Latest analysis shows 288 debris objects confirmed from
#Cosmos1408
breakup. This Gabbard diagram shows the apogee / perigee for 253 of these objects with orbits fit by LeoLabs (real data, not simulated).
Of note, some objects have perigees <420km that cross into
#ISS
orbit.
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@LeoLabs_Space
@RoscosmosG
Sorry what was that about the lowest of the debris being 50km higher than the ISS?????????????
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@LeoLabs_Space
@jeff_foust
So about 8 days for the bulk of the debris (periods 94.0 to 94.75 minutes on the plot) to hoopsnake itself into a continuous ring.
This will be followed by the ring slowly getting broader until it is a complete shell (apart from the poles).
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@LeoLabs_Space
@planet4589
Clearer on that figure (I didn’t know about Gabbard plots; this one has linear scale for altitude rather than logarithmic)
As mentioned in
@PsaceNav2
thread, could wreak havoc up to 900km for a very long time
Per K1408 gnd track & NOTAM they waited for it to fly over Plesetsk
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@LeoLabs_Space
Space debris.
It operates like an atomic critical mass with chain reaction among all satellites.
And then the digital world is dead.
Now our space orbit is wasted und deadly.
It's another proof how humanity destroys the earth and itself.
We produce chain reactions all on earth.
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@LeoLabs_Space
So .. ISS is gonna become severely damaged in the future ? Would you say that they are going to have to retire the iss sooner than expected?
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@LeoLabs_Space
It appears that most of the debris has a larger period, which means they added energy. This suggests a "tail-chase" intercept (which is also nice because the relative velocities are lower and easier to intercept).
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