Navius Research
@NaviusResearch
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A Canadian energy-economy research consultancy. We specialize in quantitative modeling to answer questions about climate and energy policy.
Joined January 2014
It’s LIVE! Come explore the updated Canada Energy Dashboard and 648 scenarios of Canada's possible energy, emissions, technology and economic future. #netzero #electricity #economy #policy
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RT @ppforumca: Today, @ppforumca released a landmark report outlining urgent strategies to unlock Canada’s full economic potential by accel….
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We are excited to see the latest @ppforumca report released today, Build Big Things. As part of this report, our analysis found that if the 500+ projects on @NRCan's Major Projects Inventory moved ahead, they would contribute up to $1.1 trillion in cumulative GDP growth in Canada.
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RT @ppforumca: .@ppforumca released a new landmark report today outlining urgent strategies to unlock Canada’s full economic potential by a….
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Renewable fuel blending in BC depends on interactions with federal policy, particularly the extent to which policy is driving the adoption of ZEVs. If there are more ZEVs on the road, renewable content in BC’s diesel pool decreases as less renewable content is required to comply
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Tariffs on vehicles are a terrible idea, but Canada shouldn't retaliate with tariffs on US vehicles. Instead, we should target other areas.
Tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum are stupid. When retaliating, Canada should hit back with tariffs that hurt the American economy the most, and the Canadian economy the least. Here is a map.
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Last chance to register for our Canada Energy Dashboard 2025 Update webinar this Thursday. We'd love to see you there and answer your questions! Register here:
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Our NEW BLOG explores how BC's Low Carbon Fuel Standard credit market is susceptible to changes in federal policy. BC's LCFS is most sensitive to changes in the federal Clean Fuel Regulation as the two credit prices have an inverse relationship. Read more:
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Reminder to sign up for our LIVE webinar next Thursday where we will share all the new features and capabilities of the Canada Energy Dashboard. Register here so you don't miss it:
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The updated Canada Energy Dashboard now includes: all Atlantic provinces (thanks to @EcologyAction), an announced policy scenario, several new metrics on fuel markets, and a lever to vary small nuclear availability. So much to explore! Check it out here:
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Don’t miss the upcoming LIVE event showcasing the new version of the Canada Energy Dashboard. You’re invited to learn more next Thursday! Register here:
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Who pays for tariffs depends on factors beyond the transactions at the border. Looking at modeling results and real-world data for key commodities shows the true tariff impacts depend on how easily industry can pivot from the status quo. 6/6.
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On the energy front, prices of Canadian heavy crude, like WCS, have seen an increased discount to U.S. benchmark WTI after the tariff announcement. This discount has tightened in recent weeks but expect to see it widen again if energy tariffs are confirmed. 5/6.
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Real world data backs this up! U.S. import tariffs on steel and aluminum in 2018 led steel prices to rise over 10%. Among the recent threats, several steel suppliers have announced price increases, with U.S. futures for hot-rolled steel coil jumping by as much as 25% since the
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Prices of metals, such as steel and aluminum, are expected to increase in the U.S. in response to import tariffs, while Canadian oil and gas producers are expected to respond with discounts to compete in the U.S. market due to limited alternatives. 3/6
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Our modeling on the price impact of tariffs shows the cost burden is shared based on how easily importers can find alternative sources for goods and whether exporters can redirect foreign demand. 2/6.
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🧵Thread: Who really pays for tariffs? The ongoing trade dispute between the U.S. and Canada has sparked intense debate over who ultimately bears the cost of tariffs. Mechanically, tariffs are paid by the importer, but the actual economic burden is more complex… 1/6.
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NEW BLOG: Who really pays the tariffs in the Canada-U.S. trade war? The answer is more complex than you might think. Read more here:
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Our thoughts on how Canada can best respond to the U.S trade war: stick together as Canadians because U.S. tariffs affect us all, trade more east-west than north-south, and hit back on sectors that hurt the American economy more than our own. Read our analysis for @ppforumca
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We are excited to be launching the 2025 update of the Canada Energy Dashboard next week! We will walk through the updated dashboard and its new capabilities during a webinar on March 27th. Register here to stay in the loop:
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