Lewis De Payne
@LewPayne
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Ex Silicon Valley software engineer; developed Paypal’s recurring billing system, fraud controls, CredMe. Mitnick's accomplice. Shameless capitalist.
Boise (ID) and Malaga (Spain).
Joined April 2013
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You can listen to my recent interview with
@Ghost_Capital_
here. For a limited time, I'm also answering audience questions in his discord channel.
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@MrAndyNgo
What a duplicitous double-standard... police won't get involved when drivers (and vehicles) are pelted with rocks and bottles, but will get involved if a driver runs over a protestor purposely standing in the middle of the road. Makes perfect sense, for a deteriorating society.
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@MariaSa44326613
It’s not that I stopped watching the news… I’m unable to find the news anymore; everything is lengthy commentary and personal opinion. News is gone.
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Huge market order swept the book again. When split into multiple smaller consecutive orders, most retail platforms can't detect them. However, by checking if the CME bundled trade flag is set, you can easily detect these splits and reconstruct the book.
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@Breaking911
"I have fully investigated myself, had my friends investigate me, and conclusively found that I did nothing wrong or even remotely inappropriate..."
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This is why I do it, and why I'm picky about who gets admitted into my room. Some people truly appreciate what they're learning, and it changes their life; In turn, I have done some good in this world by creating another capitalist!
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I am taking a break from twitter, in an effort to not get jaded by inconsiderate and defective humans. I will be back in 15 minutes.
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I trade liquidity, not order flow. The latter involves the flow of trades already price matched & consumed, whereas the former involves analysis of potential orders resting on the LIB(limit order book). Order flow views what already happened; liquidity, what is waiting to happen.
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@stillgray
Do the assailant have some type of shiny metal object in his hand? Look closely at the point of impact... it's as if he hit him using an object in his hand.
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Glad to have Brian Watt join our private group of advanced traders. I was discussing PSA levels with him over the weekend - he's doing great in his 5+ year fight with terminal cancer.
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For 2023, I'm adopting a zero-tolerance policy for idiots (other than myself) who post annoying comments. A few have stated my signals are posted in hindsight, despite a history of timestamped trades and live streaming of same - defective humans such as these will be blocked.
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@MrAndyNgo
Who is he to question how I identify ethnically? Isn't ethnic identity as fluid as gender identity? Can't I be "privileged white" today and Hispanic next week?
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Regarding day trading and scalping: If you learn to shoot at a moving target, you'll become much more accurate. Levels are often fluid, sometimes matching historical levels and sometimes not. The moving target known as the LOB (limit order book) is both fluid and accurate.
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I hope to NEVER consider myself a good trader - because when I do, it means I've stopped learning and have become too confident to adapt to changing market conditions. In this regard, I always want to remain an "informed amateur."
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A discord trader who works at Equifax was walking down the hall when he saw a plaque with my name on it. I had no idea Equifax had memorialized my invention and co-startup (which they had acquired) on their "wall of acquisitions."
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True buyer exhaustion as the big boys pounded the order book. Sadly, most of you don't understand how or why the zeros are formed when an unbundled order that exceeds LOB tick liquidity hits the CME matching algo, even though I've made YT videos about the different use-cases.
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I made a video to alert advanced traders about current market conditions. What I'm seeing is quite unsettling.
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I belong to several free discord groups. At times, I'll post liquidity target charts. Some folks will counter with their own mix of lagging indicators, despite statistical invalidation. Conclusion - folks would rather listen to themselves, and follow group consensus, than learn.
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Hint: 600 delta (ask-bid Δ) view of recent bottom. It literally screams "maximum buyer/seller pressure reached - expect an explosive breakout!" at you. Hard to miss, especially on days like this.
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When price was at 4137 on Tue, I posted about an anomaly at 4070. Most of you were dismissive, not paying heed to it. Yet here we are... near 4070 during Globex. This is not the first time I've done this - I made a video last time, which everyone ignored.
Anyone notice this at 4070? Irrelevant responses will be blocked; sincere responses are welcome.
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I am taking a break from twitter, in an effort to reclaim some in-person social time. I'll be back in 5 minutes.
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I explained (to the folks in my room) why this reverse морской конек constitutes a valid formation. No flotation vest was needed to ride this one!
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Taking this market holiday opportunity to go over some of the display basics with my private crew. I have also informed them of a 20% price increase due to inflation. Starting Feb 1st, we go from being free to free + 20%.
