Michael Brown
@MrMBrown
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Senior Research Strategist @PepperstoneFX
City of London
Joined September 2011
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Pinned Tweet
I guess it's another day of finding a narrative to suit the price action
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Goldman ripped up their 2023 f'casts last wk...JPM turned bullish EUR over the weekend...MS now doing the same...that year-ahead consensus lasted a grand total of 16 days...
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No sanctions (yet). No action on energy. Not kicking Russia out of SWIFT.
But, hey, they've lit up a building...
EU, what a joke.
In these dark hours, tonight the colours of the Ukrainian flag shine bright on the
@EU_Commission
headquarters.
A symbol of our solidarity. Friendship. And steadfast support.
More than ever, the EU stands with Ukraine and its people.
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Crypto adverts on the side of buses; what could possibly go wrong…
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Because you sold before everyone else did?
GOLDMAN SACHS CEO DAVID SOLOMON ON ARCHEGOS SITUATION SAYS "OUR RISK CONTROLS WORKED WELL" - CNBC INTERVIEW
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"In the long term, Moderna aims to develop an annual supershot that could suppress numerous respiratory ailments, including Covid, flu, and others. 'Our goal is to give you several mRNAs in a single shot at your local CVS or GP every August or September'"
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Ludicrous that after half a decade people are still trying to claim that negative rates are a good thing.
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UK tax system has no incentive to save/invest at this point...income tax brackets frozen = more in higher bands thus lower tax free savings allowance...dividend allowance cut in half...CGT allowance too, and set to be halved again nxt yr...absolutely nonsensical policymaking...
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5% rates is normal, ZIRP is not...the fact people still haven't figured that out is ludicrous
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wtf have they been smoking!?
TESLA INC, IN AN SEC FILING, SAYS EFFECTIVE AS OF MARCH 15, "TITLES OF ELON MUSK AND ZACH KIRKHORN HAVE CHANGED TO TECHNOKING OF TESLA AND MASTER OF COIN"
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Faked AI images moving markets...welcome to the future... 🤦♂️🤦♂️
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Always nice when your laptop does an impression of a jumbo jet take-off while using Excel...
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*US 2- TO 10-YEAR CURVE INVERSION REACHES NEW MULTIYEAR EXTREME
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549,943 vaccine doses given in England yesterday, just shy of 1% of the entire population in a single day, we’re finally crushing this damn virus...a huge achievement by all involved!!
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Technical analysis on inflation breakevens...do me a favour...
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"Jamie, it's Jay. I'm gonna need you to buy another bank for me..."
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6yrs done & dusted…onto the next thing…long weekend for me…cheers 🍻
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That’s me done & dusted here for another week.
Have a great long weekend all!! 🍻
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*IPHONE SALES IN CHINA PLUNGE 24% AT START OF 2024: COUNTERPOINT
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Got to be one of the most moronic things I've read in a long time
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Can't we just have a feature that auto-mutes idiotic central bankers...
Twitter should create an option of auto-muting all anonymous (coward) accounts. But that would kill-off much of fintwit I guess.
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I just can't understand why the Elliott Wave folk didn't warn us about Archegos.
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This is the opposite of how to tackle inflation…
French government is giving over 30m people a one-off €100 "inflation compensation" payment. Multi-billion euro giveaway that some people will get in early 2022, ahead of elections in April.
Guess we will revisit those EU budget rules a but later then.
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I asked AI to generate me a picture of a copycat and look what it came up with…
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FT article on this morning's eurozone GDP...not one mention of the word "recession"...if the UK had 2 consecutive Qs of contraction, they'd be screaming about it on the front page...absolutely awful paper with shockingly low standards...
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U.S. SMALL BUSINESS LABOR SHORTAGES, WAGE PRESSURES WORST IN 50 YEARS - BOFA
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Pretty sure that’s Andrew Bailey (or a v good lookalike!) photobombing my snap of the shard this morning…
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Cable below 1.08 in very early FX pricing…it’s gonna be another loooooooong week…
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Electric scooters; ban them & destroy every damn one that has ever been made. Lethal things, disaster waiting to happen!
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per Zoopla on UK housing...the crunch begins..."The number of homes hitting the market in May was 18% higher than the five-year average, while the number of buyers fell by 14% compared to the average"
h/t
@John_Stepek
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Terribly sad news
*BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY SAYS CHARLIE MUNGER HAS DIED
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@Schuldensuehner
You should have your bloomie confiscated for using it for rubbish like this.
