John Bolton is right this time. We either confront Iran now or manage the fallout later when they achieve nuclear breakout and our options against them are far more limited.
2K
469
3K
The current Israeli mood (as much as I can determine it) could best be analogized for Americans to that in the US post-9/11. Many think they're up against Holocaust 2.0, they're in the process of fighting it out with terrorists while they bury their dead. Calls for restraint.
220
422
3K
There comes a point where the level of atrocity being committed by the enemy erodes any sense of chivalry or desire to observe the niceties of the rules of war, even in those inclined towards merciful treatment of their foes. Americans famously executed SS guards at Dachau.
216
488
3K
The notion that the Ukrainians can successfully prosecute this war without striking some targets in Russia is genuinely absurd.
180
300
3K
If you've been wondering if you're watching the post Cold War order the US built and presided over unravel before your eyes - you are. America will have to fight to keep it. Militarily, economically, industrially, institutionally, culturally, socially - it is a battle on.
193
383
3K
Oil infrastructure is exactly the type of vulnerable industrial target the Ukrainians should be destroying whenever possible.
Members of U.S. National Security Council and the White House have reportedly started to become Increasingly Frustrated by “Unauthorized Brazen Actions” taken by Ukraine against Russia, including their recent Campaign of Long-Range Drone Strikes having Targeted at least 25 Oil
113
212
3K
The notion that the US/NATO is responsible for Russian aggression because we offered military protection to former subject nations who wished to remain free from Russia, is nonsense. Russia has been an expansionist power for centuries. The US/NATO are the reason countries like.
When l spoke to John Mearsheimer. Me: What will it take to change the narrative in US and improve relations with Russia? . Mearsheimer:
450
337
3K
The F-35 is a failed platform. The US Air Force should immediately pivot to the Sienar Fleet Systems TIE/D "Defender."
The F-35 is a failed platform. The US Air Force should immediately pivot to the S-3B Viking.
54
212
3K
This remains one of the most militarily incoherent stances of the Biden Admin. Advocating military & industrial targets in Russia should be immune from Ukrainian attack, is advocating for Ukraine to lose the war.
231
464
3K
There are bad ideas, dangerously bad ideas, and then there are catastrophes in the making like this:.
BREAKING - Biden to order US military to establish port in Gaza for aid: US official
165
284
3K
4. If another "back-to-the-river" massacre of Russian units can be orchestrated at Kherson, it will do incalculable damage to the Russian army in terms of morale, manpower, and materiel. This must be the goal. Killing Russians, in large numbers, while minimizing risk.
21
115
2K
The US giving up the Panama Canal was an imbecilic unforced error by one of the worst foreign policy presidents of modern times. Reasserting control of it would be squarely in US national interests. Not only to secure it for friendly use, but to deny it to our adversaries if.
The Panama Canal is considered a VITAL National Asset for the United States, due to its critical role to America’s Economy and National Security. A secure Panama Canal is crucial for U.S. Commerce, and rapid deployment of the Navy, from the Atlantic to the Pacific, and.
137
372
3K
For Americans who don't think a potential war between Venezuela and Guyana is any of our business, and we'll even set aside the long term strategic implications for the purposes of this discussion, what do you imagine war in South America does for illegal immigration into the US?.
152
309
2K
Rep. Greene, destroying conventional Russian military capability for a decade or more, w/o risking US personnel in the process, is certainly in US interests. This is an opportunity we cannot afford to pass up. Should we ignore it, the cost later will dwarf current aid spending.
This is exactly what Putin wants. If we’d had Republicans like this in the 1980s, we would have lost the Cold War.
138
242
2K
The entire assessment from @TheStudyofWar is well worth the read, but I want to highlight this point in particular. If US intel has this right and 87% of the pre-war active duty ground forces are gone, that means the pre-war Russian army has effectively ceased to exist. That's
US intelligence assessed that the war in Ukraine has devastated the pre-war Russian military, although Russia has partially offset these losses and continues to prepare for a long war in Ukraine. 🧵(1/5)
174
556
2K
The Collapse 🧵:.Conventional warfare is rare in the modern era, even rarer is when a portion of one army effectively collapses. That is currently the situation facing Russian forces between Kupyansk & Lyman. The situation is highly fluid & only those UAF personnel at the .1/.
