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Nate Latshaw

@NateLatshaw

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Data Scientist interested in sports analytics || Developer of analytics tools for: UFC, MMA, NBA || Alumnus: @DickinsonCol & @CarnegieMellon

Philadelphia, PA
Joined April 2019
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
1 day
At #UFC317, Joshua Van became the fastest fighter to cross 1,000 significant strikes landed in the octagon. He still has a long way to go to catch Max Holloway, but he is landing strikes at a rate not yet seen before among any #UFC fighters after ~2 hours of octagon time.
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
11 hours
Agreed, Van is also absorbing strikes at an alarming rate. Though to be fair, his fight with Royval did bend the curve noticeably.
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@TrentReinsmith
Trent Reinsmith
1 day
Joshua Van's 6.36 strikes absorbed per minute is also much higher than Holloway's 4.76 SAPM, which does not seem like a recipe for long-term health.
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
1 day
Demian Maia
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@ducky_phillips
Duck Phillips 🦆
1 day
@NateLatshaw Woodley?
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
2 days
Men's Pound-for-Pound #UFC Record Matrix. This figure shows the record of each of the top 15 PFP fighters vs all currently ranked fighters from any weight class. ☑️@MAKHACHEVMMA is 7-0 against currently ranked fighters. ☑️@Pantojamma has the most wins (9) vs ranked fighters.
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
3 days
KO/TKO rates over the last 10 years in the #UFC . Small sample but as of the halfway point of 2025:. ☑️Overall KO/TKO rates remain relatively constant, matching the (lack of a) trend over the last decade. ☑️Middleweights & Welterweights lead all weight classes by a wide margin
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
4 days
RT @lthomasnews: MMA isn’t dying, but it sure is in decline and some trouble.
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
4 days
Finish rates over the last 10 years in the #UFC . Small sample but as of the halfway point of 2025:. 📉Finish rates are on pace to match a 10-year low (set in 2024). 📉Men's finish rates are on pace for a 10-year low. 📉LW, LHW, & (especially) HW are all on pace for 10-year lows
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
6 days
FightPickSim #DFS Event Recap for #UFC317 . FightPickSim (now 100% free!) identified 4 of the 6 DraftKings optimal lineup fighters for every user who entered correct picks. The 2nd figure shows projected vs actual points, which were pretty sharp as well (other than Van/Royval).
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
10 days
FightPickSim is now updated (& 100% free!) for:. #UFC317 Topuria vs Oliveira. FightPickSim is a #UFC #DraftKings #DFS projection, simulation, & optimization tool that also features a series of interactive stats tools to streamline research. See the link in my prior post!
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
7 days
Prop betting analytics in advance of #UFC317 Topuria vs Oliveira!. How often do 3-round #UFC fights in each weight class end via KO, SUB, 1st round finish, etc.?. To interactively explore far more detailed prop betting analytics, check out my passion project below!
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
12 days
My passion project, the #UFC Fight Night Statistical Companion, is now updated for:. #UFC317 Topuria vs Oliveira. The goal of my (100% free) website is to make @ufc fight data more accessible to the entire #MMATwitter community. Enjoy! Link 👇.
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
7 days
2025 #UFC Event Watchability Ratings!. These ratings seek to numerically score the "watchability" of fighters, matchups, & events. Most watchable events based on these ratings:.🥇UFC 314.🥈UFC 311.🥉#UFC317 . UFC 317 also has the highest rated prelims of 2025.
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
8 days
Fighter Watchability Ratings for #UFC317 Topuria vs Oliveira!. The goal of this metric is to numerically score & rank the "watchability" of #UFC fighters based on the following 4 components:. 1⃣ Dominance.2⃣ Finish rates.3⃣ Striking output.4⃣ Experience
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
7 days
MMAOddsBreaker Tale of the Tape for:. 🥊Alexandre Pantoja vs Kai Kara-France. Table created on the @MMAOddsBreaker site - see the link in my prior post. This 100% free tool lets you compare #UFC fight outcome, striking, & grappling stats for each #UFC317 matchup!
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
11 days
