Navigating the Vortex
@navvortex
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We live in a complex and ever-changing world. To navigate the vortex we must think critically & adapt fast. @LucyMarcus & @StefWolff write & talk about it.
Joined April 2023
Is a Russian veto on leadership about to provoke the downfall of the OSCE? The survival of the world’s largest regional security organisation is under threat from Russian ambitions to upend the existing international order. #osce #russia #EU
https://t.co/mkvpJd5R4Q
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The OSCE – notwithstanding the organisation’s ongoing crisis – still represents an important forum to articulate and negotiate participating States’ national interests: https://t.co/99BEdmX3qG via @navvortex
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The inaugural meeting of the Board of Peace will mostly be remembered for its chairman-for-life threatening Iran with war: https://t.co/J3JnpljR4q via @navvortex
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Putin may think that he has successfully tricked Trump into doing his bidding. But on this occasion, Zelensky may have outsmarted them both, albeit at the price of the war against his country continuing: https://t.co/8GjOczNPCt via @navvortex
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Claims of progress in the negotiations in Abu Dhabi are therefore at best over-optimistic and at worst self-deluding: https://t.co/dAYgswOnG5 via @navvortex
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After two rounds of talks in Abu Dhabi, it remains unclear whether an actual negotiation process will now get under way between Russia and Ukraine and what its format and direction will be: https://t.co/Qg33jqNsM8
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Europe and its few scattered allies elsewhere need to start acting as if they were alone in a hostile world—because they are: https://t.co/M4ivWdELat via @navvortex
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Current transatlantic de-escalation notwithstanding, has Europe done enough to persuade President Trump to change course permanently over Greenland? https://t.co/VjmpmylwO1 via @navvortex
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The war in Ukraine is likely to mark a few more milestones before there is another opportunity to prove again that aggression never pays: https://t.co/m6SyruHEHC via @navvortex
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The law of the jungle is back — and the US, and much of the rest of the world, will ultimately pay a heavy price for it: https://t.co/N7eMZdDWJ2 via @navvortex
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In light of recent US experiences in Afghanistan and Iraq, more instability, not less, will be the likely result of the capture of Maduro: https://t.co/JPA5LHiP8T via @navvortex
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The fighting in Ukraine is likely to continue unabated for the time being as neither of the warring sides, nor their backers, appear exhausted enough for peace: https://t.co/oGqO06uIwW via @navvortex
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Internal divisions over Ukraine funding and Mercosur trade deal expose limitations of EU leadership in a world carved up by Washington, Moscow and Beijing: https://t.co/2oqTAam7iP via @navvortex
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For Europe, deterring Russia and appeasing the US have become existential priorities in a bigger game in which Ukraine might end up as yet another bargaining chip: https://t.co/CMuOiFzGhh via @navvortex
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Available now: The first episode of Navigating the Vortex | Ethnopolitics Edition featuring an interview with George Kyris on the recognition of Palestine: https://t.co/98GgCSAzFa
@A_Kartsonaki @GeorgeKyris @Rout_PoliticsIR
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The amateurish nature of a process that produced Trump’s 28-point plan should be the real worry for Ukraine and its partners: https://t.co/ceTN2Mq4gx via @navvortex
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Talk of Ukraine’s political and military collapse may turn into a self-fulfilling prophecy playing into Putin's hands: https://t.co/5bY0eCM7Is via @navvortex
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The continuation of Russia’s war against Ukraine serves Chinese interests in several important ways: https://t.co/Eyqq2w7uwr via @navvortex
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Tolerating corruption is a luxury that Ukraine can no longer afford if it wants to survive as an independent country — the latest from Tetyana Malyarenko and me for @navvortex: https://t.co/S3Go8DTQhs
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The EU needs to decide how to balance holding the line on its membership standards while enabling Ukraine to hold the line against Russia: https://t.co/opuMckXN4L via @navvortex
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