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I see the lower liquidity pools, announced by me Nov 3rd, were hit during my [ongoing] stay in Spain. Here are some pics of things from today.
Liquidity pools around and below 4350 anticipate the onslaught of swimmers... but are subject to change at a whim's notice (aka stacking/pulling).
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Hey folks, if you haven't already realized it through observation, most liquidity just a few points above and below current price is HFT noise, and not predictive. It's the fixed liquidity, farther away, that you need to track in the present time once price nears it.
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How it works...
[A] = Precursor (yellow) to a sell.
[B] = Sell signal, confirmation.
[C] = Possible buy/retest (discretionary - check other internals and execute when they turn around).
As easy as A, B, C? No - demands situational awareness (chop zone, retest, OF) and brains.
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Rest in peace, my childhood friend and hacking partner. I wish we could have found an exploit to cheat death.
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This is laughable... 3000+ resting orders at 4451.50 during Globex.
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CME Iceberg Order Detection and Prediction - lots of it today at the 4078 to 4082 zone (prox), as MM's created a mechanical high (4080) to trap longs who prematurely expected the SI gap (4089 prox) to fill.
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A terrific long off that precomputed bottom... nice scalp. The question is - WILL THIS BOTTOM HOLD on the retest? We may still go lower, to the next level I've already marked off (and will only post privately this time, given the public lack of interest).
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[1/2] I'm noticing many traders predicting where price will go next, without providing a timeline. I can easily say "price will hit 4800" and eventually be correct. Has it ever occurred to you that a prediction without at least a loose timeline is useless amateur generalization?
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If you're following me expecting a hand-out, you'll be disappointed. My goal is to create a room where advanced traders can share confluence, charts, and entries with minimal distraction. In the process, we all learn different ways of doing the same thing.
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My Boise neighborhood (private street) has been doing the luminaries thing for more than two decades... 42 homeowners all cooperate, each doing their part to light up the neighborhood for Christmas Eve.
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On a 10 second chart, you can plainly see where a large player (i.e., non-retail) started holding the offer before the eventual dip in price. I have marked the initial ledge for you, in yellow, which alerted me to it. You can see how it held on retests (and thus was intentional).
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Figure it out... there's a rule embedded here. Exit speculative trades at 50% retracement of most recent long/short zones. You'll see the red delta pushing that bar top long before the bar has had a chance to scoot down and finish forming. Save yourself some points.
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@LizPennyworth
@WHEC_JLewke
@RochesterNYPD
@MonroeAmbNY
As much as I hate your generalization, Elizabeth... sadly, I think you're right more often than wrong when making that assumption. We are truly a troubled society.
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Sometimes I am helpful, especially to those who help themselves and actually take the time to digest the free knowledge I provide. They don't ask questions like "what platform is this?" - they independently research and ask more significant questions.
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I'm off to Spain the rest of this month. Near my condo is a trading school and club. For a hefty fee ($800+), they'll teach you technical analysis and gambling... the same info available in a $14 book. Lunch is included, in case you weren't convinced of its value. Sad, but true.
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@weekendh4x0r
@CyberSnark
"... please leave your old tree by my front door, since I work long hours. If you have non-working appliances (from toaster to fridge, I'll take them all), please leave them as well - I'm learning how to fix them to try and make ends meet."
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To clarify: I run a free (no charge) discord, where I live stream my charts and share market commentary. It is for advanced traders only, and proof is required. Do not DM asking to join unless you are an advanced trader seeking to share confluence with others like yourself.
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I've created a new post explaining what my Matrix Quadrant algo and chart saw during the last 3 hours of trading (prior to the cash close). It's available for free, at:
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Beautiful 72F day… spending the rest of the session in my back yard.
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Mostly sharing in private discord rooms today... getting tired of the usual "what platform is this" questions that accompany my X posts. The platform isn't as relevant as the strategy and trade management methodology. So... one last post after this...
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I'm amazed at how traders ignore the basic notion that "correlation does not imply causation." One just showed how "price is up because my EMA cloud..." while completely ignoring the fact that his theory fails more than 50% of the time. It's like dealing with grade school kids.
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4090 is the ultimate target for next week. This target, based on liquidity, is subject to change without notice. It could also be front-run 5 to 10 points earlier. At this time, the only speculative downside target is 3860 and it's not credible at this time; reloads above 4000.
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I am taking a break from social media. I will return in 15 minutes.
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It’s a paradox… some message me asking how to join my trading room, and I decline them due to inexperience or immaturity. Then they message me again, telling me all the reasons why they would never join a selective room like mine. Entitled little snots, can’t handle rejection.