The @MMAOddsBreaker Tale of the Tape is now updated for:. #UFC317 Topuria vs Oliveira. Via my partnership w/ MMAOB, you can generate:. 1⃣ Matchup stats for any bout on the card.2⃣ Comparative stats for any two #UFC fighters. Link 👇.
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
8 days
MMAOddsBreaker Tale of the Tape for:. 🥊Brandon Royval vs Joshua Van. Table created on the @MMAOddsBreaker site - see the link in my prior post. This 100% free tool lets you compare #UFC fight outcome, striking, & grappling stats for each #UFC317 matchup!
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
11 days
The @MMAOddsBreaker Tale of the Tape is now updated for:. #UFC317 Topuria vs Oliveira. Via my partnership w/ MMAOB, you can generate:. 1⃣ Matchup stats for any bout on the card.2⃣ Comparative stats for any two #UFC fighters. Link 👇.
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
8 days
Historical @ufc strength of schedule stats for the entire #UFC317 Topuria vs Oliveira card!. Table shows the record & win % of each fighter's opponents. To deep dive additional #UFC stats like these not available elsewhere, check out my passion project below!
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
12 days
My passion project, the #UFC Fight Night Statistical Companion, is now updated for:. #UFC317 Topuria vs Oliveira. The goal of my (100% free) website is to make @ufc fight data more accessible to the entire #MMATwitter community. Enjoy! Link 👇.
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
8 days
Fighter Watchability Ratings for #UFC317 Topuria vs Oliveira!. The goal of this metric is to numerically score & rank the "watchability" of #UFC fighters based on the following 4 components:. 1⃣ Dominance.2⃣ Finish rates.3⃣ Striking output.4⃣ Experience
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
9 days
MMAOddsBreaker Tale of the Tape for:. 🥊Beneil Dariush vs Renato Moicano. Table created on the @MMAOddsBreaker site - see the link in my prior post. This 100% free tool lets you compare #UFC fight outcome, striking, & grappling stats for each #UFC317 matchup!
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
11 days
The @MMAOddsBreaker Tale of the Tape is now updated for:. #UFC317 Topuria vs Oliveira. Via my partnership w/ MMAOB, you can generate:. 1⃣ Matchup stats for any bout on the card.2⃣ Comparative stats for any two #UFC fighters. Link 👇.
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
9 days
Strike Accuracy Over Expected (SAOE) for the entire #UFC317 card!. SAOE = the percentage-point difference between observed & expected strike accuracy. That is, Joshua Van's strike accuracy is +9.2% greater than the average #UFC accuracy of the types of strikes he throws.
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
3 months
1/ Introducing Strike Accuracy Over Expected (SAOE):. A #UFC striking precision metric that seeks to improve upon strike accuracy. SAOE is the percentage-point difference between observed & expected strike accuracy. This thread introduces SAOE & illustrates its value - enjoy!
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
9 days
Ranking the last 20 #UFC events based on total historical stats of all the fighters involved. #UFC317 fighters collectively rank:. 🥇Finish % of wins.🥇SUB % of wins.🥈UFC win %.🥈Total bonuses
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
10 days
RT @lthomasnews: Written, video, whatever. Who has the best Topuria-Oliveira preview out there?. Link 'em in the comments, plz. If it's y….
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
10 days
MMAOddsBreaker Tale of the Tape for:. 🥊Jack Hermansson vs Gregory Rodrigues. Table created on the @MMAOddsBreaker site - see the link in my prior post. This 100% free tool lets you compare #UFC fight outcome, striking, & grappling stats for each #UFC317 matchup!
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
11 days
The @MMAOddsBreaker Tale of the Tape is now updated for:. #UFC317 Topuria vs Oliveira. Via my partnership w/ MMAOB, you can generate:. 1⃣ Matchup stats for any bout on the card.2⃣ Comparative stats for any two #UFC fighters. Link 👇.
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
10 days
Historical #UFC stats for the entire #UFC317 Topuria vs Oliveira card!. Table includes Expected Round Percent (xR%), an advanced metric (like Expected Goals, or xG, from soccer) measuring fighter dominance in the octagon!. xR% documentation 👇.
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@NateLatshaw
Nate Latshaw
4 years
1/ Thread: Introducing Expected Rounds (xR) for the #UFC, an advanced #MMA fighter evaluation metric that improves on conventional metrics while maintaining a key feature: interpretability. See the link below for a blog post describing xR in detail. 👇.
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