PropAholic
@MMA_PropAholic
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Following
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Love to Analyze and Bet MMA.Huge Prop Degenerate MMA/Football https://t.co/33ABWGwa5s https://t.co/ke9tvjPuHG
Joined April 2022
Felipe Lima by submission +1200 +3units.Felipe Lima by Submission Round 3 Submission +5000 +5units . Lima was able to overcome the storm💪🏻✊🙏 #UFCSaudiArabia
Next bets for #UFCSaudiArabia Felip Lima Wins by Submission +1200 0.25units (FanDuel). Felipe Lima Wins by Submission Round 2 +4000 0.15units (FanDuel). Felipe Lima Wins by Submission 3 +5000 0.10units (FanDuel). These Lima sub lines make 0 sense to me. The kid trains with very
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#UFC318 Ryan Spann KO 1 +400 0.25 units (Fanatics). Line is off market here as Brzeski has been finished in all 4 of his loses by knockout in the 1st round giving us a 20% change at +400. Spann was landing big shots on Guskov as well who has a way better chin than Brzeski. Yes
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#UFC318 Islam Dulatov Round 1 +110 1unit (BetRivers). With Dulatov having 10/11 wins coming inside the 1st round at a 91% clip with his ITD sitting at -360 (78%) and his round 1 sitting at +110 (47.6%) I think this is value. Usually I don’t like to play massive favorites to win
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#UFC318 Daniel Zellhuber ITD -110 1.10units (BetOline). Zellhuber is a -600 favorite with Johnson being finished in 12/19 loses 63% now being 39 years old at metrics disadvantage with Zellhuber ITD being at -110 52% and will be the one putting Johnson on the back foot. I see this
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Anyone know what’s going on with @BestFightOdds Fights haven’t been updated for like 2 weeks now.
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RT @WagerWarsMMA: Last night @MMA_PropAholic defeated @FinesseTheBooks by 1 unit after they combined for +19.06💰. Who should he take on nex….
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#UFC318 Kyler Phillips ML +150 1unit (Cesar’s Sportsbook) . Getting a very buy low spot on a guy who’s always sitting as a moderate favorite in almost every fight at the UFC level is value here against a guy in Oliveria who is defensively irresponsible, will be at a disadvantage
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#UFC318 Paulo Costa ML +225 0.60units (BetOnline). 30% implied is crazy here imo knowing that this is 3 rounds not 5 rounds with 2 of 3 Costas loses by decision come in 5 round fights and the other one coming to Whittaker where he was a +190 underdog fought close in every round.
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#UFC318 Nikolay Veretennikov ML +122 1unit (Fanduel) Uploaded breakdown on Youtube yesterday linked in my bio! . I think this should be closer to pickem price as Nikolay is the natural 170er, the more technical striker, has a 4.7 inch reach advantage, height advantage and is more
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RT @FinesseTheBooks: I just realized, this sicko @MMA_PropAholic literally word for word bar for bar called a Kline R3 KO via head kick on….
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1st breakdown uploaded for #UFC318 Nikolay Veretennikov vs Francisco Prado linked below👊😈 By the way I may have a bet on this fight👀💪🏻.
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Tonight. 8pm Eastern. @FinesseTheBooks vs @MMA_PropAholic⚔️. Who has the best bets for #UFCNashville?.
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