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Infuriates me when folk are rude to receptionists, security guards, etc…basic manners costs nowt…
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That’s me done & dusted in front of the screens for 2022; what a 12 months it has been.
Thanks for the many laughs, jokes, insights & debates through the year - it all makes this much more fun!
Merry Christmas & Happy New Year to all! 🍻🎄
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That’s me calling it a week, I’m done & dusted here for now.
Have a great weekend all!! 🍻
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Gilts trading like Liz & Kwasi are running the show again…
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That’s me done & dusted here for the week.
Have a great weekend all!! 🍻
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About 1.6mln UK mortgages fixed at rates under 2% set to end btwn now & Q3 24 according to BoE/ONS figures...that could get ugly quickly...
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That’s me done & dusted here for the week.
Have a great weekend all!! 🍻
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Spot on, Rishi. SPOT ON!
"Rishi Sunak has told young people that going into the office can be “really beneficial” to their careers and warned that video conferencing was no substitute."
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Talking in riddles now
*LAGARDE: ANY DECISION IS THE FRUIT OF A COMPROMISE
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Says the guy who's been waiting for the S&P to hit about 700 for a decade
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@piersmorgan
The R rate is more volatile and harder to estimate when case numbers are low. Stop stirring.
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How the hell is someone as incompetent as this employed as a policymaker?!
Give me strength.
*BOE'S TENREYRO LOOSER MONETARY POLICY NEEDED TO MEET CPI GOAL
*BOE'S TENREYRO SAYS IT'S A `MYTH' THAT QE IS MONEY PRINTING
*BOE'S TENREYRO SAYS COULDN'T AVOID INFLATION SURGE
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JPM - hard landing for UK economy "looks increasingly likely", baseline f'cast is for peak Bank Rate @ 5.75%, sees risk BoE may need to hike as far as 7% (!!!) if elevated wage growth continues to offset impact of rising mortgage ates
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That’s me done & dusted for another week.
Have a great weekend all!! 🍻
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Inflation takes are getting ridiculous...currently reading a piece referencing "inflation ex-food, energy, goods, education, holidays & airfares" to justify why BoE might pause...basically, strip out everything you can until you get a figure that justifies your priors...
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The miracle of compounding…
“$1 invested in U.S. large company stocks in 1824 was worth $16 million in Oct 2023 with dividends reinvested” (BofA)
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This is just a bloody shambles...jobs market starting to soften, inflation sticky >10%, activity rolling over...BoE +25bp next month but Old Lady still itching to hit the pause button even tho no light @ end of tunnel...not sure how this is constructive for GBP m/t or l/t...
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This is not a drill - Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson turns bullish...
"with Powell not pushing back on the easing in financial conditions, equities appear to have the green light to ramp higher"
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Think BBC might want to revise their knowledge of flags a bit…
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They’re going to roll dice rather than throwing darts blindfolded…
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7mths running of CPI > 10%...9mths since we first broke the 10% mark...BoE can talk lagged policy effects & f'cast inflation falling as much as they like...but reality is they've failed at their sole job...this chart should be pinned on the wall of every office on Threadneedle St
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That’s me done & dusted here for another week.
Have a great weekend all!! 🍻
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ECB sources have come out to play again...why they can't say this damn stuff in the presser or statement is beyond me...yet they harp on about 'transparency' the entire time... 🙄
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That’s me done & dusted for the week.
Have a great weekend all!! 🍻
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If BoE do nowt then core inflation will get worse…if BoE hike a little then it has no impact on inflation but dents growth…if BoE hike a lot then it has impact on inflation but kills economy…no good options & all a mess of their own incompetent making…
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Jeremy Clarkson got it spot on when he described most of the people on this site - “Twitter now is just an opportunity for very left-wing people to express increasingly left-wing views to other left-wing people.”
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Worse than brown in town…sandals & a suit combo spotted on London Bridge…
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*EY HIRED TO FIND BUYER FOR METRO BANK THIS WEEKEND: SOURCES
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End of the week. End of the month. End of the quarter.
Glad that’s all done & dusted. On to the next one we go…
Have a great weekend all!! 🍻
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