Iran’s war risk is turning into a bullish driver for $OIL, and a move above $100 quite reasonable. The Strait of Hormuz moves a 20% of the world’s oil, so every drone, missile, or tanker scare there slows flows and tightens supply. War‑risk insurance is exploding, freight gets

$MSTR holds 738,731 $BTC and announces new purchases every Monday. Are you seriously suggesting you don’t want a free 2% ROI in just one week for doing absolutely nothing?

Kevin Warsh Yes is trading at 94.2¢ on Polymarket, essentially pennies on the dollar for a guaranteed ~6% return

We have called out the $OIL surge above $100 yesterday, and since then: $150: 13% → 28% $120: 41% → 71% $110: 55% → 88% $100: 79% → 95.7%

Whale growth on @BNBCHAIN prediction markets. Average vol/trader in Jan VS February: > @predictdotfun (+44%): $3,716 ➡️ $5,371 > @0xProbable (+86%): $15,694 ➡️ $29,192 This surge in high-value activity follows the news that Predict[.]fun has completed its strategic acquisition

NEWS: According to the WSJ, both Kalshi and Polymarket are raising new rounds at 20B valuations each. These potential deals would roughly double the valuations assigned to both companies at the end of 2025.

ICYMI: Kalshi is being sued for failing to pay $54 million over Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah ​Ali Khamenei bet.

One could capture an 85.19% return by betting on $AAPL NO $260 ((100c/54c-1)*100), meaning that the stock will remain below $260. Given the unfavorable macroeconomic conditions and the harmonic setup, this is an asymmetric setup.

Nothing Ever Happens: $MSTR, March 31, 2026 The market currently prices NO at 32¢, suggesting a 32% probability that at least one of four specific "No" triggers occurs before March 31, 2026. Here’s a breakdown of the risks: 1. Strategy sells any $BTC: With a USD reserve of

JUST IN: @predictdotfun acquires prediction market @0xProbable

About a month ago, prediction market platform @opinionlabsxyz said it raised $20 million in pre-Series A round. Here's how their TVL graph looks today h/t @datadashboards on @Dune

🚨 Israeli police launches investigation into a possible Iran-related Polymarket insider trading, according to Chief political analyst of N12 news Amit Segal.

Kalshi founder and CEO @mansourtarek_, on Khamenei markets: "We don’t list markets directly tied to death." @Kalshi is reimbursing all trading fees and compensating users who bought positions after death reports for any losses, aiming to ensure no one loses money while adhering

Israeli media reports the body of Iran's supreme leader Khamenei was found in his palace wreckage. If true, a $32 million prediction market will close today.

@Polymarket UPDATE: Odds climb to 96% as of now. Follow for fast alpha.

BREAKING: Israel initiates preemptive attack on Iran. Odds on @Polymarket climb for the US to strike Iran today.

Here's every country that has banned Polymarket through its own regulators: 🇳🇱 Netherlands — KSA, unlicensed gambling 🇷🇴 Romania — gambling authority blacklist, no license 🇸🇬 Singapore — GRA crackdown on offshore betting 🇫🇷 France — ANJ, classified as an illegal gambling

🇳🇱 The Netherlands just banned @Polymarket. Dutch regulator KSA ordered it to stop serving users or face €420K/week in fines. Why? Dutch users bet $32M+ on the country's own elections. KSA called it unlicensed gambling and a risk to democracy.

pov: when you find that friend who told you to put $2k on that Zelenskyy suit bet on Polymarket

A Polymarket whale just dropped $150K betting on US and Israeli strikes on Iran by Feb 28. Bought in at 13¢ and 15¢. Both are sitting at 24¢ and 30¢ right now. Up $70K in unrealized gains and hasn't touched a single share. Here's what they might know. 1. An hour ago, Axios