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This is why I’m selective as to who can join my free discord… to ensure quality content, targeted focus, and shared confluence amongst advanced traders. High quality and standards kept in check by aggressive moderators. Savant Trading is not for everyone, and never will be.
There’s a reason I call Lewis the footprint maestro. His relentless work ethnic has produced the most focussed discord I’ve ever had the pleasure of being part of. 👏👏👏
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Awaiting execution of 2nd target (3820), posted more than 13 hours ago. I've gotten a few private comments telling me "resting liquidity does not work the way you think it does." As long as I'm identify and hitting targets in advance, I hope to continue with a bad understanding!
Where they're hoping to take it... 3820 after a stop (and reload) at 3800, providing LSE liquidity shares the same sentiment. It (the prognostication given hours ago elsewhere) has already served traders well.
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I have become obsolete in my own trading room... time to introduce a virus into the algos. TradeGPT.
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Sell, buy, sell... the only way to make money in this market is to find a nimble savant... scalp central!
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I normally charge 89 cents for this data, but today it's yours for free!
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Notice the huge seller delta absorption near 4873 on the TPO posted Jan 21 (10 days ago). Note where price is now... above past absorption after visiting an older POC and making its own absorption near 4870. And so the game is played. Note the remaining [SI] also!
So many singles, and such a strong market. The hour of settlement (reckoning) shall be delayed. Let's see if LSE or NYSE open flip sentiment.
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On vacation for 2 weeks, will not be trading or posting. During this time, my charts and alerts will continue to stream and advanced traders will step in and fill the gaps… now that’s a community!
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A logical observation designed for your edification, so you too can become more astute and erudite in your transactional analysis of market behavior... enjoy.
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A volume profile trader says, "show me where the dead bodies are piling up" whereas a liquidity trader says, "show me where the live bodies are lining up." One is *static* (it will never change location), the other totally *dynamic* (and it may stack/pull until price matched).
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Some nice combos (short, long) from today's price action... all revealed by order flow, price action, and limit order book reshuffles.
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It would be healthy for you to mark these upper levels of liquidity now, and remain vigilant on Tuesday. If liquidity remains there at the start of LSE session tomorrow, and stacks at the start of NYSE session, it's a live target zone. Remember - it's a zone, not a fixed price.
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So many singles, and such a strong market. The hour of settlement (reckoning) shall be delayed. Let's see if LSE or NYSE open flip sentiment.
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An illustration of the nuances between similar footprint charts. It is vital that you understand the limitations of your view, to avoid bad assumptions and false conclusions.
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Here's the view of liquidity tonight. In addition to the cluster at 4405 and 4390, there are intermediate zones (4400, 4388, 4382, 4380) and a gap to strong liquidity at 4350 then 4320. Strong prior support at 4382, 4326, then 4320. The key is knowing how to use this info.
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Still recovering from a scooter crash, after hitting a pothole and sustaining injuries 10 days ago. Here's what I'm seeing right now... two long signals from below, but the most interesting is where [W]holesale took over and created the buy opportunity. Beware - it's fabricated.
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It can't get more obvious. Here, a current short zone [1] develops, where a handful of prior short zones were [2]. At [3], we know not to take the long, because the underlying was still declining. Instead, at [4], we have a double top to short. I'm done posting for now.
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Let me further illustrate this with Tuesday's RTH. Note the large buys at [1], then the huge ones at [2] followed by the start of selling [3]. Note the sizes at [3] and [3], then at [4]... before price flips again. Wholesalers are happy to sell you inventory at the wrong spots.
A thing that I see happening often (but not always) in these markets is someone's often left holding the bag. Knowing how this actualizes visually is a useful skill. Here, we see a large group of buyers going long at the top, and short at the bottom.
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Perfect long from the морской конек. For those who have no clue what I'm talking about, and have great difficulty doing basic research (reviewing my tweet history) or tying their shoelaces, here's a video...
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We have to do what she says, because she knows trading better than I do. This AI model is completely green... developed using recycled electrons.
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All we did with that 3590 liquidity is use it to trap many shorts, then pull the rug from under their feet and flip it.
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@MrAndyNgo
I’m sure, in his subservience, he’ll get to play the lady role in that men’s prison for the next 5 years - a real win/win all around.
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Everyone thinks they know what the market is going to do. Here's what it actually did... it managed to ratchet up with higher highs, and fill a volume void (near the original single print) from earlier. Why doesn't matter; the only thing that matters is execution.
