Robert A. Pape
@ProfessorPape
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Professor of Political Science, University of Chicago, specializing in security affairs. Founding Director, Chicago Project on Security & Threats (CPOST).
Chicago
Joined September 2021
The Big Unknown about the US strike on Fordo: Pentagon doesn't know how much damage done because they don't know exactly how the underground complex is configured. See excellent new NYT image:
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The best analogy for Ukraine deal is not Austria, Korea, or Findland. It is Germany after WWII. With Russia’s long run problems, this is in Ukraine’s national interest.
google.com
Found on Google from britannica.com
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Trump is bringing real pressure on Putin and Zelensky to cut a deal. First real chance for a deal in 3 years. Ball is now in Putin’s court.
google.com
Found on Google from english.nv.ua
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Here's the map of US troops near Ukraine Feb 2022. Moving 30K to eastern Ukraine for a new Iron Curtain would stablize a terroritial deal with Russia for years. Big Question: Will Putin, or even Trump, accept this?
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Why is Trump feeding Ukraine to the Russian Bear, alienating European allies, imposing tariffs that weaken American competitiveness? MAGA politics all the way down, as I explain on June 27 in Hong Kong:
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Trump is feeding Ukraine to the Russian devil
google.com
Found on Google from cartoonmovement.com
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Putin has always said his goal was to protect the Russia speakers in Ukraine. Notice this includes Kiev and looks like Russia's Feb 2022 offensive to control the country:
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Is Trump interested in "law and order"? See the Surprisingly Violent “Non-Violent” Offenders in the Capitol Hill Siege who Trump Pardoned:
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Meet the violent offenders against police that Trump pardoned:
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NYT has my extensive commentary on how Trump is siding with law and order so long as it supports his political agenda.
nytimes.com
President Trump said he needed to send in the Guard to secure the nation’s capital. But on Jan. 6, 2021 — the most lawless day in recent Washington history — he had a very different reaction.
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Recent survey shows 79% of Israelis are “not troubled” about starvation of Palestinians. It’s not just Netanyahu.
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(2 of 2) I had an lengthy discussion on why political violence is rising in America with CNN's Michael Smerconish. Here is my commentary: The rise in Political Violence with Robert Pape Professor of Political Science, University of Chicago. Robert Pape:
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(1 of 2) I had an lengthy discussion on why political violence is rising in America with CNN's Michael Smerconish. Here is his excellent opening commentary: Smerconish: Civility in Crisis – Running for office shouldn’t require a flak jacket. Commentary:.
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We living thru history. Israel’s campaign in Gaza is the most lethal case of a Western democracy using the punishment of civilians as a tactic of war. Israel must reverse course or face the world's growing wrath.
foreignaffairs.com
Why punishing civilians has not yielded strategic success.
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As mentioned in my past post, the Texas Redistricting controversy is fast morphing in a national issue. America, s new era of Violent Populism will have many surprises.
nytimes.com
As a Texas senator summoned the F.B.I. to round up Democrats, the redistricting war that began in Texas was spreading, with California aiming at five Republican House seats.
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In the midst of mounting tensions across the United States, Texas lawmakers have sought sanctuary in Illinois. Divisions in the US continue to escalate from words to actions. Check out my recent interview with ABC News to gain more insights: [ABC News Interview.
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Excellent graphic on why starvation is rising in Gaza. Only 25% of needed food arrived March to June.
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Informed projections for starvation in Gaza truly stunning. Moral consequences permanent, strategic benefits negligible and loss of Western support a reality. Israel should reverse course. The mathematics of starvation: Gaza | The Guardian
theguardian.com
Israel controls the flow of food into Gaza. It has calculated how many calories Palestinians need to stay alive. Its data shows only a fraction has been allowed in
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What are the lasting consequences of bombing Iran? Regime change? More War? Enduring cease-fire? I was part of deep conversation with highly knowledgeable experts hosted by the Chicago Council on Global Affairs. To learn more, watch here:
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