Officially METEOROLOGIST Peyton Simmers!

RT @accuweather: Water surged quickly into a beachfront parking lot in Ocean City, Maryland, last night as Hurricane Erin swirled offshore.….

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Hurricane Erin is almost a post-tropical cyclone as the center is more exposed and not much left of deep convection. This will be fully extratropical by the end of the day.

You can see the upwelling that Hurricane Erin caused as it slowed down northeast of the Bahamas.

I would say 99L is a TC or is very close to completing TCG.

This gives more support to the western ATL in early September as rising air enters the basin. This is also not a conducive pattern for CV hurricanes as there is sinking motion over the MDR and, more importantly, Africa. The tropical waves won't be robust with a look like that.

Towards the end of August, we need to watch the Gulf for possible tropical development as a trough dips south. The ECMWF tries to spin something up, but the question is, how long does it stay over the water. There is good agreement about this trough, something to watch.

RT @alsulli12: Coastal Flooding on American Legion Dr. in Keyport NJ as of 8:05 PM. @NWS_MountHolly #njwx

High tide is approaching in Ocean City, MD, and the waves are flooding the parking lot near the inlet. Additionally, waves are making up to the seawall up and down the boardwalk.

Hurricane Erin is huge with a massive wind field. You can also notice that the hurricane is undergoing extratropical transition, as it is not fully equivalent barotropic anymore.

RT @accuweather: Taste of fall, anyone? 🍂

A big upper-level low is going to decend into the CONUS later this week and bring fall-like conditions to the east. Additionally, this ULL will help to spawn waterspouts along the Great Lakes with convective clouds/showers.

Angry seas can be seen at Ocean City, MD. I also see some decent beach erosion as waves are coming way up the beach.

RT @accuweather: The Hurricane Hunters flew straight into the eye of Hurricane Erin at Category 5 strength, capturing stunning footage of t….

Parts of NC 12 are starting to get overwash from the ocean. The worst of Erin's waves have yet to arrive, so expect this to continue to get worse.

RT @MUweather: Great work on this! @P_SimmsWX putting his education from @millersvilleu into practice in an operational setting!.

NHC has dropped Erin to a cat 2 with 110 MPH winds. I personally think it is much weaker based on flight data and storm structure.

I am not so sure Erin is a major hurricane anymore looking at the structure. Dry air and shear are doing damage to the storm structure. In addition, Erin is moving really slow, so it is using up the warm water. A plane is on the way to investigate.

Invest 99L has formed just off the coast of Africa as of a few minutes ago. This is the farthest back wave and it looks healthy.

The MJO is heading towards the Maritime Continent, which are unfavorable phases for tropical development in the ATL. The suppressed MJO is moving over the basin and will help put a cap on the waves. However, an ER wave and a CCKW are moving over, too, so this does help waves.

I'm not surprised to see Storm Surge and Tropical Storm Watches for Outer Banks, NC.