31
384
2K
There is no precedent I'm aware of for an army allowing this many third party civilians access to an active warzone in order to resupply a hostile population.
BREAKING: 322 aid trucks entered Gaza today. It is the highest daily number of aid trucks that entered the enclave since October 7, Israeli officials tell me.
369
442
2K
Once again, the systemic leaking of US intentions and now movements prior to the expected retaliation strikes represents a deliberate effort to telegraph the US response. This is not only foolish and counterproductive, but invites further attacks.
According to U.S. Defense Officials, Several B-1B “Lancer” Heavy Bombers are currently Enroute toward the Middle East on a Combat Strike Mission alongside KC-135 Aerial-Refueling Tankers from RAF Lakenheath in the U.K, who will Accompany the Bombers for their Transit towards U.S.
165
384
2K
I never thought we'd get here, but some Europeans may (grudgingly in many cases) have finally seen the light on mass, unassimilated, immigration after the latest wave of pro-Hamas rallies and anti-semetic violence across Europe. Olaf Scholz has publicly stated the need for.
169
521
2K
US Ambassador to the UN @USAmbUN has stated that any attack by the Wagner Group on NATO will be treated as an attack by the Russian Federation on NATO. This is absolutely the correct response and that line needs to be spelled out explicitly for Moscow.
72
446
2K
The western democracies are entirely too long on moral outrage and entirely too short on moral courage.
49
372
2K
7. Should both the Kherson & Izium sectors fall & fall hard, Russian casualties will be extreme. This will have ramifications inside Russia. If Putin's response is to demand mobilization & fresh offensives, his own position in the power structure will become far less secure.
11
148
2K
5. If the UAF can push the Russians over both the Oskol & the Dnieper rivers, it will be in an excellent position to hold for the winter while it consolidates, trains, reequips, and refits its forces. Spring 2023 will not be pleasant for the Russian army in such a scenario.
8
116
2K
2. The retreat must be harried. When an army breaks as the Russian army currently is, it becomes an opportunity to generate maximum casualties & maximum panic. Defeated armies tend to suffer the most casualties once they begin to rout, it is then they can be comprehensively.
9
99
2K
The USAF would wipe the floor with the Russian Air Force. It might get ugly, but the result of that contest isn’t a question. The problem is what comes next, which is Russia escalates to its strategic deterrent once its conventional forces have been badly damaged/destroyed.
A direct confrontation between NATO & Russian forces would ensue. I'm not sure NATO has the ability to establish and maintain a no fly zone. The US Air Force hasn't operated in contested airspace since Vietnam.
227
123
2K
Outside my usual lane here:.Is there a reason California doesn’t build desalinization plants to alleviate its water shortage issues?. I genuinely don’t know & would appreciate any insight. It would seem like a sound solution.
1K
126
2K
I cannot fathom what good Zelensky thinks a statement like this will do. Accusing Poland & Slovakia (and others) of being proxies or stalking horses for Moscow b/c of a dispute over grain exports is incredibly insulting to two nations who've been stalwart supporters.
220
258
2K
This is your periodic reminder that TikTok should be banned in the US as a foreign intelligence and propaganda tool.
67
283
2K
destroyed. The UAF must (as it is able) stay on their flanks & rear and continue to shell them. Air strikes on retreating columns would also be ideal, circumstances permitting. This is the time to break them, while keeping yourself from overextending. It will be a balancing act.
6
81
2K
This is the worst mindset to have. When attacked, the US response should be disproportionate, overwhelming, and in service to our strategic interests whenever possible. A critical component of deterrence is instilling fear in your enemies. This won't accomplish that.
Today, at @POTUS’ direction, U.S. military forces conducted necessary & proportionate strikes on 3 facilities used by Kataib Hezbollah & affiliated groups in Iraq. These precision strikes are a response to a series of attacks against U.S. personnel in Iraq & Syria by.
159
360
2K
In my view, SrA Hebert should be court martialed under Article 134 and separated from the Air Force. Wholly unacceptable conduct.
Today active-duty Air Force Senior Airman Larry Hebert will begin a hunger strike to highlight the plight of the starving children of Gaza.
