Pan Paragraf
@PanParagraf
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I'm a builder and macro enthusiast.
Krakow, Poland
Joined December 2014
I believe it’s time to go risk-on — here are my 9 bullish theses for $ETH: 🧵
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I don’t tweet about the market very often — but when I do, you probably want to read it. The last time I posted about $ETH long, it was spot on, right before the massive rally. Here are my 6 arguments for long ETH — based on macro, liquidity and Ethereum-specific catalysts
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7⃣Fun Fact - it took me some time to wrap it up all for you and between starting this thread and actually posting it, ETH already pumped 7%. My 🇵🇱 Discord group caught that move, because I shared these thoughts with them yesterday. And that made me think: maybe it is worth
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I combine geopolitics, macro, and liquidity analysis to build a real market edge in crypto. Short, actionable thoughts — no noise.
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7⃣Summary We got a very interesting macro set up for ETH where: -> FED cut rates are getting priced in again -> Liquidity stress is coming to an end -> Blackrock will file for staking ETF this week -> ETH upgrade is coming next week -> ETH is oversold -> Funding turns negative
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6⃣End of the cycle? Not necessarily for ETH. After such a big correction the market is super divided. Is it the end of the cycle or not yet - that's the question everyone asks. I am not going to answer it in this thread, but what if I tell you that it doesn't really matter?
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5⃣ETH upgrades like to pump the price The Fusaka upgrade goes live on December 3rd, which is a major technological upgrade for the ETH network. You might ask yourself, why should I care for another technical upgrade? This is because, $ETH price has reacted massively to every
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4⃣Ok but Why ETH? Ok since we have a positive macro roadmap at least till mid December, let's move on to Ethereum- why long $ETH is better than $BTC now? ETH advantage #1: A few days ago, on November 19, 2025, BlackRock registered the iShares Staked Ethereum Trust. This is
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3⃣Shorts gets squeezed So when you connect the dots, the picture becomes obvious: The liquidity shock that nuked the market in November wasn’t a trend — it was a one-time forced deleveraging event caused by the shutdown, TGA at $1T, and dealers choking on issuance. That stress
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2⃣Liquidity stress ending Now let's move on to another crucial factor - liquidity. And don’t worry — this isn’t another “M2 vs Bitcoin” chart. The liquidity shock didn’t originate in crypto — it started in the U.S. Treasury market. It began with the prolonged government
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1⃣The Trigger: Fed Rates Let's maybe start with what drives markets todays. Here’s my chart of the S&P 500 versus the odds of a 25 bps rate cut on @Polymarket. As you can see, U.S. equities began pulling back exactly when the probability of rate cuts started falling. It was
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I don’t tweet about the market very often — but when I do, you probably want to read it. The last time I posted about $ETH long, it was spot on, right before the massive rally. Here are my 6 arguments for long ETH — based on macro, liquidity and Ethereum-specific catalysts
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Peaky blinders series is going after Game of Thrones. Mark my words.
A ‘PEAKY BLINDERS’ sequel series is in the works at Netflix & BBC. • Greenlit for 2 seasons with 6 episodes each • Follows a new generation of Shelbys in 1953 during Birmingham’s reconstruction after World War 2 • Cillian Murphy will exec produce
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Poland just became a $1 trillion economy without open borders, without giving up religion, and without tearing down its traditions. What did Poland do that the West won’t? (a thread) 🧵👇
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9. Vitalik finally buys instead of selling for his girlfriend Gucci bag. More seriously, @Etherealize_io is a massive deal. Finally, ETH has entity to onboard Wall Street and Hedge Funds into the ecosystem. https://t.co/QMzmmGnVvU
vitalik.eth(@VitalikButerin) bought 296.4 $ETH($783K), then transferred 693.9 $ETH($1.83M) and 341K $USDC to Railgun ~30 minutes ago. https://t.co/KDBjc5H3in
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8. Tether Circle and other stablecoin issuers need to buy more ETH. Scott Besent says that stablecoin act regulations will lead its supply to break $1T. Most of it will be custodied on ETH. This means $ETH with current $0.3T valuation needs to make at least 3X from now to
ethereum has a trillion dollar problem nobody wants to discuss $300b market cap securing $1t in stablecoins breaks basic proof of stake economics. pajke called it: the math doesn't work circle and tether might need to become ethereum's largest holders just to keep the chain
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7. Ethereum staking New SEC Chair hints staking ETF is just a matter of time. Yield is a big deal for institutions. Once staking be approved we should expect much bigger adoption of Ethereum ETF.
🚨RUMOR: 🇺🇸 BLACKROCK IS PUSHING THE SEC TO APPROVE THE ETHEREUM STAKING ETF. SEND $ETH TO $10,000! 🚀
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6. ETH/BTC chart shows a bottoming structure. ETH has reclaimed ~8.5% vs BTC in 3 months after a multi-year downtrend. Rotation incoming?
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5. This means Ethereum is finally back with a clear narrative for Wall Street in this cycle. ETH = upside in stablecoin growth ETH = upside in tokenization ETH = institutional blockchain infrastructure https://t.co/cicCFAgxyy
The ETH narrative for Wall St has never been clearer: - ETH = upside in stablecoin growth - ETH = upside in tokenization - ETH = institutional blockchain infrastructure ETH’s era of outperformance—driven by secular fundamental adoption— is here at last: (1/9)
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4. Tom Lee didn’t just commit $250M+ — he brought a clear narrative: 👇 👉 @circle is the biggest Wall Street IPO in 5 years. 👉 Circle’s entire business is built around USDC - the stablecoin. 👉 The majority of USDC — and other stablecoins transactions run on Ethereum. 👉 If
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3. @fundstrat becomes a Michael Saylor of Ethereum. His company plans to raise $250M and become the "MicroStrategy" of Ethereum, amassing one of the largest public ETH treasuries.
Let me tell you why Tom Lee is the most bullish thing to happen to ETH this year. Tom Lee was the guy in 2017 on CNBC calling for $55k bitcoin when it was trading at $2k. Wall street people thought he was insane. I remember the segments. The anchors would smile and be like
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