Prediction News
@PredictionNews_
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Covering prediction markets, trends & insights on the biggest events in politics, finance, sports & entertainment.
Joined August 2024
Add another one to the list. Today, Kraken announced its acquisition of Small Exchange, which is already approved as a CFTC-licensed Designated Contract Market (DCM). More on the news and Kraken's prediction market ambitions ⬇️
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Robinhood is adding +100+ new markets to its prediction market hub in the coming weeks. "First up: Politics Prediction Markets. Trade your predictions for key 2025 political events like tariffs, Fed policy, spending cuts, and more," Robinhood announced Friday. Here are a
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Polymarket forecasts a 72% chance that Adams will endorse Cuomo. Does the market have this one right?
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Mamdani may be running away with the NYC mayor race, but there's still plenty of trading to be had. Last night's debate mention market churned $1.2M in volume on @Kalshi, making it one of the most popular mention markets in the platform's history. Meanwhile, traders turn to
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Mamdani may be running away with the NYC mayor race, but there's still plenty of trading to be had. Last night's debate mention market churned $1.2M in volume on @Kalshi, making it one of the most popular mention markets in the platform's history. Meanwhile, traders turn to
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What other conditional markets can you think of that would help inform the electorate?
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What will be the average scale score for economically disadvantaged eighth-grade students on the 2029 NYS Math test if X candidate is the next mayor?
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• What will be the average nightly population in the NYC Department of Homeless Services shelter system in 2027 if X candidate is the next mayor?
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• What will be the average number of major felony crimes reported in the NYC subway system per day in 2027 if X candidate is the next mayor?
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• What will be the citywide homicide rate per 100,000 people for the fiscal year 2027 if X candidate is the next mayor?
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• What will be the median monthly rent for a one-bedroom apartment in Brooklyn in December 2027 if X candidate is the next mayor?
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Should we have conditional markets for the NYC mayor candidates to help inform voters on who will govern best? Here are 5 ideas for NYC mayoral conditional markets (reply with your own!) 🧵
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Tonight's NYC debate mention market just eclipsed the $400K mark 📈
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30 minutes into the NYC mayoral debate — will Mamdani's price be higher or lower than 87¢ when the debate ends?
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Watch the NYC mayoral debate here (you already know where to trade): https://t.co/fQH29XAXsd
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15 minutes into the NYC mayoral debate and a lot of words have already hit.
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There was about $300K in trading volume when the debate kicked off at 7 ET
Kalshi has a mention market for tomorrow's NYC mayoral debate 👀
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