Heiner Mikosch
@MikoschOnX
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Economist. Researcher @KOFETH. @BSL_CH #macro #forecasting Analyzing the global economy from a Swiss perspective & Switzerland from a global perspective.
Zurich, Switzerland
Joined January 2024
Great discussions at the #RealTime #Economics Conference @bundesbank (Eltville, 23–25 Oct)! Enjoyed exchanges on new #methods, #data, #nowcasting, & #forecasting with great colleagues. #research #macroeconomics Poster link 👉 https://t.co/Y3SXlFeT2O
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Great to have been back in #Munich for the CESifo #Macroeconomics & #Survey #Data #Conference at ifo Institute — soaked up great talks and enjoyed #Bavarian vibes! https://t.co/vlUs6vbiHW
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Exciting week at @KOFETH_en hosting #Uzbekistan’s Center for #Economic #Research and Reforms! 🚀 Deep dive into #macro #nowcasting & short-term #forecasting: DFM, MIDAS, ML, #data, R coding for #GDP nowcasts.
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Great meeting @DGeorgarakos (@ecb) at @KOFETH_en. #Research #seminar: #Randomized #scenario #survey #experiment shows: #geopolitical #risk → #households expect negative effects on #finances → cut #consumption. With Gorodnichenko, @OCoibion & Kenny: https://t.co/GuIpt8JZPQ
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Great pre-event for #KOF Fall 2025 #Forecast! Interesting #exchange with journalists from @tagesanzeiger, @FuW_News, @awp_de, etc. @JanEgbertSturm & @Hans_Gersbach presenting on #Swiss & #international #trade, & how to react to recent #Trump #tariffs. https://t.co/i7dtciEX83
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The #NowcastingLab presents the latest #GDP #Forecast for #Brazil! 📊🇧🇷 By Lucas Gabriel Martins de Oliveira (#macroeconomic #forecasting). Check it out: https://t.co/diXe8b5kwM More background:
blognowcastinglab.wordpress.com
For some time now, the Nowcasting Lab website features a regularly updated GDP Forecast Report for Brazil, providing both quarterly and annual projections, along with sector-level breakdowns. The r…
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#Global #macroeconomy at #crossroads: Current issues: #Europe: Mixed signals from latest #indicators. Will #recovery stall before it turns into #upswing? #USA: #Labor market shows weakness. Higher #tariffs & tighter #immigration put pressure on #costs & #prices. Run out of steam?
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The #holiday season is behind us, and many of us are settling back into #work. Wishing you a #productive and #rewarding finish to the year!
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News from the #KOF #Nowcasting Lab ( https://t.co/N4mWMoOiLD): We reached an unexpected "milestone": our #computing processes consumed so many #MATLAB #licenses that the entire system broke down. Full story on our #blog: https://t.co/dj90HBCVvo
@KOFETH_en @MathWorks
blognowcastinglab.wordpress.com
In a recent and rather unexpected turn of events, the Nowcasting Lab managed to use up all available MATLAB licenses at ETH Zurich—approximately 10,000 in total. As a result, MATLAB license allocat…
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#AIECE Association of #Economic #Research Institutes #Meeting in #Oslo at Statistics Norway. Look at the #employment rate of refugees in #Poland as compared to #Switzerland and #Germany! Presentation by @MarcinKlucznik (Polish Economic Institute).
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#Meeting of the #AIECE Association of #Economic #Research Institutes this week in #Oslo (May, 15-16), hosted by #StatisticsNorway. Two days packed with #presentations & #discussions on the #macroeconomic #outlook for #Europe and selected structural topics. @KOFETH_en
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#Forecasting #NACE Activities in the #Eurostat Structural Business Statistics https://t.co/u16NPEzDtO Excited to work, joint with Maurizio Daniele, as Experts on behalf of @EU_Commission Competence Centre on Composite #Indicators and Scoreboards (JRC-COIN). #eu #kof #ethz
blognowcastinglab.wordpress.com
Recently launched, jointly with Maurizio Daniele, a project on behalf of the European Commission Joint Research Centre’s Competence Centre on Composite Indicators and Scoreboards (JRC-COIN). What i…
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Another wonderful workshop last week: #MachineLearning #Economic #Forecasting & #Nowcasting Workshop at @CBScph #Copenhagen organized by Jonas Striaukas. Paper presented: An Observation-Driven Mixed-Frequency VAR Model With Closed-Form Solution https://t.co/iG38VIrvvF
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Great to have participated last week in the #Macro & #Financial #Econometrics Workshop at University of #Heidelberg organized by Christian Conrad. #research #economics #forecasting @KOFETH_en Photo impressions below:
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Dan Murphy (@DardenMBA) at @KOFETH_en BB Seminar: https://t.co/HrC4Tj1b75
https://t.co/wm89VSAHPa
#Housing and non-housing #consumption are complements. #Households in smaller homes save more. Denser countries → higher #saving, lower #rates. Thought-provoking #research!
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