174
135
2K
6. Keep an eye on the level of equipment captured in the current offensives. It will indicate both the level of panic experienced by Russian troops, and provide a critical source of resupply for non-western systems still in use.
7
95
2K
1. Welcome to kesselschlacht, or in English, the battle of encirclement. UAF appears to be conducting a double (north-south) envelopment of Russian formations in/around & north of Izium. Whether this pocket becomes closed, or remains somewhat open - the Russian situation is dire.
8
101
2K
In the back of every good analyst's mind for 7 months has been at least one question: "What will Ukraine look like on offense?". We're finding out. They're giving us all a hell of a show on their 1st time out. 16/16.
9
145
2K
This falls under “Be careful what you wish for.” . Last time Egypt & Syria went up against the IDF the Soviets had to threaten direct intervention to prevent the IDF marching on Damascus, the Egyptian 2nd & 3rd Armies were badly mauled, & the Suez Canal overrun by the Israelis.
207
181
2K
& gamble everything he has on Ukraine. It is unlikely the bulk of these other individuals will make the same choice. If they become convinced Putin is no longer a rational actor, the possibility of something drastic happening at a high level within Moscow becomes more likely.
15
99
2K
Claiming the man who almost single handedly kept Europe in the fight against the Nazis, in the face of comprehensive defeat on the continent, is the “chief villain” of WW2, is to utter a statement so moronic that it calls into question both your intellect & motives. #Churchill.
112
235
2K
stabilize the sector of front, they have no choice. Once that move begins in earnest, the UAF will be granted another window to hit the Russians hard in Kherson. The Russians are short on manpower, keeping them off balance & reactive will pay dividends.
7
73
2K
AP needs better experts. The US bombing campaign against Japan killed between 250,000 and 900,000 people, with the March 1945 firebombing of Tokyo accounting for between 80,000 and 130,000 deaths alone.
Israel's military campaign in Gaza seen as among the most destructive in history, experts say
99
258
2K
Addition: This is almost moving faster than I can write it. There are now (thank you to those who directed me to them) reports that UAF units are hitting Izium from the south with heavy fighting within the city limits. The entire tenor of the war in the east has changed.
29
118
2K
At some point, a broken & ravaged Russian army becomes a threat to undermine the power structure that supports not only Putin, but the three centers of power in the Russian system: the Oligarchs, the Generals, & the intel/security services. Putin may be willing to throw the dice.
7
115
2K
I see a great deal of merit in the idea the IDF should simply flood the Hamas tunnel network in Gaza with as much seawater as it can hold.
180
140
2K
3. Russian command & control is, for the moment, absent in any observable sense from the Russian units heavily engaged or retreating. Nor do the Russians appear to possess the combat power to halt UAF advances at present. They will begin pulling troops from the south to.
3
83
2K
I rarely comment on the Snowden situation, but in this case I think there's an observation worth making. Knowing how Putin's Russia functions, privileges are transactional. The question I always ask is what Snowden gave the Russian Govt in exchange for his current treatment.
208
199
2K
The captured equipment tally in the Kharkiv assault continues to grow. This may be the only time in recent memory a large conventional army could resupply itself in the field from captured stocks of equipment of all kinds, composed of platforms already in use by their own forces.
27
178
2K
US needs to get its messaging in order. Either we support Israel’s right to defend itself per @POTUS , or we’re pressuring for a ceasefire per @SecBlinken . It can’t be both, b/c Israel has been crystal clear it’s planning to retaliate.
155
269
2K
Poland is set to reach 4.7% of GDP spent on defense in 2025 according to its current draft budget proposal. This is what a responsible European NATO member looks like.
69
295
2K
How do we deal with drone swarms? One the most effective ways (IMO) isn’t going to be fancy. Put up a wall of lead from multiple radar guided high cyclic rate SHORAD guns with detonating submunitions. History may not repeat, but it does rhyme.
Combat footage of USS Washington (BB 56) defending the fleet carriers against an IJN air attack off Saipan, June 15, 1944. AA suite in video.[20] 10x2 127mm/38 DP Guns.[60] 15x4 40mm/56 Bofors.[67] 63x1 || 1x4 20mm/70 Oerlikons.[147] Total AA Barrels. 428-NPC-04856
123
168
2K
For anyone shocked by this, I suggest you go look up Operation: Vengeance. 18 April 1943. Specific targeting of senior uniformed military personnel during a time of war is not assassination.
