Robert A. Pape
@ProfessorPape
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Professor of Political Science, University of Chicago, specializing in security affairs. Founding Director, Chicago Project on Security & Threats (CPOST).
Chicago
Joined September 2021
Powerful findings in our new representative survey: Chicagoan reject the deployment of the National Guard by 3 to 1, 61% to 21%. Here is the full topline:
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Trump has stopped Israel’s plan to enthnically cleanse Gaza, but the real test will come after the hostages are released.
nytimes.com
While he is trying to sell it as a strategic win, the peace deal contradicts many of his coalition’s goals.
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Here is a paywall free link to my new Foreign Affairs article, "America's New Age of Political Violence: What Happens when the Threat comes from Both the Left and Right":
foreignaffairs.com
What happens when the threat comes from both left and right.
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Why is Trump pressuring Israel to stop the ethnic cleansing in Gaza, even as it causes fissures inside Netanyahu's government? This is actually in Israel's long term security interests, as explained in my assessment of the strategic costs of immoral action.
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The major thing Trump is doing is shutting down the killing in Gaza. Sending even 200 hundred US troops in Gaza would significantly reinforce this. This is a major achievement, separately from how things unfold in the months ahead.
washingtonpost.com
What happens in the coming weeks will be much more defining of Trump’s legacy than the victory lap he’ll take this weekend.
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Yesterday, I discussed with WBEZ’s Sasha Ann Simon the concerning posts on the DHS X account that suggest Chicago protesters intend to harm ICE. These statements are adding fuel to an already tense situation. For more insights, you can listen to our conversation here:
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Tonight, I was on Fox’s Chicago Report discussing how today’s court ruling halting National Guard will impact ICE operations and political violence in Chicago
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Protest erupts after woman shot by ICE agent during confrontation in Bri... https://t.co/p4RtxKGW0Y via @YouTube
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The Trump Military Doctrine is coming into focus: Air power vs enemies abroad, ground power vs enemies at home.
nytimes.com
On an almost daily basis, thousands of words pour forth from the president’s mouth. Sometimes, he tucks in a wildly revealing insight about the direction he is taking the country.
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Research shows conspiracy theories are associated with increasing support for political violence. They are rising on both Left and the Right.
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Listen starting at min 17 For first time in decades, voting public thinks something other than the economy is most important. That issue is political division and political violence. The usual rules of politics are changing in era of violent populism.
podcasts.apple.com
Podcast Episode · The Daily · 09/30/2025 · Subscribers Only · 29m
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Why is American support for Israel collapsing? Read my Foreign Affairs article "Unparalleled Devastation in Gaza" to find out
foreignaffairs.com
Why punishing civilians has not yielded strategic success.
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New CNN poll shows growing self-declared “independents” and smaller R & D than ever. Politics in age of violent populism is getting nasty and many Americans want better than R and D leaders offer.
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With respect, Vice President Vance is not correct. From political assassinations, assassination attempts to violent protests, there is overwhelming evidence that — from 2019 to today — political violence is coming almost equally from both Right and Left.
google.com
Found on Google from abcnews.go.com
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Shooting at ICE “Anti-ICE” on bullet. Strong evidence this act is political violence from the Left
nytimes.com
Investigators said anti-ICE language was found on ammunition left behind by the gunman, who died of a self-inflicted gunshot wound. An official familiar with the matter identified the attacker as a...
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The big question: Does this permit lethal action by the DHS, FBI or US military on people or entities targets in the United States classified as “Antifa” operatives and operations?
whitehouse.gov
Section 1. Antifa as a Terrorist Threat. Antifa is a militarist, anarchist enterprise that explicitly calls for the overthrow of the United States
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Erika Kirk’s forgiveness of the shooter is the most positive step for the future of the country since Charlie Kirk’s assassination. Powerful message that Americans can live together peacefully even now.
google.com
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Powerful and meaningful condemnation of political violence… Van Jones says Charlie Kirk reached out to him the day before he died to... https://t.co/Jajffhr08x via @YouTube
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America’s growing division over Kirk assassination is not only on social media. Kirk’s high school: pro-Kirk petition had about 3,600 signatures and its opposition had 2,600
chicagotribune.com
A debate reflective of the country’s political divide is unfolding at Wheeling High School, where groups are clashing over efforts to honor alumnus Charlie Kirk.
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