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This is upsetting... the system keeps churning out winners, even with my absence today. I have been rendered useless by my own system.
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Dear followers: I am not responsible for your education, for responding to your questions, or for anything beyond my own posting enjoyment. Whatever incidentals you get from the resources I leave behind is entirely of your own doing. Congratulations to those who empower this.
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A testimonial: "I used to live in a van by the river, until I learned Lewis' trading techniques. Now I'm able to afford the gas to drive and park my van in the city."
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New video - I review what viewers saw streamed on 2022-11-03 in my discord, where I identified footprint formations & clean splits between buyer & seller delta. Trades utilizing bi-modal OCO methodology are shown, but the methodology is not explained!
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Wish you could all watch the absorption show I'm watching... it's keeping me from getting lunch.
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You were shown (complete with chart) what today's low was going to be... 44 minutes prior to getting there, free of ambiguity. It was, however, ultimately up to you to press the "buy" button.
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The result of the entries I posted earlier. One person said I'm "bragging" by showing this (before and after, time stamped by twitter). There was a time when I only showed the end result - and someone accused me of posting after the fact. Lesson: Never bother pleasing an idiot.
Final observations - leaving for pickleball. Great *short* when underlying was tanking, followed by a *scalp long* when LOB stacking/pulling flipped, and a *stronger long* when the underlying flipped to showing strength. Until tomorrow.
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1/2 These all appear as completed auctions, but they're really not. It just so happens the periodicity of the selected bars (an arbitrary variable) splits the bid/ask volume at an arbitrary location so as to make them appear complete.
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I gave you 5432 zone 6 hours ago... price bounced off it twice... yielding a 40 point ($2,000 per contract) long. The level was handed to you, literally hours in advance. Look at when the prior (TPO) chart was posted here.
A few of my imaginary friends asked me about lower problem zones (which may or may not come to fruition - the idea is to know where to look for a turn-around if and when price goes there)... so here they are.
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How do we know the large block orders sitting at 5310 were consumed and not just pulled? We do forensic analysis using the multi-profile attached to my DOM. At [1] we see the huge delta spike, at [2] the huge volume spike, and at [3] the huge bid/ask and last quantity consumed.
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A serious liquidity node (1568 contracts, with 2 bulk trades representing 96% of it) during Globex.
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Folks in the room were shown where and why. We are scalpers. We are bimodal; we collect our money early while maintaining a runner for bonus points. We employ a strategic OCO group to simply our tasks and ensure repeatability (accuracy).
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Yet another long scalp off the bottom; this time, annotated for clarity. This is not rocket science - it is more about patience, observation, and initiative than it is about secrets, trickery, or magical alignments.
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I've been away from the screen today, having to run errands. I was very happy to see that one of the folks in my private [don't ask - by invitation only] room took a trade that my system called out, and made 20 points ($1,000 per contract). It pleases me to see some of my folks
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I can't help but laugh when I see the trail of single-prints on today's TPO, and the size (net delta) of the battle at 4280. Does it change how I view next week? No - I will continue to trade price action and liquidity, confirmed by institutional moves.
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There's an idiot in every village... I just met the current one.
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How clear and obvious must a long be, before you act on it? Here, smart voltic alerts us to a shift in flows, the LOB pulls from below and stacks liquidity higher, and the system calls an exhaustion long. Can’t make order flow, liquidity & price action any easier even if I tried.
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Here are the remaining opportunities, which traders in my stream witnessed live (along with audio alerts). If you're an *advanced* trader and can demonstrate it, you're welcome to join my free group. I don't run an advisory, or paid service. We are a co-op of advanced traders.
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How many opportunities do you need before you figure out you should be shorting this once the 5540 -> 5570 trader has flattened out?
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He's now become a fully independent trader who no longer needs my charts - he took what he was shown and developed his own technique. We both evolved.
Have not been around for a while. Futures. Algo. Follow the arrows.
@LewPayne
welcomed me in his room long time ago. I was not aware how lucky i was.
#emini
#Futures
#SP500
#futurestrading
#SierraCharts
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Some longer-trend traders have serious expectations, and have been showing their hand since Globex. Let's see if they cash in by the end of the week, or if they FOMO and begin front-running each other.
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Everyone's looking for a free handout, and they get angry when they don't automatically receive it. The experience is similar to being an elementary school teacher.
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Adaptive algo grows stronger; market throws it lemons, it makes lemonade. Lots of small scalps add up to a lot of points (as does the eventual runner).
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