Ukraine is now assassinating Russian nuclear generals on the streets of Moscow and admitting it. Two options: The Biden admin knew and sanctioned it OR they didn't know what their proxy is doing. Both are terrifying
89
195
2K
The UAF have pulled off a remarkable strategic deception. By initiating, even telegraphing, an offensive in OpComSouth as their main effort they have successfully induced the Russian command to transfer a considerable number of troops south. Including some higher quality .2/.
6
95
2K
Bingo. The West hasn't had to fight a hot war for survival in 80 years and in the interim while it fought wars of choice against 3rd rate opponents, elements in the West developed some very odd ideas about how wars "must" be conducted.
94
282
2K
In the case of a closed pocket the task will be to reduce the formations inside while isolating it from relief attempts. In an open scenario, the object will be to close the trap, or harry fleeing units to the best of the UAFs ability.
1
51
2K
I was reminded of the Battle of Khasham today by @BA_Friedman. Very few people were aware of it when it happened, and given current events I thought I'd post this write up. Punchline: US destroys Wagner Group Battalion in Syria circa 2018.
52
364
2K
I have some thoughts on this. They are all both highly descriptive and utterly profane. @TheEconomist
145
133
2K
I can't believe I need to say this after 20+ years of the GWOT, but. "The jihadists promised they'd be moderate this time, so we have to throw money at them for regional security!" is a certifiably insane foreign policy proposal.
90
305
2K
I’ll say it again:.Under NO circumstances should Turkey be allowed access to the F-35 program. This is the nation openly siding with terrorists against Israel and in whose streets US military personnel face abduction attempts in broad daylight. It is an unreliable ally at best.
Interesting solution for Turkish F-35/S400 dilemma. Turkey can reenter F-35 program if it turns over S400 control to US ‘in Turkey.’ . Putin is furious.
91
283
2K
An exemplary exhibition of cowardice, dishonesty, and stupidity. This kind of mindset has been Biden Admin SOP and it’s why so much of the planet is literally on fire right now.
🇺🇸🇺🇦 Q: Why are long-range strikes on Ukraine still viewed as escalatory?. A: Long range strikes don't help Ukraine liberate their territory, "and of course we're worried about escalation.". An absolutely clownish response. 🤡🤡🤡
91
314
2K
This type of aggression against US assets used to be rare. Because America's enemies were terrified of what they knew the US response would be. Under increasingly weak and feckless US leadership, the consequences have all but disappeared, and so America is attacked regularly.
U.S. Officials have now Confirmed that Footage from yesterday did in fact show the Downing of a MQ-9 “Reaper” Surveillance Drone of the U.S. Air Force, by what is believed to have been a Houthi Surface-to-Air Missile System in the Saada Governorate of Northwestern Yemen, causing
207
304
2K
The UAF have now effectively launched two assaults in two seperate operational areas. A fixing attack at Kherson that the Russians cannot ignore, & an armored/mech deep penetration strike into the rear of Russian forces in the east. This will force Russian commanders to make .4/.
5
76
2K
formations. This seems to have denuded the Russians opposite OpComEast of ready reserves & robust combat units in general. Furthermore the UAF was able to mass combat power in excess of what many analysts (including myself, I must admit) thought was possible. 3/.
3
65
2K
The amount of PRC money and influence being expended to save TikTok puts the necessity of banning it beyond any doubt.
57
265
2K
#Election2024 .First thoughts on the external implications of tonight:. (Primarily Western) Europe just had a collective panic attack. Of all the current major American political figures, Pres. Trump is the one most likely to force a reckoning on the current (he would argue;.
64
263
2K
Hamas has begun releasing a handful of hostages. In my view, this is strategic. Hamas understands at this point that their exuberance at the massacre of Israeli civilians, and wide dissemination of the evidence thereof, is hamstringing the post-terror attack propaganda.
77
288
2K
by UAF spearhead units. Pocketed &isolated, these Russians are/will likely be surrounded & compelled to surrender in short order. The UAF has placed primacy on speed & violence of action so as not to slow down their assault units & allow the Russians time to recover. 9/.
7
77
2K