Michael. Z
@MichaelZero10
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Long-term investor. BSc in Economics, MSc in Corporate Finance. Equity Analyst with a Fundamental Analysis approach. I'm not a financial advisor.
Joined March 2022
Portfolio Update โ 10/04๐๐ป๐ โข $HIMS โ 11.6% ($15.66)๐// Up 213%๐ข โข $NBIS โ 10.6% ($27.41)๐งโ๐ป// Up 316%๐ข โข $SHOP โ 9.5% ($57.98)๐ฆ// Up 178%๐ข โข $LVMH โ 7.2% (โฌ516.95)๐// Up 7%๐ข โข $CELH โ 6.5% ($21.98)๐ง// Up 135%๐ข โข $NFLX โ 6.4% ($172.50)๐บ// Up 492%๐ข โข $AMD โ
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$TMDX Stock rating upgraded to Buy at Needham on Transplant growth โข Needham upgraded $TMDX from Hold to Buy, by setting a Price Target of $148. Indeed, the business has demonstrated impressive performance, with revenue growing 48% over the last twelve months and gross margins
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MODERATOR: Are you willing to commit to NOT raise the sales tax? MIKIE SHERRILL: I'm not going to commit to anything right now. On Nov. 4, vote NO on Mikie Sherrill. โ
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We think the VIX (Volatility Index) is a better indicator of market sentiment than the Fear and Greed Index. $NBIS $RGTI $IREN VIX vs Fear and Greed Index:๐ง โข The VIX measures expected market volatility over the next 30 days, reflecting investor fear and uncertainty. โข It
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$LULU (+5%) ๐ข Chip Wilson, $LULU's Founder (~9% equity stake), is considering leading an activist campaign against the current Board. Market Update: - He isnโt happy with the way things are going at $LULU. According to him $LULU's directors have systematically dismantled the
These 2 Apparel Stocks Dropped Significantly over the last few months due to Macro, and Business-specific factors ๐งต๐ $LULU looks super cheap compared to $NKE. 1. $NKE and $LULU have similar business modelโ
โข $NKE develops, markets, and sells athletic and casual footwear,
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$ENPH is Growing in Europe๐ณ Business Update: - $ENPH has expanded its IQยฎ Energy Management platform to integrate electric water heaters in Belgium, the Netherlands, and Switzerland, enabling homeowners to better manage solar power and electricity usage through its IQยฎ Energy
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$ROOT The Business looks interesting at first glance just by reviewing key financials, and capital structure metrics. Interesting Details ๐ง - $ROOT worth $1.2bn (Market Cap) but it has a net cash balance of $441M (see below $ROOT's Capital Structure). - This Net Cash balance
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6. Final thoughts Please note that I don't own any of these Stocks. Hope you find these data points useful. Just by looking into the financial expectations I personally found $HROW really interesting. Which other companies should be added on this watchlist ?๐ค
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5. $RACE | Ferrari N.V. ($71bn Mkt Cap) ๐ฎ๐น - FY25 EBITDA Growth = 30.8% - FY25 EBITDA Margin = 38.49% - FY25 EV/ EBITDA = 22.87x
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4. $MELI | MercadoLibre, Inc. ($103bn Mkt Cap) ๐บ๐พ - FY25 EBITDA Growth = 29.7% - FY25 EBITDA Margin = 14.95% - FY25 EV/ EBITDA = 25.84x
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3. $SEZL | Sezzle Inc. ($2.5bn Mkt Cap) ๐บ๐ธ - FY25 EBITDA Growth = 27.0% - FY25 EBITDA Margin = 39.5% - FY25 EV/ EBITDA = 15.49x
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2. $ROOT | Root, Inc. ($1.2bn Mkt Cap) ๐บ๐ธ - FY25 EBITDA Growth = 28.2% - FY25 EBITDA Margin = 7.38% - FY25 EV/ EBITDA = 8.27x
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๐จ Here are 5 Stocks to Add on your Watchlist๐ง ๐งต๐ 1. $HROW | Harrow, Inc. ($1.4bn Mkt Cap) ๐บ๐ธ - FY25 EBITDA Growth = 232% - FY25 EBITDA Margin = 26.0% - FY25 EV/ EBITDA = 22.3x
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$HIMS (+16%) ๐ข๐ข๐ข Business Update:๐ - $HIMS Stock climbed after announcing menopause and perimenopause treatment plans on its platform. - $HIMS said it sees the new offerings as a major opportunity to scale its platform, helping Hers, its women's health unit, to surpass $1bn
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$MC (+12%) ๐ข LVMH is Up 25% since post below.๐ As explained before, $LVMH should be able to grow faster than c.5% after 2027/28, as the global luxury sector is in a transition phase following the strong post-pandemic recovery. Investors were too focused on the short-term.
$MC / $LVMH valuation is really attractive ๐ง๐ 1. $LVMH is experiencing short-term headwinds - In 2025 Sales are expected to drop by ~1% due to high inflation rates, and the economic slowdown in key markets such as China. - $LVMH experienced similar situation in 2020 when the
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$DLO ๐ง Great article from Forbes covering $DLO's valuation. The article provides a great overview of the business and gives interesting details on the previous capital raises. You should definitely have a look at this article.๐ 2020 & 2021 : Interesting Details 1โฃ $DLO was
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8. Conclusion โข Investors have concerns on the Elettrica (EV), as Luxury EVs are still a young, immature market segment that could damage the Brand. โข However, we believe $RACE will be successful in this new market segment due to its heritage, and engineering excellence. โข
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7. Investors willing to Hold the Stock over the next 5-10 years could still find it attractive โข $RACE could go up over the next few years even without any equity rerating (higher multiple of earnings paid by investors). โข Indeed, by just assuming constant valuation multiples
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6. $RMS is the best Trading Comparable to properly value $RACE โข Both businesses have rich history and brand heritage. โข Both companies have really wealthy and loyal clients. โข $RMS and $RACE are benefitting from strong pricing power (prices can increase significantly
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5. 2030: Financial Expectations are conservative The company is expecting the following financials. Growth: - โฌ9.0bn of revenue by 2030, ~5% CAGR from 2024. Profits: - โฌ3.6bn of EBITDA, ~40%+ margin. - โฌ2.75bn of EBIT, ~30%+ margin. Cash Flows: - โฌ8bn of Cumulative Free
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4. $RACE is really different to the other high-end automakers โข Ferrari has long been the gold standard for luxury automakers. โข Since 1939, $RACE has always been careful to maintain its heritage, keeping tight control of shipments in a strategy that founder Enzo Ferrari
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3. Investors think the Elettrica could damage the Brand โข Wealthy customers are willing to allocate millions of dollars to make repeat purchases because of the perception that its supercars are best-in-class. โข It remains to be seen whether the amplified engine noises (for
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