Markos
@MarkosAAIG
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Strategic thinker with fast business insight. Tech & AI focused. Strong in structural shifts, scaling business units, and execution. Founder - AAIG.
Eindhoven, Nederland
Joined July 2023
Time for a short holidayš. Merry christmas to you all! š² Itās been an amazing year looking back on 2025, especially when I reflect on my time here on X. I only started posting and being active in September, and if you look at those four months, the amount of high-value
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Nvidia tells people they will do 500b cumulative in 2026 and people still are like: uhhhhh I donāt know if demand is real.š
From an interview with an exec right in the middle of the data center buildout, selling power contracts to the hypersalers, neoclouds, and shell builders. The demand ratio for GPUs is 3 to 1, projected to go to 4 to 1... I thought there was no demand š¤£
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Interesting deal but i donāt think it is a narrative that is viable for players like $NBIS, $IREN etc. Hyperscalers wouldnāt want the whole asset base, and Nebius management has zero incentive sell. This is an execution and asset-quality move not an M&A. Dan Ives created that
Google $GOOG is acquiring data center and energy infrastructure startup Intersect for $4.75B, with the deal expected to close in 1H '26. Intersect's operations will remain separate from Google, and the acquisition will help bring data center generation capacity online faster.
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Hi guys, nice to have a Nebius group.š I will kick off immediatly with checking if anyone already has a good view on total IT load for the Meta contract. Because besides some efforts on reverse engineering the project i havenāt seen or heard something we can work with.
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This chart from @Beth_Kindig is obviously bullish at first glance. I think GPU-as-a-Service going 8Ć over the next decade could be pretty accurate, but it doesnāt really come as a surprise. We all know there will be a big TAM expansion. But the core focus should be, as mentioned
The GPU as a service market is projected to rise more than 8X over the next decade, from ~$30 billion in 2025 to $251 billion by 2034. $NVDA $CRWV $NBIS $IREN
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My take.
@Umbisam @MarcoRamireZuno @Agrippa_Inv @RHouseResearch @danroberts0101 @Umbisam hits it perfectly imo. And Iāll just build on it slightly, because this is exactly why Iām skeptical of using todayās standard depreciation cycles as a guide for residual value. The 5ā6 year useful-life assumption and even the 4-year version is a product of the last 20
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I think every $IREN, $NBiS investor (and all other players in this space) should read this in full. Including comments. I have a similar view on this as @Umbisam has. For those who find it complicated i refer to my older post on unlevered IRR vs levered and itās impact in the
@Agrippa_Inv @RHouseResearch @danroberts0101 I donāt think Agrippaās method / approach is accurate. He should use NPV to better understand why, but happy to provide an example via IRR. To illustrate why āaveragingā subsequent periods is completely misleading, consider a simplified example with two phases: - Period 1
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Guys, what are youāre biggest lessons learned in 2025 now we approach 2026? Personally for me is timing. Iām usually very early with spotting interesting sectors but I sometimes underestimate how long it takes for the market too see. A very valuable lesson I will take with me
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Positioning vs asics
Capacity-Adjusted Market Share: Reframing the TPU vs Nvidia Narrative I wanted to share some important narrative nuance to the most recent TPU headlines. They suggest $GOOGL is preparing to 7Ć TPU volumes, which some people are quick to frame as big breakdown in Nvidiaās share
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Leadership and vision
$AMD $GOOGL $METAq Okay no im gonna say something and it will be hard for some people to understand: what you are seeing today is the past and not the future. Sounds crazy rightš. Let me explain: Iām in $NVDA since 2018. And what happens today (see @Beth_Kindig post) is
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Jensen Huang ladies and gentleman. I have been very vocal on him and nvidia. $NVDA. Truly exceptional. Watch this video below. My supporting Threads are in the comments. If you truly want to know how they are positioned a must read in addition on the interviewšÆ 1. About his
Wow. Classic Jensen style, he ended the Nvidia vs. custom ASIC competition for good. š«” The level of confidence with which he explains. šÆ He was answering to UBS research analyst question on how custom ASICs will affect NVIDIA or how they are going to compete with custom ASIC.
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Europeās Quiet Rearmament Cycle $RHM.DE $HO.PA $KOG.OL $SAAB.ST $BA.L $HAG.DE Like Iāve mentioned a few times before, the main focus of investors is on AI. But at the same time, if you look at where real capital also will be flowing over the next decade, you will see a big
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REMINDER As most of you know, I donāt believe weāre in an AI bubble at least not at the top end or on the use-case side. CapEx spending is real, demand is real, and guidance from companies like $NVDA and $TSM etc supports that view. But where I do see risk is at the system
Apollo CEO Marc Rowan on the data center financing: āHyperscalers are pretty safe; intermediaries that are taking up the debt and balance sheet risk not so much.ā Neoclouds are leveraging themselves instead of hyperscalers, but they donāt have the cash flows from other
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Why do these people donāt understand the bussiness dynamics. Itās not that hard. This cycle is front-loaded into data centers and compute first, because demand for the end product already exists. $NVDA $AVGO $ORCL Platforms roll-out.. then adoption⦠then optimization and
There will be a moment when companies are able to monetize AI to where capex costs are absorbed. In terms of the ability to monetize AI, this is being proven as we speak with OpenAI exhibiting the fastest run rate from $0 to $20 billion in all of techās history. I joined
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Give the junior some love š @JochemAAIG. He will be posting some small cap discoveries every week from now on!
For this week's post, I would like to go over Sofwave Medical Ltd $SOFW.TA, which is a newly profitable "razor-and-blade" compounder trading at a discount. They are the go-to for non-invasive skin tightening, capturing the 'Ozempic Face' tailwind while immune to the FDA warnings
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And by @theaustinlyons
When asked if customers would take on more of the XPU system design over time, $AVGO's CEO Hock Tan didn't give a great answer (see screenshots). Here's an angle he could have taken: "We are aware of the discussion around customer-owned tooling and insourcing. That has always
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