Cryptotoad
@Mesawine1
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#bitcoin & #crypto Trader | Technical analyst using Elliott wave theory | Market geometry | Fibonacci levels | No financial advisor
Joined December 2017
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Pinned Tweet
Here are my
#cryptotrading
lessons on
#Elliottwave
theory in one tweet.
More to come, so stay tuned!
Lesson 4: Alternation
Lesson 6: Diagonals
Lesson 7: Flats
Plz like or RT if you find these kind of pics helpful
#crypto
#btc
$btc
#bitcoin
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$btc update:
#btc
still stuck in same channel for 6 months, but imo the end is near.
Either correction is done already or we’ll get one more low to support at 42k
Looking at the lower level wave count my bias leans more towards the latter. It won’t matter on the long term
🐸
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$btc analysis:
My main reason to think we’re not done yet with this bull market.
All bull markets finished with a double top on Rsi on monthly tf. We’re still missing one top‼️
#btc
🔥🔥🔥
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$btc update:
#Elliottwave
count of 5th and final wave up:
Assuming red W4 is in, my measured main target is at 128k‼️
The 1:1 will pose resistance, but the larger count is still missing an extended wave imo, so this is not my main target.
🐸
#bitcoin
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$btc update:
Here a couple of ways to determine W5 target using
#Elliottwave
.
Based on this my W5 target is in the range of 105k - 130k
Let’s go 🚀
🐸
#btc
#bitcoin
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$btc update:
I think we’re getting very close to an explosive outbreak. BB are getting very tight and volatility is almost non existent.
It’s the calm before the storm.
🐸
#btc
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Educational tweet:
If you’re starting to learn how to chart and do your own TA, the retracement tool can’t be missed.
Here I show how to use this tool correctly within an impulse.
❤️ and share 👍
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Educational tweet:
For those interested, here I try to explain with a couple of examples what to look for when a breakout occurs like now on
#bitcoin
.
I always want the confirmed support of previous resistance before going long.
❤️ and share 👍
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Educational tweet ‼️
For those interested, here a short intro on how to draw and use channels in impulses. It can be a very powerful technique when used properly.
Educate yourself 🤓
If this was helpful plz show some love and ❤️ and share
🐸
#cryptotrader
#btc
#crypto
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$zil update:
I don’t want to withhold this piece of info.
Hidden bullish divergence on weekly tf and W5 top target in between $0.70 and $0.95⚡️⚡️
Note: this is htf chart. On ltf
#zil
can go down before up.
🐸
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#Educational
tweet: trading a wedge
Especially on the lower tf’s you’ll find a lot of wedges and diagonals. Here is how I trade them. This is for a falling wedge but obviously the opposite goes for a rising one.
Plz show me some ❤️ and share if you find this helpful 👍
🐸
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Strong team, solid fundamentals, great usecase, bright future.
It doesn’t matter. your favourite
#altcoin
will lose 85-95% next bear market whether you like it or not.
Not there yet though imo.
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$btc update:
A very powerful tool to use.
Use retracement tool to extend the first move up/down. You will find the market reacts extremely accurate towards certain levels (0.5x, 1,5x, 2x etc).
One of the reasons why at the time I called for 15.5k to be the bottom.
🐸
#btc
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#btc
update:
GM champs ☕️.
Yesterday’s candle couldn’t close above the D21EMA. If today closes like this it would mean a second rejection of this EMA.
Now where have I seen this before? 🤔
🐸
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$algo update:
Still waiting for
#algo
to make that next leg up.
Pattern is starting to look a lot like an iH&S pattern. Pattern and target will be confirmed once neckline is broken.
🐸
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#cryptotrading
lesson 13: Breakout trading
Ever hear anybody say 'wait for confirmation before entering a trade'. What does that mean?
For those interested here I explain what I look for before entering a trade.
Lots of text so hope you like reading 🤓
happy tradin' 👍
#btc
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$matic update:
From an
#Elliottwave
pov this count makes the most sense to me. Both in time and subdivision it looks like
#matic
is still in Macro W4.
Yes, it needs to come down more, but the good news is that W5 target estimate is at $32
🐸
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$btc update:
#btc
still following the plan. I expect one more leg up to golden pocket to finish wave B/X, followed by last big dump before halvening.
Potential target: 34-35k
I’ll buy big at that level.
🐸
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$btc update:
Well, certainly looks like
#btc
is going down.
I think I’ve posted this impulse count a dozen times, but here it is again.
