
Mike Quigley
@Mikedq
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Ex-Betfair employee. Physics graduate. Irish passport. Posted 20%+ profitable bets 2009-23. Contributor @RacingLRC mag 1996-2022. https://t.co/SU2uC4PUSB
London and Ludlow
Joined February 2009
First and second in the Arc (at decent prices taken) to end my horse race tipping/betting years. Good way to finish, I think.
That will do for the swansong: .Fantastic Moon: "Virtual" NR.Bluestocking: wins, 12/1 EW suggested.Aventure: 2nd, 16/1 EW suggested. Forecast: trap three beats trap four. Goodnight!.
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The same logic applies to Emma R. After her first round win today, she's 25/1 or less to win the tournament, yet 66/1 ew 1/5th odds 123 for SPOTY. I'm not suggesting you bet her in isolation for the latter, but if you're taking 25s, you should consider 66 ew for SPOTY!.
1/3 Some thoughts on SPOTY. In 2021, when Emma R was about halfway through her US Open win, she was about 20/1 for the title. At the same time, she was 50 Betfair for SPOTY. Of course, she won both. In 1997, Rusedski won SPOTY (Tim H 2nd) despite losing the US Open final. .
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2/3 Neither GR or TH won a GS. This year, Jack Draper is between 14/1 & 25/1 to win US Open. He gets a favourable ew mention from tennis expert @seancalvert1 . He is 100/1, 1/5th odds 123 Skybet for SPOTY. If you are (or have) backed him for tennis success, then it makes sense. .
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