Target 🎯 at ~23k
🐸
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I'm adding my
#cryptotrading
lessons 8 to 10 (new) on
#Elliottwave
theory, so they are all bundled in one tweet
Lesson 8: zigzags
Lesson 9: Triangles
Lesson 10: Sideways combo's (new)
Check them out and like or RT is you find these helpful
$btc
#btc
#bitcoin
#crypto
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$icp update:
#icp
must be one off the nastiest looking charts out there. Nothing but downside.
But…
Price broke out of channel and if it bounces here next resistance is miles away
Just sayin’
🐸
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$btc update:
#btc
at channel high. Not the location to be looking for longs imo.
I expect a break down towards target. IF price manages to break channel high then longs are back in the table.
🐸
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$algo update:
#algo
has got my attention.
If it can backtest TL I think there is a very nice trade possible here.
🐸
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$btc update:
Scenario time. Unfortunately my horizontal wxy W4 didn’t work out, but the W4 count is not invalidated yet it’s just shifted in time. 2 possible corrections in pic 1
Pic 2 is my doom scenario if price dips below 14k. Until then my primary is still pic 1.
🐸
#btc
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$btc analysis:
Even though I acknowledge this as a possibility I highly doubt
#bitcoin
will give us an exact copy of W2.
#elliottwave
rules say waves must alternate. So if W2 is a simple zigzag with deep retrace, W4 will probably be a horizontal, complex type correction.
#btc
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$btc update:
In my last update
#btc
reached range high as expected. This was the make or break point. as it stands now it looks like a clear rejection like the times before.
So looks like we'll see that final dip to 16k and 0.5fib
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$btc update:
I think we’ll see some more boring PA for a couple of days before a larger move.
Up would be my expectation, but if we break support area then a big down is also in the cards.
🐸
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GM my digital friends ☕️
My two scenarios for
#bitcoin
I’m watching today. The move up looks corrective, but I can get an impulse out of it (pic 2)
Notice that in both scenarios I expect price to rise first and then drop (W1/A & W2/B).The counts diverge at the golden pocket
🐸
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#btc
I hate to be the one to promote the bearish count, but structure wise it sure looks like an abc
If we get a sharp drop that breaks 0-B line within 3 months, this will be confirmed
If price can break channel top the bullish count is highly favourable
Time will tell
🐸
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#cryptotrading
lesson 14:
For those interested in
#elliotwave
theory, here my lesson on the impulse. I thought I'd already covered it but turns out I hadn't 🙂.
If you found this helpful plz like and/or RT
Cheers 👍
🐸
#crypto
#btc
#bitcoin
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GM
#ct
let’s start today with some educational content
The difference between gambling and trading
In left example the ‘trader’ has a bias and hopes price to go up
In right example the patient trader waited for the market to confirm his bias before entering
❤️ & share 👍
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Here is how to draw your channels using
#Elliottwave
theory.
1st: after completion of W1&2
2nd: after completion of W4
Both can be used for good trade setups and target extrapolation.
Happy trading 👍
🐸
#cryptotrading
#crypto
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Beginning traders only focus on how to maximise their profits
When actually they’d be more successful if they’d focus on how to minimise their losses.
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$btc update:
Bullish or not, short term
#bitcoin
looks like it’s gonna crap the bucket.
Be careful longing, champs
🐸
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$btc update:
So how does this finished impulse down fit the larger picture. Imo there are several possibilities. Here are my more bearish ones where it is only an A wave (or even a w1 for the true bears). I’ll post my bullish counts later.
see which gets more interaction 😄
#btc
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$btc update:
I hate to say it, but it looks like
#bitcoin
will make new lows. I’ll wait until the daily close (and tomorrow’s) for confirmation, but it might be time to shift towards a different view.
Here one I proposed earlier. 24k is a good target imo.
#btc
#crypto
$btc update
Here my current view on
#bitcoin
. I think current impulse is (almost) done. If 1 more wave down I think 24k is a good low target. However, imo this correction could go on longer and we might revisit the 20k mark
pic3 is a my most bullish count where we're done
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$btc update:
Just adding confluence to my 23k bottom target
I present to you the W200MA.
Basically the bottom of all bear markets in this pic. A tough nut to crack.
As you can see
#btc
does tend to wick through it but it has always held. And where is this MA located?
🐸
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$btc update:
Wave down doesn’t look finished yet imo. I think one more wave down to sweep the lows before up.
#btc
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$btc update:
Here two scenarios I’m watching st.
In both I expect
#btc
to bounce at the golden pocket. If this passes the next golden pocket with conviction pic1 is on, If it stalls then pic2 is on.
🐸
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